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Will Kenya's Election Be Peaceful?
hooverrl
#1 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 2:55:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/9/2006
Posts: 52
Location: USA
Hello everyone,

Will Kenya's Election Be Peaceful?

That is the question at the forefront of many foreign investors' minds today.

To help get a sense of the local mood, I asked seven local market-watchers to share their thoughts on the question. You can read them here.

Would be great to hear the opinions of other Wazuans, too!

Thanks and best wishes,
Ryan
mlennyma
#2 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 3:01:41 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,192
Location: nairobi
Go to the fortune tellers and they will also be guessing.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
ChessMaster
#3 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 3:09:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
I'll answer you as if I was a foreign investor. If we have peaceful elections and the market continues to rally(a rally supported by foreigners),when the masses come for a piece of the cake they shall reap handsome profits as they exit.

If we don't have peaceful elections,they will be affected but they will have a substantial amount of Kenya's assets in their hands and will get more opportunities to grab assets at a cheaper price.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
VituVingiSana
#4 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 4:22:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,242
Location: Nairobi
YES... or I am gonna kick some butt!!!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
a4architect.com
#5 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 4:36:29 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/4/2010
Posts: 1,668
Location: nairobi
I was asked if the elections will be peaceful yesterday by BBC journalists who were interviewing me on how the construction industry views the elections. I told them that the kibunjia commission has reigned in on rogue politicians who preach hate speech . This means the tribal animosity this time round will be non existent. The BBC crew insisted that the hate speech is less because of the ICC. I reminded them that i personally view the ICC as a leser court than Kibera law court in terms of dispensation of justice. THey were not very happy to see a Uhuruto supporter who is part of the construction industry in Kenya. I will post the audio here once they publish it.
As Iron Sharpens Iron, So one Man Sharpens Another.
Mukiri
#6 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 4:59:58 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2012
Posts: 5,222
a4architect.com wrote:
I was asked if the elections will be peaceful yesterday by BBC journalists who were interviewing me on how the construction industry views the elections. I told them that the kibunjia commission has reigned in on rogue politicians who preach hate speech . This means the tribal animosity this time round will be non existent. The BBC crew insisted that the hate speech is less because of the ICC. I reminded them that i personally view the ICC as a leser court than Kibera law court in terms of dispensation of justice. THey were not very happy to see a Uhuruto supporter who is part of the construction industry in Kenya. I will post the audio here once they publish it.

Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Mboss, you've got balls. Kibera is a greater court?

Proverbs 19:21
passiveinvestor
#7 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 5:00:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/8/2006
Posts: 104
I expect it will be largely peaceful. Everyone's overprepared (groceries, petrol, etc) and vigilant, which is a good thing as it deters criminal types. There's an overwhelming focus on peace and maturity from all the candidates, companies, individuals, etc. Even macro indicators are going in the opposite direction....no large share selloff / no rapid deterioration of KES, etc. Just my opinion
youcan'tstopusnow
#8 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 5:23:51 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:
YES... or I am gonna kick some butt!!!

You won't be stocking your fridge this time round?smile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
josiah33
#9 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 9:15:46 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/27/2011
Posts: 1,777
Lets just wait and see......
dunkang
#10 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 9:36:36 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2011
Posts: 4,818
Location: -1.2107, 36.8831
you should have told them that there will destruction of BAT and EABL properties, so they should SELL their stakes NOW! NOW! NOW! NOW!
Receive with simplicity everything that happens to you.” ― Rashi

VituVingiSana
#11 Posted : Thursday, February 28, 2013 10:10:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,242
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
YES... or I am gonna kick some butt!!!

You won't be stocking your fridge this time round?smile
Already stocked!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#12 Posted : Saturday, March 02, 2013 10:37:45 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
"This election period if u are burning anything,burn movies! If u are throwing anything throw a bash! If you are cutting anything kata keki! Kama lazima umwage damu mwaga ya kuku! Kama lazima uchome kitu choma takataka na kama ni lazima upige kitu,piga kura!....peaceful election Kenyans!"
smile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
holycow
#13 Posted : Saturday, March 02, 2013 12:35:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/11/2006
Posts: 972
Location: Home
dunkang wrote:
you should have told them that there will destruction of BAT and EABL properties, so they should SELL their stakes NOW! NOW! NOW! NOW!


Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly I guess you sitting on cash like me.
techboy
#14 Posted : Saturday, March 02, 2013 3:04:14 PM
Rank: User


Joined: 6/18/2009
Posts: 271
For me the stock market is the best leading indicator you can ever have. The huge turnover we have seen point to a very peaceful election.
guru267
#15 Posted : Saturday, March 02, 2013 4:02:30 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
techboy wrote:
For me the stock market is the best leading indicator you can ever have. The huge turnover we have seen point to a very peaceful election.


Its as if turnover is the one that will pick up pangas & stones!!

No one can see the actual future.. All we can do is make.predictions & speculate!

Right now the market is speculating peace but that does not mean something bad will not happen!!
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
sparkly
#16 Posted : Saturday, March 02, 2013 4:28:07 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
guru267 wrote:
techboy wrote:
For me the stock market is the best leading indicator you can ever have. The huge turnover we have seen point to a very peaceful election.


Its as if turnover is the one that will pick up pangas & stones!!

No one can see the actual future.. All we can do is make.predictions & speculate!

Right now the market is speculating peace but that does not mean something bad will not happen!!


@Guru very true. A black swan event could happen anytime. I am however taking the gamble that elections will be peacefull and that we just got into a 7 yr bull cycle last year.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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