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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#2061 Posted : Friday, August 31, 2012 10:57:05 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gold option traders most bullish since Oct 2008...

www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36274.html

Euro-gold (XAU/EUR) technicals near perfect...

www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36256.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2062 Posted : Saturday, September 01, 2012 1:43:06 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gold corrections & recovery...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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mnandii
#2063 Posted : Sunday, September 02, 2012 9:16:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
Will be shorting GBPUSD in the new week. Expect also some up move in EurUsd before the BIG fall.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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hisah
#2064 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 5:13:04 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mnandii wrote:
Will be shorting GBPUSD in the new week. Expect also some up move in EurUsd before the BIG fall.

September 12. This is the 2nd last barrier then we move to the Nov elections in US...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2065 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 5:28:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Last year SA faced some labour strife that was not handled properly. The current miners situation is a boiling point that needs immediate resolution. In the meantime ZAR is starting to be pressured. USDZAR could test 10.00 as JSE tests 30000 or lower if the mining industrial action tips! Should things unravel, ZARJPY could squeeze sizable pips.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2066 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 5:38:24 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
dave.kim wrote:
hisah wrote:
Quote:
Gold. The approximately 320,000 shares of GLD that Soros owned at the end of April had become about 880,000 by the end of June, representing a large increase in his exposure to gold.

finally gold breaks out of the falling trendline on the weekly triangle. Long for long term. This will be my make or break

My system has been triggered on the long side. I was looking for a break of $1640 and $28.40 for gold and silver respectively. Heavy trades are on silver. I see it rallying than gold. SL @ breakeven since momentum is weak for now. Be on the look out for EURUSD. It needs to hold 1.25. This is a strong selling zone.



Time to buy gold under $1700 is running out...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2067 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 5:55:05 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Since Nov 2011, it has been quite interesting following the gold accumulation by CBs esp Russia, China, Brazil and S. Korea.

http://metalnewsstream.c...ontinues-to-accumulate/
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2068 Posted : Monday, September 03, 2012 6:31:54 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Gold option traders most bullish since Oct 2008...

www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36274.html

Euro-gold (XAU/EUR) technicals near perfect...

www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36256.html

XAU/EUR - spoiling for a major breakout to new all time highs. Below is the 10yr chart showing the looming carnage the euro will get when gold breaks above €1,364 level.

http://www.xe.com/curren...amp;to=EUR&view=10Y
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2069 Posted : Friday, September 07, 2012 7:58:39 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
hisah wrote:
dave.kim wrote:
hisah wrote:
Quote:
Gold. The approximately 320,000 shares of GLD that Soros owned at the end of April had become about 880,000 by the end of June, representing a large increase in his exposure to gold.

finally gold breaks out of the falling trendline on the weekly triangle. Long for long term. This will be my make or break

My system has been triggered on the long side. I was looking for a break of $1640 and $28.40 for gold and silver respectively. Heavy trades are on silver. I see it rallying than gold. SL @ breakeven since momentum is weak for now. Be on the look out for EURUSD. It needs to hold 1.25. This is a strong selling zone.



Time to buy gold under $1700 is running out...

Gold under $1700 handle buy window is now closed. $1820 then $1920 targeted then $2000+

XAU/EUR - Just a few euros away from the looming breakout. The breakout is going to crimp the euro badly. September 12 looms. Stay tuned for a breakdown or a QE announcement.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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itz
#2070 Posted : Friday, September 07, 2012 8:12:24 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2009
Posts: 348
itz wrote:
looking to go long(huge position) euro/usd at this range 1.2258-1.23.It is a very crowded short.i expect 1.34 by December 2012


Are you happy to see me or is that eur/usd long from 1.22 in your pocket?
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hisah
#2071 Posted : Friday, September 07, 2012 8:22:22 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
itz wrote:
itz wrote:
looking to go long(huge position) euro/usd at this range 1.2258-1.23.It is a very crowded short.i expect 1.34 by December 2012


Are you happy to see me or is that eur/usd long from 1.22 in your pocket?

Yep, euro shorts were too much. More than during GFC 2008 and 2010 Greek default scare. The short squeeze will kill those late shorts.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2072 Posted : Sunday, September 09, 2012 9:11:47 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
why is putin buying gold bullion - http://articles.marketwa...d-council-power-politics
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2073 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 6:05:09 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Everybody knows that the euro fundies are so horrible, but the eurocrats will not let Mr Market have his way. But fx being fx, the reality does catch up later. For now eurocrats have put a huge bid boost behind the euro, shorting it will bleed those positions badly. SNB is about to look good for putting a floor on EURCHF @1.20 since last year. And so the market manipulation continues...

But with all the central planning firepower on the euro, the euro is still a short. However, one doesn't rob a casino head on. So the best way to rob the euro casino is via gold. Central planners can fire their inkjets to spew billions of euro papers, but that they can't when it comes to the metals.

So is it possible to short the euro? Yes!

XAU/EUR - That is your ticket. So don't do it via the fx cross unless you can afford ur own printing press!

@mnandii - don't short gold. Look at the BRIC for direction. Westside ni porojo tu. They're living in the past... Broke a** pretenders.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2074 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 6:56:07 PM
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Closer XAU/EUR... Now let's see how ECB deals with this smile

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2075 Posted : Wednesday, September 12, 2012 3:05:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Reuters wrote:
The gold price rose to its highest since late February after Germany's constitutional court approved the country's participation in the permanent euro zone bailout fund, which boosted the euro against the dollar.


The tail-risk on the euro has been removed with this ruling. Permission to print euros granted! Euro shorts will be squeezed mercilessly for the time being. No need to fight the money printing presses at this point...

I expect the metals to mount a hell of a rally from now henceforth as the liquidity tsunami is unleashed. The next tsunami session is the US fiscal cliff issue. More QE tsunami coming up.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2076 Posted : Thursday, September 13, 2012 10:45:15 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
So the fed decides its time to unleash the USD tsunami. Stocks, commodities and other currencies rally like mad. With food commodities already rallying in 2012, this will make the rally even more furious. In a few months time oil and food inflation won't be funny... I expect food riots in 2013...

In the meantime gold, platinum and silver tank to their 7 month highs...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2077 Posted : Friday, September 14, 2012 6:49:27 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Gold vs euro - The breakout is today. Catch the ringside action at the London session today...

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/XAUEUR:IND

With QE infinite I expect Gold vs USD to finish above $2000 in 2012. Silver will also test $45 then race to new all time highs...

As for oil, I really hope brent doesnt surpass $150/bb. That oil inflation will not be funny!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2078 Posted : Saturday, September 15, 2012 8:55:15 AM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
XAUEUR breakout didnt happen as expected yesterday, but it will very soon.

Silver is the game though. Some Morgue will chew on stale bread when it flies past $40. This time its unstoppable smile
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2079 Posted : Monday, September 17, 2012 4:28:21 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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Euro has rallied while gold has also rallied against it... Who's fooling who...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#2080 Posted : Monday, September 17, 2012 4:30:05 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
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Euro has rallied while gold has also rallied against it... Who's fooling who...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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