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TransCentury H1 2012 profit jumps six fold
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hisah
#31 Posted : Friday, October 05, 2012 9:42:39 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@aguy - yep, the listing was packaged in a very rosy fashion and some brokers were hellbent on defending the lofty P/E of 38 at the listing price of 60/-

Wash, rinse, repeat until wanjiku learns the art of being discerning that's when the casino will stop...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mlennyma
#32 Posted : Monday, October 15, 2012 1:59:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
http://af.reuters.com/ar...ws/idAFL5E8LF9H820121015
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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FUNKY
#33 Posted : Monday, October 15, 2012 2:42:32 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
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mwekez@ji
#34 Posted : Wednesday, October 17, 2012 6:15:51 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
mwekez@ji wrote:
the deal wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
Valuation of TCL

Genghis Capital - LONG TERM BUY - TP KES 62.35 Link

Dyer & Blair - BUY - TP KES 68.10 Link

NIC - LONG TERM BUY - Recommendation made when the stock was listed at KES 50 Link

@the deal LONG TERM BUY recommendation at KES 20.50 Link

************************************



You see how one would have been screwed if he/she followed those
stockbroker recommendations...if one bought when Yours Truly was saying buy...you would be up 20%


@the deal, you are on point, what's your Target Price?


This counter is back to KES 20. What say you
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hisah
#35 Posted : Wednesday, October 17, 2012 6:27:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
I expect this thing to nosedive to 15/- The one year chart is bearish and momentum is on the sell side. Makes you wonder with all that 600% H1 2012 profit result, Mr Market is not one bit interested Not talking
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, October 17, 2012 6:28 PM | Reason: Not specified
itz
#36 Posted : Wednesday, October 17, 2012 6:40:51 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/20/2009
Posts: 348
TCL was overvalued at 50 but around 20 which has been a floor for sometime the company can grow into the 50 valuation over the next few years.Some insiders(employees) +short term traders are getting impatient with the price action and they will keep offloading mostly to meet short term obligations.The big percentage of holders are mostly LT holders and that is why i dont see it going to 15 because the big guyz won't offload at this prices.
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, October 17, 2012 6:43 PM | Reason: Not specified
hisah
#37 Posted : Friday, October 19, 2012 12:43:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Today 1M shares have already traded and VWAP currently stands @20.50/- Been a while since there was such a volume spike on this counter. Back in March huge volume supported 20/- and price spiked to 27/- where huge volume came in (June - sellside) and the price has tanked back to 20/-

If @itz you are right, then we should see the same game played again... But MACD and momentum are quite bearish and this is why I see it testing below 20/-
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#38 Posted : Wednesday, October 24, 2012 3:12:46 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
TCL has moved 1.65M shares today. If this volume spike is maintained, then 20/- may be supported negating my 15/- target. I wonder if the current volume is chasing the selling proceeds of that Tz tea firm by TCL on Jan 2013. Will TCL give a special div?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mlennyma
#39 Posted : Wednesday, October 24, 2012 4:20:26 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
I think transcentury will be hit hard by not accomplishing its intended projects in time.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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eggnest
#40 Posted : Sunday, December 30, 2012 1:35:42 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/11/2011
Posts: 48
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