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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
Rank: Member Joined: 3/15/2009 Posts: 362
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hisah wrote:shocks wrote:Seems this week we will see some major news out of the mbawa drilling. The million dollar question is ÏS IT GOOD OR BAD NEWS?" http//www.theeastafrican.co.ke/news/Possible+oil+find+at+Mbawa+well/-/2558/1500268/-/6ox7rw/-/index.html http//www.upstreamonline.com/live/article1264728.ece Crossing my fingers. But why is it only Pan-continental that has suspended share trade, why not tullow or apache? Share suspension is bullish. Cheers everyone, my finger crossing worked! finally a gas elephant in our backyard. compare the net pay with the proven reserves of mozambique, we have 52m, they have 55m and the drilling has not yet reached the planned depth-:)
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 8/11/2010 Posts: 1,011 Location: nairobi
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10 Sep 2012 Mbawa-1 Drilling Update Tullow Oil plc (Tullow) announces that the Mbawa-1 exploration well in the L8 licence area, offshore Kenya, has encountered gas in the shallowest objective. The Mbawa-1 exploration well has been drilled to a depth of 2,553 metres and has encountered approximately 52 metres of net gas pay in porous Cretaceous sandstones. The well will now be drilled to a total depth of 3,275 metres targeting further exploration objectives. Apache (50%) is Operator of the offshore Block L8 Licence along with partners Origin Energy (20%), Pancontinental (15%) and Tullow (15%). Commenting today, Angus McCoss, Exploration Director, said: "A gas discovery on prognosis in the shallowest objective at Mbawa-1 is an encouraging start to our East African Transform Margin exploration campaign. This is the first hydrocarbon discovery offshore Kenya. The on-going drilling remains on course to test for any deeper oil potential within this gas prone region”. Download Press release (PDF 4.65 MB) Related content Kenya information Twitter YouTube
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Rank: Chief Joined: 3/24/2010 Posts: 6,779 Location: Black Africa
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Or I should have said ''All Eyes On EAC'', with integration in mind. Rope in Ethiopia, SS as well. In future DRC... GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Rank: Elder Joined: 12/11/2008 Posts: 2,306
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Interesting analysis hereGreat men are not always wise, neither do the aged understand judgement...
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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Robinhood wrote:Interesting analysis here Quote:First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps. Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In
It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.
Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...
Happy hunting  $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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hisah wrote:Robinhood wrote:Interesting analysis here Quote:First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps. Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In
It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.
Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...
Happy hunting  SS is already on...they were invited to the crisis meeting on DRC in Kampala. As for Ethiopia, it all depends with the leadership. Somalia- AOI struck water...and alot of it, however, there is a possibility of oil near Mandera. This is Ea's moment "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 12/11/2006 Posts: 930
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murchr wrote:hisah wrote:Robinhood wrote:Interesting analysis here Quote:First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps. Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In
It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.
Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...
Happy hunting  SS is already on...they were invited to the crisis meeting on DRC in Kampala. As for Ethiopia, it all depends with the leadership. Somalia- AOI struck water...and alot of it, however, there is a possibility of oil near Mandera. This is Ea's moment water is life, oil is money. Life, or the money “Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 2/10/2010 Posts: 1,001 Location: River Road
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The money and economic pieces start to shape up.... The discovery along Africa's east coast of the world's biggest gas finds in a decade threatens to undo investment plans on the other side of the Indian Ocean. Royal Dutch Shell, BG Group of the UK and France's Total may scale back projects to build liquefied natural gas export plants in Australia and switch to Tanzania and Mozambique, where the new prospects lie and will cost about half as much, according to Jefferies International. “East Africa has got potential to be a bigger LNG supplier than for example Australia or Qatar on a much lower cost base,” said Barry Rushworth, the CEO at Australia's Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL, which is drilling now a well off Kenya. “People are just not actually realizing how much potential East Africa has yet.” Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/bu...25428.html#ixzz26ALk6YyF
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2012 Posts: 15,980
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Gas not commercially viable "There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore .
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/21/2010 Posts: 6,194 Location: nairobi
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Says kiraitu but gas and oil are brothers will soon get the other brother. "Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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