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Genghis recommendation
wilyum
#1 Posted : Friday, April 05, 2013 4:15:32 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/21/2011
Posts: 1,010
The counters we believe have immense room for growth, and are good for long term investment are :-

· Kengen - Valuation Kes. 20.

This counter is at a high but is yet to hit the valuation of Kes. 20 per share based on its monopoly on power generation, raising further capital through their infrastructure bond as opposed to a rights issues that would have adversely affected an already undervalued counter, great half year results and an expected smooth CEO transition



· Kenol Kobil - Valuation Kes. 16

This counter has a conservative valuation and is grossly undervalued at current levels due to the PUMA merger deal gone south. This represents an opportunity to get the counter at a bargain, since their poor performance was due to hedging losses and not a fundamental deficiency in their core business.



· Total - Valuation Kes. 30

Total has a backing of their multinational parent company who owns 93% of the company, hence making it a stable company. The valuation of Kes. 30 per share is also a net asset value, which has not taken into account their 2013 strategy in growing the oil company.

·NBK - Valuation Kes. 36

Though the bank did not perform well in their 2012, the new CEO from Standard Chartered has already put in place a strategy to expand to various counties to tap the new resources available as a result of county devolution, the aggressive plan also includes restructuring staff to have a bigger business development team as opposed to operations, all this with a view of putting costs down and getting more efficient
Cde Monomotapa
#2 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2013 1:32:58 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Analysts can make great buddies smile
speculator
#3 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2013 2:51:23 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 12/1/2009
Posts: 75
Location: nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Analysts can make great buddies smile

do you approve the above list? Any additions or subtractions?
guru267
#4 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2013 3:40:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
NBK have a goal to be one of the top 5 banks in Kenya by 2020!

I think that makes today's price a serious bargain?
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
youcan'tstopusnow
#5 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2013 4:36:20 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
guru, I would love to see their blueprint for that.

The current top 5 iko strong and are not exactly resting on their laurels. Na ukumbuke the likes of NIC, DTB na I&M are knocking on the door. Not saying it's impossible, but kibarua kikali kwao...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Gadaffi
#6 Posted : Sunday, April 07, 2013 7:59:40 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
NBK inawesmakeit...this is th only stock that i am comfortably accumulating, its only direction is up, th worst hs already happened!!
jerry
#7 Posted : Monday, April 08, 2013 1:21:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
Gadaffi wrote:
NBK inawesmakeit...this is th only stock that i am comfortably accumulating, its only direction is up, th worst hs already happened!!

I Believe!
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
the deal
#8 Posted : Monday, April 08, 2013 8:10:24 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
jerry wrote:
Gadaffi wrote:
NBK inawesmakeit...this is th only stock that i am comfortably accumulating, its only direction is up, th worst hs already happened!!

I Believe!

With the pending rights issue & current state of affairs...means you are better off accumulating somewhere else....or wait till GoK ships out...this is a listed parastatal...look at other GoK firms i.e Portland Cement..I wonder how KenGen has survived thats ONLY its a strategic asset...backbone of the Kenyan economy...which means they screw there they screw the whole economy...suprising in 2011 this thing was above 40bob & people were buying thinking the worst is over...and a buyer was gonna show up...NBK is a classic value trap...look at the divergence with other banks...at current prices you are better off putting your money in CFC...DTB...or any of the promising mid tier banks...watch DTB & CFC.
Gadaffi
#9 Posted : Monday, April 08, 2013 9:09:02 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
jerry wrote:
Gadaffi wrote:
NBK inawesmakeit...this is th only stock that i am comfortably accumulating, its only direction is up, th worst hs already happened!!

I Believe!

With the pending rights issue & current state of affairs...means you are better off accumulating somewhere else....or wait till GoK ships out...this is a listed parastatal...look at other GoK firms i.e Portland Cement..I wonder how KenGen has survived thats ONLY its a strategic asset...backbone of the Kenyan economy...which means they screw there they screw the whole economy...suprising in 2011 this thing was above 40bob & people were buying thinking the worst is over...and a buyer was gonna show up...NBK is a classic value trap...look at the divergence with other banks...at current prices you are better off putting your money in CFC...DTB...or any of the promising mid tier banks...watch DTB & CFC.

@ deal, th current state of affairs is that NBK is a govt bank nw run by highly competent n aggresive management frm th private sector..
mwekez@ji
#10 Posted : Monday, April 08, 2013 9:20:22 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
guru, I would love to see their blueprint for that.

The current top 5 iko strong and are not exactly resting on their laurels. Na ukumbuke the likes of NIC, DTB na I&M are knocking on the door. Not saying it's impossible, but kibarua kikali kwao...


Someone pls share that NBK Vision 2020 Blueprint; link or send to wazua@googlegroups.com .
Museveni
#11 Posted : Monday, April 08, 2013 12:14:21 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/16/2012
Posts: 660
CFC Stanbic has had lots of chatter here on wazua.

Any reason why it is not on that list ?
Live and learn; and don’t forget, nothing ventured, nothing gained.
symbols
#12 Posted : Thursday, April 11, 2013 9:06:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 3/19/2013
Posts: 2,552
I might not agree with brokers recommendation especially after their outbursts last week,but KK and Total make sense for me.I have a hard time believing in CFC,NBK I like to leave it to those with a better understanding of it.
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