wazua Thu, Mar 19, 2026
Welcome Guest Search | Active Topics | Log In

569 Pages«<320321322323324>»
How to tell NSE has bottomed out
symbols
#3211 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 1:41:21 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Safaricom on the cusp of 7!

Watching the movie too. The big boys aka market makers are saying it's now or never. Game plan, get the prey closer to the meal......then....smile


Still too much red.Now I just want to see if the madness will come back and how fast.
mwekez@ji
#3212 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 7:59:39 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
The Nairobi NSE20 Index firmed 0.483% to close at 4788.26.
The Nairobi NSE20 is +15.848% and will regain the 5,000 Level in reasonably short order.
We have been in a Bull Market since May 2012 and we have just exited a Corrective Phase.
The Rate Cut in Europe and the Continued QE in the US plus Abenomics will continue to push Liquidity into Africa.
This coupled with a DeRisking of Kenya Post the Peaceful Election mean this Market Rally has real Legs and I expect a further 20-25% Rally in the Indices through Year End.
We remain in a Sweet Spot. #Rich view
youcan'tstopusnow
#3213 Posted : Thursday, May 02, 2013 8:25:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Let's see what Prof. Ndung'u has to say on Monday...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#3214 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 8:29:11 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Let's see what Prof. Ndung'u has to say on Monday...

Rate cut likely due to the proposed 1.6 trillion budget. Also those tbill rates need to be hammered down to force the stimulus into the squeaky econ. 100 - 150bps CBR would be go to start with.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...4/-/sduhsx/-/index.html

Obviously equities will celebrate that stimulus that will minimize downside risks. Liquidity flood needed to dismiss 5000pt barrier. I wonder how far up crap like paka & olympia will float on that flood.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
jerry
#3215 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 10:28:57 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
hisah wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Let's see what Prof. Ndung'u has to say on Monday...

Rate cut likely due to the proposed 1.6 trillion budget. Also those tbill rates need to be hammered down to force the stimulus into the squeaky econ. 100 - 150bps CBR would be go to start with.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...4/-/sduhsx/-/index.html

Obviously equities will celebrate that stimulus that will minimize downside risks. Liquidity flood needed to dismiss 5000pt barrier. I wonder how far up crap like paka & olympia will float on that flood.


@hisah,You seem to imply "if there's a cut we go for the cat!"
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
hisah
#3216 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 11:53:35 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
jerry wrote:
hisah wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Let's see what Prof. Ndung'u has to say on Monday...

Rate cut likely due to the proposed 1.6 trillion budget. Also those tbill rates need to be hammered down to force the stimulus into the squeaky econ. 100 - 150bps CBR would be go to start with.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...4/-/sduhsx/-/index.html

Obviously equities will celebrate that stimulus that will minimize downside risks. Liquidity flood needed to dismiss 5000pt barrier. I wonder how far up crap like paka & olympia will float on that flood.


@hisah,You seem to imply "if there's a cut we go for the cat!"

Markets thrive on liquidity. If it floods that tide lifts everything. But it's up to investors to identify the ships from the boats.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Museveni
#3217 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 12:02:55 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/16/2012
Posts: 661
hisah wrote:
jerry wrote:
hisah wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Let's see what Prof. Ndung'u has to say on Monday...

Rate cut likely due to the proposed 1.6 trillion budget. Also those tbill rates need to be hammered down to force the stimulus into the squeaky econ. 100 - 150bps CBR would be go to start with.

http://www.nation.co.ke/...4/-/sduhsx/-/index.html

Obviously equities will celebrate that stimulus that will minimize downside risks. Liquidity flood needed to dismiss 5000pt barrier. I wonder how far up crap like paka & olympia will float on that flood.


@hisah,You seem to imply "if there's a cut we go for the cat!"

Markets thrive on liquidity. If it floods that tide lifts everything. But it's up to investors to identify the ships from the boats.


smile Nice one.

sometimes with flooding the best place to seek refuge is at high points you know of if you aren't an expert swimmer.
Live and learn; and don’t forget, nothing ventured, nothing gained.
mkonomtupu
#3218 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 12:31:08 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
@hisah, I've just read this from the NIC chairman's report, what does this mean going forward, can you just cut rates to stimulate more imports doesn't make sense

"On a cautionary note, a key threat to this growth is the spiraling current account deficit that stood at U.s. Dollars 4.5 billion (13%
of GDP) in December 2012. This deficit level is one of the highest in the world. Bold policy actions need to be taken urgently to
strengthen Kenya’s export engine and reduce the country’s reliance on imports that also leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable
exchange rate movements."
jerry
#3219 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 12:49:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
mkonomtupu wrote:
@hisah, I've just read this from the NIC chairman's report, what does this mean going forward, can you just cut rates to stimulate more imports doesn't make sense

"On a cautionary note, a key threat to this growth is the spiraling current account deficit that stood at U.s. Dollars 4.5 billion (13%
of GDP) in December 2012. This deficit level is one of the highest in the world. Bold policy actions need to be taken urgently to
strengthen Kenya’s export engine and reduce the country’s reliance on imports that also leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable
exchange rate movements."

Which rates! Simulate exports ok not imports.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
symbols
#3220 Posted : Friday, May 03, 2013 12:55:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
jerry wrote:
mkonomtupu wrote:
@hisah, I've just read this from the NIC chairman's report, what does this mean going forward, can you just cut rates to stimulate more imports doesn't make sense

"On a cautionary note, a key threat to this growth is the spiraling current account deficit that stood at U.s. Dollars 4.5 billion (13%
of GDP) in December 2012. This deficit level is one of the highest in the world. Bold policy actions need to be taken urgently to
strengthen Kenya’s export engine and reduce the country’s reliance on imports that also leaves it vulnerable to unpredictable
exchange rate movements."

Which rates! Simulate exports ok not imports.


Hmmmm,rates are cuts and kshs is better more imports but agriculture and tourism is not so good.
569 Pages«<320321322323324>»
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Copyright © 2026 Wazua.co.ke. All Rights Reserved.