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Kenya Re FY 2012 Results
Ericsson
#21 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 12:48:31 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Quoted equity instruments they have stated in the cash flow activities there was no diposal.
The huge increase in the valuation was due to the appreciation of KCB share price where they have a significant holding
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
mwekez@ji
#22 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 12:53:25 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Drat!!! Why refer us to notes that they havent provided!!!


Am upset coz we can see the growth is majorly from investment income line (up 86.73% y/y) yet the note 7 we are being referred to is not available. we now cant tell precisely the composition of this investment income and how sustainable it is. i recall they sold a sports centre during the financial year and they also sold quoted equity instruments but we now cant tell the contribution of this two to this growth


If the investment income line had remained flat this year, Kenya Re would have recorded 17.98% decline in PAT. Damn!!! .... Over to 2013, political risk cover fortunes could be saviour. H1 2013 results will tell more now given that no insurance company will deliver Q1 2013 results
mwekez@ji
#23 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 12:58:16 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Ericsson wrote:
Quoted equity instruments they have stated in the cash flow activities there was no diposal.
The huge increase in the valuation was due to the appreciation of KCB share price where they have a significant holding


Mate, the current cashflow statement is very condensed. Cant tell much from that. Check H1 2012 financials and notice they did dispose quoted equity instruments. .... did kenya re take this long to release results so as to cook and condense them and hide info from investors
guru267
#24 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 1:02:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Drat!!! Why refer us to notes that they havent provided!!!


Am upset coz we can see the growth is majorly from investment income line (up 86.73% y/y) yet the note 7 we are being referred to is not available. we now cant tell precisely the composition of this investment income and how sustainable it is. i recall they sold a sports centre during the financial year and they also sold quoted equity instruments but we now cant tell the contribution of this two to this growth


If the investment income line had remained flat this year, Kenya Re would have recorded 17.98% decline in PAT. Damn!!! .... Over to 2013, political risk cover fortunes could be saviour. H1 2013 results will tell more now given that no insurance company will deliver Q1 2013 results


@Mwekez@ji isnt investment part of insurance business??
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
mwekez@ji
#25 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 1:14:00 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Drat!!! Why refer us to notes that they havent provided!!!


Am upset coz we can see the growth is majorly from investment income line (up 86.73% y/y) yet the note 7 we are being referred to is not available. we now cant tell precisely the composition of this investment income and how sustainable it is. i recall they sold a sports centre during the financial year and they also sold quoted equity instruments but we now cant tell the contribution of this two to this growth


If the investment income line had remained flat this year, Kenya Re would have recorded 17.98% decline in PAT. Damn!!! .... Over to 2013, political risk cover fortunes could be saviour. H1 2013 results will tell more now given that no insurance company will deliver Q1 2013 results


@Mwekez@ji isnt investment part of insurance business??


Do they have other "sports centres" "non current assets" to sell in 2013? .... Now that you've asked me a Q, i should add that, over to 2013, better performance of the stock, property and money markets would also be a saviour to this counter. BTW, I pray good for the counter for many reasons
mwekez@ji
#26 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 1:39:57 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
guru267 wrote:
NAV has risen to 20.9!!!Applause


Applause + at the current VWAP of KES 17.95, P/E = 4.48x. .... ROE has increased to 19.17% (from 16.61% in 2011) and ROA has increased to 11.78 (from 10.03% in 2011) Applause
mwekez@ji
#27 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 1:50:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
guru267 wrote:
NAV has risen to 20.9!!!Applause


Applause + at the current VWAP of KES 17.95, P/E = 4.48x. .... ROE has increased to 19.17% (from 16.61% in 2011) and ROA has increased to 11.78 (from 10.03% in 2011) Applause


Notice:

>sector average P/E is 7.23x (Kenya RE: 4.48x)
>sector avereage P/B is 1.74x (Kenya Re: 0.86x)

The discount *applause*
FUNKY
#28 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 3:26:20 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
guru267
#29 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 3:56:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
KCB and Kenya re officially have an equal eps of 4bob..

