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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
youcan'tstopusnow
#3241 Posted : Monday, May 06, 2013 5:07:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MPC postpone to Tuesday, 7th.

Better be cooking something good;-)
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#3242 Posted : Monday, May 06, 2013 5:54:55 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MPC postpone to Tuesday, 7th.

Better be cooking something good;-)

Jumper cables smile
youcan'tstopusnow
#3243 Posted : Monday, May 06, 2013 6:32:49 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
MPC postpone to Tuesday, 7th.

Better be cooking something good;-)

Jumper cables smile

Out of 13 analysts and
traders polled by Reuters 10 expected policymakers to keep the central bank rate at 9.50 per cent for the second
straight meeting, held every two months, citing an upside risk to inflation due to higher
food prices.
"The potential upside in
headline inflation in Q3 may also make further easing too premature as lending rates are yet to adjust to the previous cut in January," said
Alex Muiruri, a fixed income trader at African alliance Investment Bank.

That certainly goes against the Wazua consensus. Tutajua...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#3244 Posted : Monday, May 06, 2013 6:39:27 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Hehe..studio hustla-ish. What the economy needs is a real stimulus for wealth creation & income generation. Import commodities have come off significantly.
FUNKY
#3245 Posted : Monday, May 06, 2013 7:32:32 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
The Bourse opened the week on a high note, with a total of 44M shares valued at Kes.761M transacted against Kes.636M on 45M shares posted last Friday.

The NSE 20 Share Index was up 25.25 points to stand at 4846.43.
All Share Index (NASI) was up 0.93 points to stand at 120.99.
hisah
#3246 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 6:39:31 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Negates the banks lending rates slash call - http://www.businessdaily.../-/6s7xm2z/-/index.html

GoK is crowding the credit market...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3247 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 10:01:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
May 13th it goes exdiv... Chart looks toppish. Big support around 35.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
cnn
#3248 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 10:33:08 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,619
hisah wrote:
May 13th it goes exdiv... Chart looks toppish. Big support around 35.


I am no cartoonist,@hisah...what do they tell you on EABL..now crossing the 330 mark yet the demand is still robust,i gave up trying to understand it.
Even that KCB could sustain the current prices if foreigners sustain their bidding ex dividend.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3249 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 10:50:38 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Bank stocks all up. Market warming up for a rate slashsmile
@SufficientlyP
kyt
#3250 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 11:10:15 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 11/7/2007
Posts: 2,182
It would be interesting to see a rates slash, ni leo na yote yatabainika.
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3251 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 11:22:14 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
May 13th it goes exdiv... Chart looks toppish. Big support around 35.


This one will need Heavy duty Gas Munroe shock absorbers post 13thsmile
Wonder why the Q1 results delay?
Over to @Obiero for the latest at the Exchange bar
@SufficientlyP
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3252 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 11:28:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Serious volumes around simba and member AON(as of now).
@Mwekezaji needed to shed more light on foreign participation so far!
@SufficientlyP
mwanahisa
#3253 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 11:39:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Serious volumes around simba and member AON(as of now).
@Mwekezaji needed to shed more light on foreign participation so far!


As at 11.35 a.m.

Equity Bank - Foreigners are 26.32% NET SELLERS; while on
KCB - Foreigners are 99.55% NET BUYERS.

It looks like they are rotating out of Member into the Lion. Are they trying to get in on Simba's dividends or what is the story here?
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3254 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 11:55:19 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Many thanks @mwanahisa. That foreign participation data is interesting.
Me thinks they're being duped into Simba.
They could be net sellers post Q1 resultssmile
@Obiero, we are still here!/?,!)
@SufficientlyP
mwekez@ji
#3255 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 1:36:12 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Many thanks @mwanahisa. That foreign participation data is interesting.
Me thinks they're being duped into Simba.
They could be net sellers post Q1 resultssmile
@Obiero, we are still here!/?,!)


Also to note is that Memba has recorded the highest net foreign outflow in the market over the past two weeks (Week ending 26th April, net foreign outflow - USD334.4K; week ending 3rd May, net foreign outflow - USD1,004.1K). Over the same period, Simba has recorded net foreign inflow of USD 2,158.90. Foreign funds rotation is a strong hypothesis here. ... foreigners in Memba mus have been spooked by the high turnover of CFOs, unsatisfactory quality of the Q1 2013 growth and the below chart (#post 3256)

On Simba Q1 2013 results, @Rich is calling +20% growth while @Obiero (Xchange Bar) & @guru are calling flat to negative growth #Now_Waiting #Simba_is_Reporting_this_Week
mwekez@ji
#3256 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 1:38:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
#Memba - Note its behavior every time its RSI hits over 70


Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#3257 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 2:04:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,220
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
mwekez@ji wrote:
#Memba - Note its behavior every time its RSI hits over 70



Interearing that RSI observation. Didnt know it had actually hit 70. Needs to come down for foreign interest to pick.
Fundamentally,the NPL ratio spike by more than 50% y/y, as you well noted needs some urgent address.
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#3258 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 2:16:09 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
cnn wrote:
hisah wrote:
May 13th it goes exdiv... Chart looks toppish. Big support around 35.


I am no cartoonist,@hisah...what do they tell you on EABL..now crossing the 330 mark yet the demand is still robust,i gave up trying to understand it.
Even that KCB could sustain the current prices if foreigners sustain their bidding ex dividend.

EABL and mpesa bank have been on boosters since Nov 2012 - that Ethiopian special agreement deal. Foreign bids have been relentless and on huge volume...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#3259 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 3:48:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mwekez@ji wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Many thanks @mwanahisa. That foreign participation data is interesting.
Me thinks they're being duped into Simba.
They could be net sellers post Q1 resultssmile
@Obiero, we are still here!/?,!)


Also to note is that Memba has recorded the highest net foreign outflow in the market over the past two weeks (Week ending 26th April, net foreign outflow - USD334.4K; week ending 3rd May, net foreign outflow - USD1,004.1K). Over the same period, Simba has recorded net foreign inflow of USD 2,158.90. Foreign funds rotation is a strong hypothesis here. ... foreigners in Memba mus have been spooked by the high turnover of CFOs, unsatisfactory quality of the Q1 2013 growth and the below chart (#post 3256)

On Simba Q1 2013 results, @Rich is calling +20% growth while @Obiero (Xchange Bar) & @guru are calling flat to negative growth #Now_Waiting #Simba_is_Reporting_this_Week

Waiting to see the NPL item. If it looks like Equity's then CBK will likely be forced to start cutting rates going forward...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
the deal
#3260 Posted : Tuesday, May 07, 2013 4:15:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
There will be a huge gap between KCB and Equity Bank Pretax Profit Items...EB is ahead by a long shot but KCB can still suprise! CFC Stanbic Q1 13 PBT likely to come in between 50-100% over last year!
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