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Housing Finance Q1 2013 PAT up 46%
ngapat
#1 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 8:26:06 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 884
http://www.capitalfm.co....ong-2013-first-quarter/

Housing Finance has posted a net profit of Sh195 million in the first quarter of 2013, up from Sh133 million in the same period last year, representing a 46 percent increase.


Net loans and advances to customers increased 20 percent to Sh31.6 billion up from Sh26.4 billion.
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
the deal
#2 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 9:08:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Shine like a diamond!!!! PDF Format http://www.housing.co.ke...ncials31stmarch2013.pdf
mlennyma
#3 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 9:18:47 PM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,184
Location: nairobi
Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
guru267
#4 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 10:26:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
WOW!!!!

Now for co op!!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
sparkly
#5 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 10:27:56 PM
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Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mlennyma wrote:
Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put.


This is the new Equity. Buy by the bucket loads if you have the cash. It will be a loooong time before we see 20 and below on this counter.
Life is short. Live passionately.
jerry
#6 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 11:17:38 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
mlennyma wrote:
Ngai!who was taking loans at that political climax.this is our year to eat.thanks i stay put.

It could be campaign money. Beware of bad debts!!
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
mwekez@ji
#7 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 8:38:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
smile Angel smile The diamond is finally out of the rough. Profit Before Tax up 46.60% y/y

The stellar performance is courtesy of the core banking business of lending. Net interest income is up 45.73% y/y (+12.71% q/q) benefiting from the lower interest rate regime which has enabled the bank to net higher interest income (+16.66% y/y, +0.58% q/q) while interest expense is down (-2.08% y/y, -8.83% q/q). Non interest income have also impressed by coming higher by 21.49% y/y. However, staff cost is a headache having surged 29.68% y/y (21.85% q/q) and other operating expenses (whatever this are Think ) continue to sting {up 66.64% y/y, 109.65% q/q). ...
mlennyma
#8 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 8:46:51 AM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,184
Location: nairobi
40bob by march 2014 or earlier
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
mwekez@ji
#9 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:00:40 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
smile Angel smile .... The Balance Sheet too looks impressive

Loans and advances to customers have grown 19.77% y/y. Notice the growth in loan book started in Q3 2012 and this should keep going especially this year that the environment is good-looking. I fully understand and support their call for funds to keep the growth ON. Customer deposits are up 30.99% y/y and they also got substantial deposit in Q1 2013 which have contributed to the lower interest paid. The recently introduced current accounts are beginning to pay off and should continue to pay off with the expansion of the bank via new branches, agents and other customer delivery platform. …. The bank however needs to put Non Performing Loans (NPL) in check. They are up 79.17% y/y. Gross NPL/Loans ratio has increased to 8.5% from the 7.7% (Dec 2012), 6.9% (Sept 2012) and 5.7% (Jan - June 2012)
MoneyMonger
#10 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:16:06 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/25/2012
Posts: 110
mwekez@ji wrote:
smile Angel smile .... The Balance Sheet too looks impressive

Loans and advances to customers have grown 19.77% y/y. Notice the growth in loan book started in Q3 2012 and this should keep going especially this year that the environment is good-looking. I fully understand and support their call for funds to keep the growth ON. Customer deposits are up 30.99% y/y and they also got substantial deposit in Q1 2013 which have contributed to the lower interest paid. The recently introduced current accounts are beginning to pay off and should continue to pay off with the expansion of the bank via new branches, agents and other customer delivery platform. …. The bank however needs to put Non Performing Loans (NPL) in check. They are up 79.17% y/y. Gross NPL/Loans ratio has increased to 8.5% from the 7.7% (Dec 2012), 6.9% (Sept 2012) and 5.7% (Jan - June 2012)


The NPL worries me too. If not kept in check the advantage of the increased loan book might be trimmed over time!
There is nothing as dangerous as an Idea, when there is only one Idea
hisah
#11 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:18:46 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Will give this counter a week to see if it can shrug off NSE's buy weakeness period. If it does slip back to 20 that will be a welcome discount. Missed it while chasing kengen divs last Dec & still pinching myself for that mistake. Otherwise a good performance for Q1.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mwanahisa
#12 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:44:04 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
hisah wrote:
Will give this counter a week to see if it can shrug off NSE's buy weakeness period. If it does slip back to 20 that will be a welcome discount. Missed it while chasing kengen divs last Dec & still pinching myself for that mistake. Otherwise a good performance for Q1.


I have been buying HF for a while now; I would love to get more at 20, but unless there is a more severe correction on the NSE, I am pessimistic that they will get to such a level.
mwekez@ji
#13 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:44:04 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
cnn wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
cnn wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
HF builds strong 2013 first quarter « Capital Business http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/busi...rong-2013-first-quarter/

mmmh.

In need of a FY'12 vs Q1'13 analysis. Over to @mwekezaji & Co.

That quarter one 2013 vs quarter four 2012 i can't wait to have a look at...loan book growth and NPLs.

