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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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murchr wrote:ChessMaster wrote:mlennyma wrote:Am very annoyed by hfck refusing to come down as i expect For me its cables.Rise or fall,do something. HFCK has all indications of getting to 15/- I'm not so sure about that. As long as people keep buying it as the price is falling it might stagnate. Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,477 Location: nairobi
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:murchr wrote:Where are those who were saying that the markets wont feel the fever? We are here  So were's the fever in Mpesa & simba? Btw the fever will only be/is only on selected stocks,those without strong fundamentals & will be pronounced from March 4th esp if there's a contested election. It will be time to take a plunge,& a really big one!!!! Dont be left out! #makingmoney2013 COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/23/2009 Posts: 14,477 Location: nairobi
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Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:murchr wrote:Where are those who were saying that the markets wont feel the fever? We are here So were's the fever in Mpesa & simba? Btw the fever will only be/is only on selected stocks,those without strong fundamentals & will be pronounced from March 4th esp if there's a contested election. It will be time to take a plunge,& a really big one!!!! Dont be left out! #makingmoney2013 a number of firm's stock prices are still way higher than they were at the end of Q4 2012 hence buyin in Q1 was a good move. And I ask, if everyone is to sell who remains? The answer is the long termer and institutional investors. These two groups will provide price stability even in a contested election, esp for stocks with strong fundamentals.. IMO, only local people with very few shares individually and some short-term-profit-hungry foreigners are selling at the moment COOP 306,100 ABP 31.96, KEGN 112,100 ABP 10.64, MTNU 131,000 ABP 10.21
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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obiero wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:murchr wrote:Where are those who were saying that the markets wont feel the fever? We are here So were's the fever in Mpesa & simba? Btw the fever will only be/is only on selected stocks,those without strong fundamentals & will be pronounced from March 4th esp if there's a contested election. It will be time to take a plunge,& a really big one!!!! Dont be left out! #makingmoney2013 a number of firm's stock prices are still way higher than they were at the end of Q4 2012 hence buyin in Q1 was a good move. And I ask, if everyone is to sell who remains? The answer is the long termer and institutional investors. These two groups will provide price stability even in a contested election, esp for stocks with strong fundamentals.. IMO, only local people with very few shares individually and some short-term-profit-hungry foreigners are selling at the moment Institutional investors - pension funds and insurance(among others),are forced to participate in the market.There I agree with you. But what are 'high prices'? Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Plain and simple. Wanjikus will never influence Mr Market. Wanjiku expects $=100 & NSE to selloff hard. Mr Market always likes to disappoint herd mentality. Unless there is an outsize market event, the herd is highly likely to be disappointed. I have put my skin on the line since Nov 2012 despite the glaring risks and fear parade. I stand unmoved unless a market event forces me to jump ship. Emerging markets vs global main markets, the latter promises faster outsize performance for a decade at least. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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hisah wrote:Plain and simple. Wanjikus will never influence Mr Market.
Wanjiku expects $=100 & NSE to selloff hard. Mr Market always likes to disappoint herd mentality.
Unless there is an outsize market event, the herd is highly likely to be disappointed.
I have put my skin on the line since Nov 2012 despite the glaring risks and fear parade. I stand unmoved unless a market event forces me to jump ship.
Emerging markets vs global main markets, the latter promises faster outsize performance for a decade at least. I think I see what angle you are coming from.But considering the events in the global markets,can you say the risk level emerging markets are exposed to are almost evenly matched with global markets? Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hisah wrote:Plain and simple. Wanjikus will never influence Mr Market.
Wanjiku expects $=100 & NSE to selloff hard. Mr Market always likes to disappoint herd mentality.
Unless there is an outsize market event, the herd is highly likely to be disappointed.
I have put my skin on the line since Nov 2012 despite the glaring risks and fear parade. I stand unmoved unless a market event forces me to jump ship.
Emerging markets vs global main markets, the latter promises faster outsize performance for a decade at least. Wanjiku left the market in Dec and came rushing back after the local dailys started beating the drums on how the market is rallying. I foresee the foreign investors holding back a bit but time might prove me wrong. "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/23/2009 Posts: 1,626
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We also have to consider what someone said(can't remember who),foreign investors might be locals operating via proxy. Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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cnn wrote:murchr wrote:Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:murchr wrote:Where are those who were saying that the markets wont feel the fever? We are here So were's the fever in Mpesa & simba? Btw the fever will only be/is only on selected stocks,those without strong fundamentals & will be pronounced from March 4th esp if there's a contested election. It will be time to take a plunge,& a really big one!!!! Dont be left out! #makingmoney2013 Lets continue watching. Woe unto us if there will be a runoff Even a 10% correction from current levels(NSE 20 @ 4000) will be very welcome,i am still 25% in cash and a chance to get more of my chosen counters cheaper i will take with open arms. @cnn. What stocks are your chosen counters? The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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