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KQ is now trading at 13.50 - below rights issue
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Pesa Nane
#111 Posted : Tuesday, December 04, 2012 9:30:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 5/25/2012
Posts: 4,105
Location: 08c
murchr wrote:
Pesa Nane wrote:
murchr wrote:
Aguytrying wrote:
obiero wrote:
Spot on. KQ does have poor customer service. Most of the staff are nonchalant and apathetic. The CEO has ridden over many storms including two air crashes, that cld have deflated the business basing on a relative small fleet size. He deserves kudos for some things but his sunset days are now here. New floor price of KES 10 is in the offing over the next few days. No one will sell below KES 10.


The stock market doesn't like words like no one, or never


Wanjiku's may be the rest will hold on.

UNTRUE. Non-Wanjikus (Read seasoned investors) who got in sub-13 will cut losses and sell below 10 if push comes to shove


Hakuna...lets keep watching, so far Mr. Mkt hasnt indicated that, infact more "seasoned investors" are getting in.


Ati? Laughing out loudly

hisah wrote:
VWAP currently @10.75/- Pray Pray Pray

Pesa Nane plans to be shilingi when he grows up.
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itz
#112 Posted : Tuesday, December 04, 2012 11:32:19 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/20/2009
Posts: 348
All those who bought KQ all the way down from 30 were warned.i said many times it was going to single digits.A merger with ethiopian airlines and SA airways or a drastic fall in oil prices would change the fortunes of this airline.The court ruling today doesn't help either.
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mazingira
#113 Posted: : Wednesday, December 05, 2012 6:27:57 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
As a shareholder it makes me sick but I foresee an Uchumi style bailout as the only way out for KQ
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Kausha
#114 Posted : Wednesday, December 05, 2012 9:05:17 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 2/8/2007
Posts: 808
A while ago I intimated that KQ running in it's current fashion will require a government bailout in by 2016 latest!
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VituVingiSana
#115 Posted : Monday, December 10, 2012 10:33:10 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
Why KQ's directors & management do not own shares in KQ.

BIDS 46,700
Quantity Price Splits Time
2,000 10.70 1 10:30:27
6,400 10.50 3 10:30:27
23,000 10.25 1 10:30:27
14,000 10.20 2 10:30:27
1,300 10.00 1 10:30:27
ASKS 29,700
Quantity Price Splits Time
6,500 11.25 2 10:30:27
10,800 11.30 2 10:30:27
11,600 11.55 2 10:30:27
800 11.60 1 10:30:27
- - - -
TRADES
Quantity Price Time
100 11.25 10:06:25
400 11.00 10:06:25
2,700 10.70 10:06:22
1,800 10.80 10:05:04
100 11.00 09:48:46
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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sentinel prime
#116 Posted : Monday, December 10, 2012 2:24:55 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 11/12/2012
Posts: 92
Kausha wrote:
A while ago I intimated that KQ running in it's current fashion will require a government bailout in by 2016 latest!


this makes it a very safe company ....the trick is to watch price action to confirm where there's support.
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hisah
#117 Posted : Monday, December 10, 2012 3:29:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VWAP 10.85/-

At this sub 11/- level KQ is technically oversold, but the risk/reward ratio of catching this falling knife is too skewed towards burning fingers.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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jerry
#118 Posted : Monday, December 10, 2012 4:28:04 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
hisah wrote:
VWAP 10.85/-

At this sub 11/- level KQ is technically oversold, but the risk/reward ratio of catching this falling knife is too skewed towards burning fingers.

@hisa. Do we expect any dvdd come March 2013?
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
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VituVingiSana
#119 Posted : Tuesday, December 11, 2012 2:16:07 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,361
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
VWAP 10.85/-

At this sub 11/- level KQ is technically oversold, but the risk/reward ratio of catching this falling knife is too skewed towards burning fingers.
Are you sure? I expect a 2H loss:

- Fired staff back on the payroll
- Legals fees
- Loss of focus
- High fuel prices
- Increased capacity but low loads
- Elections scare away tourists (potential violence)

The results will be released May/June 2013. I expect sub-10.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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hisah
#120 Posted : Tuesday, December 11, 2012 8:56:17 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
VituVingiSana wrote:
hisah wrote:
VWAP 10.85/-

At this sub 11/- level KQ is technically oversold, but the risk/reward ratio of catching this falling knife is too skewed towards burning fingers.
Are you sure? I expect a 2H loss:

- Fired staff back on the payroll
- Legals fees
- Loss of focus
- High fuel prices
- Increased capacity but low loads
- Elections scare away tourists (potential violence)

The results will be released May/June 2013. I expect sub-10.

My conclusion was it's too risky even if it's technically oversold. It'll bounce due to selling fatigue, but fundamentals point south for now until there's a drastic change of events towards recovery. I expect capitulation to occur post results in 2013, which could push it sub 10/- for a while. I still foresee a special AGM soon and it'll be action-packed.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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