Comparing that article to this one reveals Q1 was very dull. Well, Mr. Mkt will decide on the valuations - Housing Finance posts Kshs 907 million full year profit http://www.housing.co.ke/index....million-full-year-profit


@Cde, the Q1 2013 performance is stellar. If the momentum set in this quarter keeps on, HFCK will deliver very honourable performance in FY 2013. The thing I note with your view is that you are comparing Q4 2012 with Q1 2013 which is resulting to the incorrect picture you have. Historically and without fail, banks Q4 have outperformed by substantial margin all other quarters in the year. See below quarterly PBT statistics for HFCK and notice the huge spike in PBT during Q4 (This observation also applies to all other banks)

Q1 2012 - KES 190,935
Q2 2012 - KES 166,646
Q3 2012 - KES 206,060
Q4 2012 - KES 343,990
Q1 2013 - KES 279,909
mwanahisa
#14 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 9:47:48 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@mwekezaji, you are right on the mark. As g267, a forward EPS of 4 will be attained. I am actually expecting higher at about 4.25.

mwekez@ji wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
cnn wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
cnn wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
HF builds strong 2013 first quarter « Capital Business http://www.capitalfm.co.ke/busi...rong-2013-first-quarter/

mmmh.

In need of a FY'12 vs Q1'13 analysis. Over to @mwekezaji & Co.

That quarter one 2013 vs quarter four 2012 i can't wait to have a look at...loan book growth and NPLs.

Comparing that article to this one reveals Q1 was very dull. Well, Mr. Mkt will decide on the valuations - Housing Finance posts Kshs 907 million full year profit http://www.housing.co.ke/index....million-full-year-profit


@Cde, the Q1 2013 performance is stellar. If the momentum set in this quarter keeps on, HFCK will deliver very honourable performance in FY 2013. The thing I note with your view is that you are comparing Q4 2012 with Q1 2013 which is resulting to the incorrect picture you have. Historically and without fail, banks Q4 have outperformed by substantial margin all other quarters in the year. See below quarterly PBT statistics for HFCK and notice the huge spike in PBT during Q4 (This observation also applies to all other banks)

Q1 2012 190,935
Q2 2012 166,646
Q3 2012 206,060
Q4 2012 343,990
Q1 2013 279,909

youcan'tstopusnow
#15 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:05:35 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge:

Q1 2,647,517
Q2 5,856,291
Q3 4,506,586
Q4 4,197,749

So exceptions are always there...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mwekez@ji
#16 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:12:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge:

Q1 2,647,517
Q2 5,856,291
Q3 4,506,586
Q4 4,197,749

So exceptions are always there...



#Noted. Asante.

Speaking for HFCK, Q4 will shine more than ever. HFCK construction subsidiary, Kenya Building Society is expected to start contributing to HFCK bottomline in Q4 2013. #Things_getting_merrier_here smile
Ericsson
#17 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:20:13 AM
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Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
HFCK is going to get competition from Co-op bank which is now entering the mortgage market with interest rates cheaper than HFCK.
Alos Barclays is getting back to mortgage business which it had scaled down over the past few years.
Both are doing similar models like HFCK i.e financing construction and also buyers at cheaper rates than HFCK
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
youcan'tstopusnow
#18 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:21:32 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mwekez@ji wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
mwekezaji, though that is usually true, I had indicated in an earlier thread (I think the Equity vs KCB one) that KCB failed to live up to many people's expectations as their Q4's came in lower as opposed to the 'traditional' Q4 surge:

Q1 2,647,517
Q2 5,856,291
Q3 4,506,586
Q4 4,197,749

So exceptions are always there...



#Noted. Asante.

Speaking for HFCK, Q4 will shine more than ever. HFCK construction subsidiary, Kenya Building Society is expected to start contributing to HFCK bottomline in Q4 2013. #Things_getting_merrier_here smile


Yeah, a lot of their housing projects will be coming online during that period and the first half of 2014. I'm sure we'll be hearing of more projects as we head along
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#19 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:27:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
The management is optimistic about 2013. And rightly so (ceteris paribus) as 1Q 2013 would have been muted with the elections being a damper especially in the 'sensitive' areas. I expect construction in RV should pick up to account for increased economic activity.

The KBS profits should roll in later (4Q 2013) but it sets the stage for a stronger 2014.

At the current pace, it is likely HFCK can achieve a 4 EPS thus the current price of 26 seems 'cheap'... relative to other counters & banks.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
VituVingiSana
#20 Posted : Friday, April 26, 2013 10:29:03 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,129
Location: Nairobi
Ericsson wrote:
HFCK is going to get competition from Co-op bank which is now entering the mortgage market with interest rates cheaper than HFCK.
Alos Barclays is getting back to mortgage business which it had scaled down over the past few years.
Both are doing similar models like HFCK i.e financing construction and also buyers at cheaper rates than HFCK
True but HFCK has 'institutional memory' while the newbies get their feet wet. Of course, there is always the possibility of a complete buy-out by Equity/Britam.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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