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Safaricom at 4 bob...
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Bettertry
#111 Posted : Saturday, October 27, 2012 10:54:18 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/19/2010
Posts: 237
Location: Republic of Graham & Doddsville
Mukiri wrote:
Bought quite some shares @ IPO and have bravely held onto them. Sell when they get to 5? (loosing on inflation, time and opportunity cost) Whats your advice? Mimi ni kurutu

I empathise with u bt, on another note, looking back had u continued, systematically, to invest in this firm ignoring all the naysayers & red herrings that were all over the place u'd now, comfortably, b in that position that @Sparkly outlined above! Invest time in educating urself as u also invest ur money...
We Will Either Find a Way or Create One - HANNIBAL
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gesowan
#112 Posted : Saturday, October 27, 2012 4:04:54 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/6/2010
Posts: 289
mazingira wrote:
I believe with the woes affecting Airtel and YU just being denied use of the M-Pesa Platform, we have an interesting future in this share . I personally have only ever sold one counter that i ever owned due to lack of faith in that share. I believe in the long term investments (in good counters ), buy and forget for ten years , keep re-investing your dividends and should all be okay. POLE POLE TU



sawa but will Olympia get to 18 which was our entry point and then bot rights at 14 today trading sub 3
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murchr
#113 Posted : Saturday, October 27, 2012 6:41:58 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
VWAP @4.35/-

5cts away from Morgan Stanley's target. I expect 5/- to be tested by yr end.


VWAP closes @4.45/- with a high of 4.50/- MS target achieved. Demand today is 16x supply. I still see scope of 4.80 - 5/- being hit by Nov 8th as H1 results come in.


Then Wanjikus will flood the market.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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mlennyma
#114 Posted : Saturday, October 27, 2012 7:16:06 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
I think wanjikus exited safcom and those left are not wanjikus as such.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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sparkly
#115 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 12:07:17 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
gesowan wrote:
mazingira wrote:
I believe with the woes affecting Airtel and YU just being denied use of the M-Pesa Platform, we have an interesting future in this share . I personally have only ever sold one counter that i ever owned due to lack of faith in that share. I believe in the long term investments (in good counters ), buy and forget for ten years , keep re-investing your dividends and should all be okay. POLE POLE TU



sawa but will Olympia get to 18 which was our entry point and then bot rights at 14 today trading sub 3

Unlikely that OCH will get to 18 just so that you can breakeven. Fair value is nowhere near 18. Cut your losses and move on.
Life is short. Live passionately.
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sparkly
#116 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 12:12:46 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2009
Posts: 8,083
Location: Enk are Nyirobi
mlennyma wrote:
I think wanjikus exited safcom and those left are not wanjikus as such.


@mlennyma trust me they are still there... About 800,000 of them!
Life is short. Live passionately.
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guru267
#117 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 1:29:28 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
gesowan wrote:
will Olympia get to 18 which was our entry point and then bot rights at 14 today trading sub 3


Maybe someday it will! but investors should learn & know when to cut losses...

In 2010 OCH was trading at 10bob and it was that year they made it obvious to the world that this company was in a pit latrine!

Why didn't you sell with the available info?? I know hindsight vision is 20-20 but you cannot compare the loss @ 10bob & @ 3bob!

My advice is
1. since you lost 84% of your money in OCH sell your shares and get into one of the banks (HFCK,NIC) or insurers(Kenya re, PAI) and break even within 5years...

2. You may also choose to stick with OCH if you believe the directors who dumped their own company will turn things around!
www.businessdailyafrica....ml/-/dx5jfc/-/index.html
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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hisah
#118 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 8:24:15 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
VWAP @4.35/-

5cts away from Morgan Stanley's target. I expect 5/- to be tested by yr end.


VWAP closes @4.45/- with a high of 4.50/- MS target achieved. Demand today is 16x supply. I still see scope of 4.80 - 5/- being hit by Nov 8th as H1 results come in.


Then Wanjikus will flood the market.

Why will wanjikus flood? They've had 5yrs of harsh punishment. Any wanjiku still standing now gave up or has grown a thick hide!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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maka
#119 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 10:47:20 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 4/22/2010
Posts: 11,522
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
VWAP @4.35/-

5cts away from Morgan Stanley's target. I expect 5/- to be tested by yr end.


VWAP closes @4.45/- with a high of 4.50/- MS target achieved. Demand today is 16x supply. I still see scope of 4.80 - 5/- being hit by Nov 8th as H1 results come in.


Then Wanjikus will flood the market.

Why will wanjikus flood? They've had 5yrs of harsh punishment. Any wanjiku still standing now gave up or has grown a thick hide!

...@hisah,flood the market is two sided buy or sell side...@murchr nipande gani?
possunt quia posse videntur
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VituVingiSana
#120 Posted : Sunday, October 28, 2012 6:51:14 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,350
Location: Nairobi
gesowan wrote:
mazingira wrote:
I believe with the woes affecting Airtel and YU just being denied use of the M-Pesa Platform, we have an interesting future in this share . I personally have only ever sold one counter that i ever owned due to lack of faith in that share. I believe in the long term investments (in good counters ), buy and forget for ten years , keep re-investing your dividends and should all be okay. POLE POLE TU

sawa but will Olympia get to 18 which was our entry point and then bot rights at 14 today trading sub 3
Not as long as matu & friends are running the show.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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