hisah wrote:hisah wrote: But nobody listens or cares until the next episode of currency volatility, credit squeeze with sky high funding rates & an economical growth slump period.
KE needs to ensure that it can maintain a GDP growth of 5% plus at least for 5yrs in a row to plug the deficits. Otherwise austerity pills will be served and that will be a bad outcome. Local production boost is a must and imports of things that can be sourced locally should be highly taxed. I like that idea by Jimnah about forming a bank of industries which can fund massive projects. Now Le prof warns about the looming debt crisis. But one IMF expects GDP to expand 5% by end of 2012 after 2 qtrs of consecutive growth contraction!
Quote:Writing in the annual Financial Sector Stability report released mid last week, Prof Ndung’u also warned the government against overshooting its borrowing limits. He said such a move amounts to pumping money directly into the economy, causing inflation. “Accelerated (government) borrowing from the central bank is inflationary as it is equated to printing of money and, therefore, leads to macroeconomic instability through inflationary pressures,” he wrote.
www.businessdailyafrica....70/-/ir3r4e/-/index.html
What an admission by a central banker, that they're causing inflation. I remember someone telling me he heard some guy at MOF tell a foreigner that the fair value of the shilling was 90. But just like Githae and some of his statement seems people shoot from the hip, making statements without realizing the consequences.
Maybe the only way for the economy/GDP to grow is for government to spend, their spending is on administrative costs as the governor said. Cumulative interest payments on domestic debt are up 44% from 14.9 billion to 21.5 billion. From the cbk weekly the average time to maturity of government securities declined to 4 years and 9 months in September from 5 years and 4 months at the end of June 2012. Seems the country is heading further toward an adjustable rate mortgage - not a good sign when yields are edging up.
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden