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What will stocks be worth in 2020
mazingira
#1 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 6:16:15 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
Say 8 years from now the following shares remain what do you reckon they will be worth :

1. KCB --- current value 28.75 given the rate of inflation at about 11 percent that's 88% but take half of that and we should be looking at a stock value round 50 easy...so those who bought at 17 and can hold on that's a pretty penny. I do though believe this stock is undervalued and think it could be valued round 80. Risk is a property meltdown US style and Dubai. Then all banks r in shit.

2. Safcom ---double up 12 bob with Ethiopia but m-Shwari a difficult sell.

3. Unga--- why the huge reserves and serious undervaluation I feel 100 but given what's happening maybe 30 if we're lucky

4. EABL--- after a successful buy out of Bralirwa when share price is at 275 I see this share touching 500

5. Kengen --- Turkana wind , ol karia ...all taking off partially paid off ...nice sums of net income returns , hefty dividend yields ...but big debts still on books and increased demands for energy ... 20--24 shillings

6. --- slight drop , or stegnant Construction is bound to slowif not crash . In 8 years recovery in the cement production industry will only occur due to growth across borders and government projects on infrastructure

Help me out with the rest

.
S.Mutaga III
#2 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 6:43:48 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 830
2020 is too far to predict my friend...maybe some of those companies will have been bought out by oversees companies like Puma and KK,others be declared insolvent...we all know that Kenyan autiting firms always give unqualified opinions on companies financial statements,while this may not be the case on the ground.Maybe even now not all listed companies are going concerns.
A successful man is not he who gets the best, it is he who makes the best from what he gets.
mazingira
#3 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:02:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
True ...
mazingira
#4 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:06:04 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
Just thinking ... My grandad bought breweries in the 60's beautiful paper n certificate he still has what he spent then he gets 2 fold as dividend every month
mazingira
#5 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:07:20 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
Every year sorry
Jamani
#6 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:27:19 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/12/2006
Posts: 1,554
Maybe the question should be after peaceful elections of a popular president in 2014 what will the prices be.........(though for a suspect president even if popular the answer is obvious).
ngapat
#7 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 7:34:51 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 884
mazingira wrote:
Say 8 years from now the following shares remain what do you reckon they will be worth :

1. KCB --- current value 28.75 given the rate of inflation at about 11 percent that's 88% but take half of that and we should be looking at a stock value round 50 easy...so those who bought at 17 and can hold on that's a pretty penny. I do though believe this stock is undervalued and think it could be valued round 80. Risk is a property meltdown US style and Dubai. Then all banks r in shit.

2. Safcom ---double up 12 bob with Ethiopia but m-Shwari a difficult sell.

3. Unga--- why the huge reserves and serious undervaluation I feel 100 but given what's happening maybe 30 if we're lucky

4. EABL--- after a successful buy out of Bralirwa when share price is at 275 I see this share touching 500

5. Kengen --- Turkana wind , ol karia ...all taking off partially paid off ...nice sums of net income returns , hefty dividend yields ...but big debts still on books and increased demands for energy ... 20--24 shillings

6. --- slight drop , or stegnant Construction is bound to slowif not crash . In 8 years recovery in the cement production industry will only occur due to growth across borders and government projects on infrastructure

Help me out with the rest

.

what do you mean by ' after successful buy out of bralirwa
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
mazingira
#8 Posted : Tuesday, November 27, 2012 9:39:06 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/26/2012
Posts: 136
ngapat wrote:
mazingira wrote:
Say 8 years from now the following shares remain what do you reckon they will be worth :

1. KCB --- current value 28.75 given the rate of inflation at about 11 percent that's 88% but take half of that and we should be looking at a stock value round 50 easy...so those who bought at 17 and can hold on that's a pretty penny. I do though believe this stock is undervalued and think it could be valued round 80. Risk is a property meltdown US style and Dubai. Then all banks r in shit.

2. Safcom ---double up 12 bob with Ethiopia but m-Shwari a difficult sell.

3. Unga--- why the huge reserves and serious undervaluation I feel 100 but given what's happening maybe 30 if we're lucky

4. EABL--- after a successful buy out of Bralirwa when share price is at 275 I see this share touching 500

5. Kengen --- Turkana wind , ol karia ...all taking off partially paid off ...nice sums of net income returns , hefty dividend yields ...but big debts still on books and increased demands for energy ... 20--24 shillings

6. --- slight drop , or stegnant Construction is bound to slowif not crash . In 8 years recovery in the cement production industry will only occur due to growth across borders and government projects on infrastructure


Hypothetical my friend scenarios of possibility or probability


Help me out with the rest

.

what do you mean by ' after successful buy out of bralirwa

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