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JUBILEE FY 2012 RESULTS!
guru267
#1 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 12:02:02 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
They are finally here... Talk about last minute! smile

www.nation.co.ke/busines...02/-/f81hhe/-/index.html

7bob DPS & no bonus..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
muganda
#2 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 12:39:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,905
Thanks @guru267...
Nkt JHL what gives? Too much suspense no fireworks; not sure what I expected or how to react d'oh!
FUNKY
#3 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 6:59:16 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
No goodies for shareholders to celebrate the 75th anniversary!!nkt
guru267
#4 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 7:11:29 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
I guess the increase in DPS from 5.5bob to 7bob is considered as "goodies"....


I rate this stock as a hold with minimal movement above 250 and plenty of stagnation!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwanahisa
#5 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 7:50:57 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
To be honest, I expected better. It is no wonder they delayed in reporting considering that their performance was somewhat lacklustre in comparison to peers.
young
#6 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 11:54:39 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,037
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
guru267 wrote:
They are finally here... Talk about last minute! smile

www.nation.co.ke/busines...02/-/f81hhe/-/index.html

7bob DPS & no bonus..



Not good enough. They have abandoned the 1:10 bonus policy !
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
hisah
#7 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 11:55:32 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Lacklustre results. I'm on the sell side and take my 39% gains.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwekez@ji
#8 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 11:57:13 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
In the past 3 years Jubilee has given shareholders 1:10 bonus. In FY 2012¿ Where is a copy of the results
guru267
#9 Posted : Wednesday, May 01, 2013 12:05:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
In the past 3 years Jubilee has given shareholders 1:10 bonus. In FY 2012¿


Hakuna bonus! I think they got spooked when last year they announced a higher profit but a lower EPS because of the bonus effect!

The yield on this stock has now fallen from an average of 12% (including bonus) to a meagre 2% Sad

I sense a short term slaughter in the horizon!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwekez@ji
#10 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 1:48:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Expression of disappointments #shareprice vvv
FUNKY
#11 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 1:51:24 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Looks like it will fall back to 200 or below levels!!
guru267
#12 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 2:06:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
Lacklustre results. I'm on the sell side and take my 39% gains.


@hisah you should have sold when you hit your target of 250.. That is why targets exist!

I really hope you are the one selling today!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwekez@ji
#13 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 2:16:18 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
#FA, Jubilee Insurance FY12 performance comes out below peer >>> Jubilee insurance posts 16.37% rise in FY12 EPS. Jubilee insurance released its FY12 performance figures posting a 16.37% y/y rise in EPS to KES 35. Net earned premium climbed 27.7% to KES 15.4bn. Due to the upturn in the equities market as well as a high interest rate environment, investment income rose 17.3% y/y while fair value changes turned positive to KES 444m (-329m FY11). Claims payable climbed 40% with loss ratio deteriorating significantly to 91% vs. 83% FY11. Jubilee’s loss ratio is higher than our sector average at 63.4% due to the nature of its business. Jubilee primarily writes medical insurance (29% of total premiums) which suffers from high loss ratios due to among other things fraudulent claims. As at 2011, the medical insurance class suffered a loss ratio of 83.8% in the insurance industry vs. a 59% loss ratio for the industry’s short term insurance segment average. Jubilee accounts for 21% of total industry’s medical insurance premiums. Total operating expenses rose 24.82% with underwriting expense ratio declining to 23.51% (vs. 24.58% FY) and acquisition expense ratio flat at 22%. The underwriter proposed a final dividend of KES 6 and had earlier paid an interim of KES 1 bringing total dividend to KES 7 (vs. KES 5 FY11). At its current price Jubilee is trading at PE of 7.36x, PB of 1.94x and dividend yield of 2.63%. (Company filing, Standard Investment Bank)
madebe
#14 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 2:23:56 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/7/2010
Posts: 251
Location: nairobi
nicked a small portion at 234/=
hisah
#15 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 2:29:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
guru267 wrote:
hisah wrote:
Lacklustre results. I'm on the sell side and take my 39% gains.


@hisah you should have sold when you hit your target of 250.. That is why targets exist!

I really hope you are the one selling today!

Managed to squeeze out @244 and taken a 30% gain.

For now quite unattractive, but if it does get back to 200, I'll board again for the political premium windfall that will reflect in 2013.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ericsson
#16 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 7:14:50 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Going by the Standard Investment bank report on the performance of Jubilee insurance;
Sluggish growth in profit was due to the upturn in the equities market as well as a high interest rate environment.
Net earned premium climbed 27.7% to KES 15.4bn while claims payable climbed 40% with loss ratio deteriorating significantly to 91% vs. 83% FY11.
Jubilee primarily writes medical insurance which is facing stiff competition from the likes of CIC and UAP.
The company makes most of its profits from equities and investing in government securities as opposed to its core business of insurance.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
the deal
#17 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 7:57:43 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Here is how I'm looking at the numbers

1. Private Equity didnt perform well despite Bujagali being commissioned.

2. Quoted Investment-performed well. Bounced from a loss position

3. Insurance-performed dismally as indicated by the y/y surge in claims. Change of strategy needed here i.e reduce the medical book. High morbidity rates & fraud makes Medical underwritting bad business.

Overall

Still good company but fundamentals took a knock...At the current price it remains a BUY due to +ve outlook.
Ericsson
#18 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 11:52:35 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Positive outlook is 50-50 the likes of CIC and UAP are giving it a run of their money in the medical insurance business
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mkonomtupu
#19 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 12:33:25 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
The return on their pension scheme is quite good 12.75%
Ericsson
#20 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 1:35:42 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
pension scheme is a field they entered very recently so give it time for it to grow.
Mainstay business is still medical which is getting a thrashing.
Even pension the likes of CIC and UAP have started offering the service
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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