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Housing Finance Q1 2013 PAT up 46%
Rank: Member Joined: 12/11/2006 Posts: 884
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http://www.capitalfm.co....ong-2013-first-quarter/
Housing Finance has posted a net profit of Sh195 million in the first quarter of 2013, up from Sh133 million in the same period last year, representing a 46 percent increase. Net loans and advances to customers increased 20 percent to Sh31.6 billion up from Sh26.4 billion. “Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,184 Location: nairobi
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Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put. "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Elder Joined: 1/21/2010 Posts: 6,675 Location: Nairobi
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WOW!!!! Now for co op!! Mark 12:29 Deuteronomy 4:16
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2009 Posts: 8,083 Location: Enk are Nyirobi
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mlennyma wrote:Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put. This is the new Equity. Buy by the bucket loads if you have the cash. It will be a loooong time before we see 20 and below on this counter. Life is short. Live passionately.
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/29/2006 Posts: 2,570
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mlennyma wrote:Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put. It could be campaign money. Beware of bad debts!! The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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The diamond is finally out of the rough. Profit Before Tax up 46.60% y/y The stellar performance is courtesy of the core banking business of lending. Net interest income is up 45.73% y/y (+12.71% q/q) benefiting from the lower interest rate regime which has enabled the bank to net higher interest income (+16.66% y/y, +0.58% q/q) while interest expense is down (-2.08% y/y, -8.83% q/q). Non interest income have also impressed by coming higher by 21.49% y/y. However, staff cost is a headache having surged 29.68% y/y (21.85% q/q) and other operating expenses (whatever this are ) continue to sting {up 66.64% y/y, 109.65% q/q). ...
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,184 Location: nairobi
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40bob by march 2014 or earlier "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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.... The Balance Sheet too looks impressive Loans and advances to customers have grown 19.77% y/y. Notice the growth in loan book started in Q3 2012 and this should keep going especially this year that the environment is good-looking. I fully understand and support their call for funds to keep the growth ON. Customer deposits are up 30.99% y/y and they also got substantial deposit in Q1 2013 which have contributed to the lower interest paid. The recently introduced current accounts are beginning to pay off and should continue to pay off with the expansion of the bank via new branches, agents and other customer delivery platform. …. The bank however needs to put Non Performing Loans (NPL) in check. They are up 79.17% y/y. Gross NPL/Loans ratio has increased to 8.5% from the 7.7% (Dec 2012), 6.9% (Sept 2012) and 5.7% (Jan - June 2012)
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Rank: Member Joined: 4/25/2012 Posts: 110
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mwekez@ji wrote: .... The Balance Sheet too looks impressive Loans and advances to customers have grown 19.77% y/y. Notice the growth in loan book started in Q3 2012 and this should keep going especially this year that the environment is good-looking. I fully understand and support their call for funds to keep the growth ON. Customer deposits are up 30.99% y/y and they also got substantial deposit in Q1 2013 which have contributed to the lower interest paid. The recently introduced current accounts are beginning to pay off and should continue to pay off with the expansion of the bank via new branches, agents and other customer delivery platform. …. The bank however needs to put Non Performing Loans (NPL) in check. They are up 79.17% y/y. Gross NPL/Loans ratio has increased to 8.5% from the 7.7% (Dec 2012), 6.9% (Sept 2012) and 5.7% (Jan - June 2012) The NPL worries me too. If not kept in check the advantage of the increased loan book might be trimmed over time! There is nothing as dangerous as an Idea, when there is only one Idea
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Will give this counter a week to see if it can shrug off NSE's buy weakeness period. If it does slip back to 20 that will be a welcome discount. Missed it while chasing kengen divs last Dec & still pinching myself for that mistake. Otherwise a good performance for Q1. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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hisah wrote:Will give this counter a week to see if it can shrug off NSE's buy weakeness period. If it does slip back to 20 that will be a welcome discount. Missed it while chasing kengen divs last Dec & still pinching myself for that mistake. Otherwise a good performance for Q1. I have been buying HF for a while now; I would love to get more at 20, but unless there is a more severe correction on the NSE, I am pessimistic that they will get to such a level.