One wonders why the huge price differential...Sad Sad
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
murchr
#30 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 4:05:45 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
guru267 wrote:
I got in at 13 and I hope 2012 results meet the expectations below!

EPS = 3.3
DPS = 0.5-0.75
NAV = 20.5
Bonus shares = 1:7


Did you hit the nail on the head or missed?
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
the deal
#31 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 4:08:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Isnt Kenya Re's DPS equal to what I'm getting at Liberty?
jerry
#32 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 4:28:17 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
guru267 wrote:
KCB and Kenya re officially have an equal eps of 4bob..

One wonders why the huge price differential...Sad Sad

Take MOO to Kenya-Re!!! The Re-Insurer is mean.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
Ericsson
#33 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 4:36:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 10,702
Location: NAIROBI
Insurance companies normally have a low P/E ratio due to their conservative nature.None of the insurance companies listed at the NSE has a P/E greater than 10.
All in all Kenya Re I give it a price of ksh.25 which gives it a P/E of 6.
Wealth is built through a relatively simple equation
Wealth=Income + Investments - Lifestyle
guru267
#34 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 6:47:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
jerry wrote:
guru267 wrote:
KCB and Kenya re officially have an equal eps of 4bob..

One wonders why the huge price differential...Sad Sad

Take MOO to Kenya-Re!!! The Re-Insurer is mean.


Insurers dont do dividends... They need to retain all the cash they can...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
jerry
#35 Posted : Wednesday, April 24, 2013 10:33:11 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
guru267 wrote:
jerry wrote:
guru267 wrote:
KCB and Kenya re officially have an equal eps of 4bob..

One wonders why the huge price differential...Sad Sad

Take MOO to Kenya-Re!!! The Re-Insurer is mean.


Insurers dont do dividends... They need to retain all the cash they can...

What of Pan-Africa giving 3/=
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
guru267
#36 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 5:25:28 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
jerry wrote:
guru267 wrote:
jerry wrote:
guru267 wrote:
KCB and Kenya re officially have an equal eps of 4bob..

One wonders why the huge price differential...Sad Sad

Take MOO to Kenya-Re!!! The Re-Insurer is mean.


Insurers dont do dividends... They need to retain all the cash they can...

What of Pan-Africa giving 3/=


@jerry I thought at this level we deal more with percentages rather than absolute numbers..

You claim pan africa gave a DPS of 3bob... But did you notice EPS was 8bob?? This means that only 38% of profits are paid as dividends!

If pan africa is the most generous insurer with a 38% payout ratio then we can conclude they are all mean with cash!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
muganda
#37 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 11:03:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/15/2006
Posts: 3,905
Hmmn the 'je ne sais quoi' is just not there.

Bids
31,200 @ 17.15

Offers
467,900 @ 17.20

4.18% down and second worst performer today thus far.

Here's how you settle the issue on whether it's a good share, would you buy more at 17/=, say a whopper 200,000 lot?


jerry
#38 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 11:26:59 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
muganda wrote:
Hmmn the 'je ne sais quoi' is just not there.

Bids
31,200 @ 17.15

Offers
467,900 @ 17.20

4.18% down and second worst performer today thus far.

Here's how you settle the issue on whether it's a good share, would you buy more at 17/=, say a whopper 200,000 lot?



It should come down to 11-12.50
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
mwanahisa
#39 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 1:10:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
After the party, the hangover. As for a price of 11.00 to 12.50, NO WAY!!!
jerry wrote:
muganda wrote:
Hmmn the 'je ne sais quoi' is just not there.

Bids
31,200 @ 17.15

Offers
467,900 @ 17.20

4.18% down and second worst performer today thus far.

Here's how you settle the issue on whether it's a good share, would you buy more at 17/=, say a whopper 200,000 lot?



It should come down to 11-12.50

guru267
#40 Posted : Thursday, April 25, 2013 6:25:43 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Kenya re to venture into Zimbabwe, Zambia, & Botswana!! Applause

www.nation.co.ke/busines...32/-/lw0l9z/-/index.html
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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