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:cnn wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:In need of a FY'12 vs Q1'13 analysis. Over to @mwekezaji & Co. That quarter one 2013 vs quarter four 2012 i can't wait to have a look at...loan book growth and NPLs. Comparing that article to this one reveals Q1 was very dull. Well, Mr. Mkt will decide on the valuations - Housing Finance posts Kshs 907 million full year profit http://www.housing.co.ke/index....million-full-year-profit @Cde, the Q1 2013 performance is stellar. If the momentum set in this quarter keeps on, HFCK will deliver very honourable performance in FY 2013. The thing I note with your view is that you are comparing Q4 2012 with Q1 2013 which is resulting to the incorrect picture you have. Historically and without fail, banks Q4 have outperformed by substantial margin all other quarters in the year. See below quarterly PBT statistics for HFCK and notice the huge spike in PBT during Q4 (This observation also applies to all other banks) Q1 2012 - KES 190,935 Q2 2012 - KES 166,646 Q3 2012 - KES 206,060 Q4 2012 - KES 343,990 Q1 2013 - KES 279,909
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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@mwekezaji, you are right on the mark. As g267, a forward EPS of 4 will be attained. I am actually expecting higher at about 4.25. mwekez@ji wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:cnn wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:In need of a FY'12 vs Q1'13 analysis. Over to @mwekezaji & Co. That quarter one 2013 vs quarter four 2012 i can't wait to have a look at...loan book growth and NPLs. Comparing that article to this one reveals Q1 was very dull. Well, Mr. Mkt will decide on the valuations - Housing Finance posts Kshs 907 million full year profit http://www.housing.co.ke/index....million-full-year-profit @Cde, the Q1 2013 performance is stellar. If the momentum set in this quarter keeps on, HFCK will deliver very honourable performance in FY 2013. The thing I note with your view is that you are comparing Q4 2012 with Q1 2013 which is resulting to the incorrect picture you have. Historically and without fail, banks Q4 have outperformed by substantial margin all other quarters in the year. See below quarterly PBT statistics for HFCK and notice the huge spike in PBT during Q4 (This observation also applies to all other banks) Q1 2012 190,935 Q2 2012 166,646 Q3 2012 206,060 Q4 2012 343,990 Q1 2013 279,909
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Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge: Q1 2,647,517 Q2 5,856,291 Q3 4,506,586 Q4 4,197,749 So exceptions are always there... GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: Chief Joined: 5/31/2011 Posts: 5,121
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youcan'tstopusnow wrote:mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge:
Q1 2,647,517 Q2 5,856,291 Q3 4,506,586 Q4 4,197,749
So exceptions are always there...
#Noted. Asante. Speaking for HFCK, Q4 will shine more than ever. HFCK construction subsidiary, Kenya Building Society is expected to start contributing to HFCK bottomline in Q4 2013. #Things_getting_merrier_here
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/4/2009 Posts: 10,702 Location: NAIROBI
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HFCK is going to get competition from Co-op bank which is now entering the mortgage market with interest rates cheaper than HFCK. Alos Barclays is getting back to mortgage business which it had scaled down over the past few years. Both are doing similar models like HFCK i.e financing construction and also buyers at cheaper rates than HFCK Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
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Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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mwekez@ji wrote:youcan'tstopusnow wrote:mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge:
Q1 2,647,517 Q2 5,856,291 Q3 4,506,586 Q4 4,197,749
So exceptions are always there...
#Noted. Asante. Speaking for HFCK, Q4 will shine more than ever. HFCK construction subsidiary, Kenya Building Society is expected to start contributing to HFCK bottomline in Q4 2013. #Things_getting_merrier_here Yeah, a lot of their housing projects will be coming online during that period and the first half of 2014. I'm sure we'll be hearing of more projects as we head along GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,129 Location: Nairobi
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The management is optimistic about 2013. And rightly so (ceteris paribus) as 1Q 2013 would have been muted with the elections being a damper especially in the 'sensitive' areas. I expect construction in RV should pick up to account for increased economic activity. The KBS profits should roll in later (4Q 2013) but it sets the stage for a stronger 2014. At the current pace, it is likely HFCK can achieve a 4 EPS thus the current price of 26 seems 'cheap'... relative to other counters & banks. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/3/2007 Posts: 18,129 Location: Nairobi
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Ericsson wrote:HFCK is going to get competition from Co-op bank which is now entering the mortgage market with interest rates cheaper than HFCK. Alos Barclays is getting back to mortgage business which it had scaled down over the past few years. Both are doing similar models like HFCK i.e financing construction and also buyers at cheaper rates than HFCK True but HFCK has 'institutional memory' while the newbies get their feet wet. Of course, there is always the possibility of a complete buy-out by Equity/Britam. Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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Housing Finance Q1 2013 PAT up 46%
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