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KENOL KOBIL .... 2012
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mwekez@ji
#1951 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 8:54:49 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
hisah wrote:
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic wrote:
Good entry point. Buying fear!

Boss utachomeka... Don't fight the trend. The KK cartoon trend momentum is strongly downwards!

I was waiting to see the sell momentum in the afternoon especially from foreigners. And they've played it as expected. KK is now entering a no demand period.

Open at 15.10 closed at 13.15 - down - 12.91%. Volume - 3M. Speculators are still trapped... Don't fight the trend.

What are the cartoons saying about synergies Puma's take over will present,the off shore gas find & its impact on power cost, interest rates & shilling strength going forward & effects of these to KK books?

If you look at fundamentals esp oil & gas, kk will expand and with puma onboard this will be accelerated. But for now the cartoon is not bullish. Wait for the fear to reach fever pitch - a huge volume will mark it. If I were puma, the lower the stock price, the better - discount galore. Capitalism can a bitch at times!


Exactly, why pay more anyway?


@murchir, why should the top 10 shareholders owning 75% of KK sell at a highly discounted price? Look at the fair value of KK, the regional prospects and KK position & prospects then answer
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VituVingiSana
#1952 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 8:58:19 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
cnn wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
guru267 wrote:
I have finally said goodbye to this counter at an average of 13.85bob..

That is a commendable 25% over my average buy + commissions!

Now i wait to see how much the Guys waiting for puma will make from KK..
Let's note the date. You sold out at 13.85 on 10 Sep 2012. Let's see where we are headed from here!

@vvs..at 13 bob you must be at least 25% up if you did not indulge at the levels KK has been trading after the trading suspension was lifted,why would you want to hold out for a take over bid whose timeline if ever is becoming increasingly blurred,and probably losing you opportunities elsewhere?
I read that for a share/firm with solid fundamentals (despite a one-off loss) for it to go from 10 to 20 it has to pass through 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18 & 19.

The 25% is irrelevant. That is a traders perspective. I believe it will be 17 or higher. Possibly 20.

WORST CASE: Puma pulls out. Price drops to 12/- but KK cuts back on Capital Expenditure & concentrates on its retail business (fuel, LPG), trading desk, sale of Addis Ababa property & limited (Kenya) real estate expansion. In 2013, we are back in business!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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VituVingiSana
#1953 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 9:47:05 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
I am back in at 13. *Happy Dance* Now time to sit & wait for 17 from Puma.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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murchr
#1954 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 9:53:36 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
If only u waited abit, its at 12 now
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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VituVingiSana
#1955 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:01:38 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
If only u waited abit, its at 12 now
That is a lie at 10.01am Liar Liar Liar Your broker is conning you! He probably wants you to panic & sell.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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murchr
#1956 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:08:44 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
VituVingiSana wrote:
murchr wrote:
If only u waited abit, its at 12 now
That is a lie at 10.01am Liar Liar Liar Your broker is conning you! He probably wants you to panic & sell.


I got out immediately after those workers went to court, If it gets to 8/- i might reconsider getting in. And it was trading at 12.65
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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VituVingiSana
#1957 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:13:32 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,356
Location: Nairobi
murchr wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
murchr wrote:
If only u waited abit, its at 12 now
That is a lie at 10.01am Liar Liar Liar Your broker is conning you! He probably wants you to panic & sell.


I got out immediately after those workers went to court, If it gets to 8/- i might reconsider getting in. And it was trading at 12.65
LOL, 200 at 12.65 does not make any difference! And not even close to 12. As for 8, keep on waiting!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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the deal
#1958 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:31:39 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The last train to paris is boarding now.
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murchr
#1959 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:32:56 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
VituVingiSana wrote:
murchr wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
murchr wrote:
If only u waited abit, its at 12 now
That is a lie at 10.01am Liar Liar Liar Your broker is conning you! He probably wants you to panic & sell.


I got out immediately after those workers went to court, If it gets to 8/- i might reconsider getting in. And it was trading at 12.65
LOL, 200 at 12.65 does not make any difference! And not even close to 12. As for 8, keep on waiting!


Lolest 200 pia ni mali ya mtu
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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Jamani
#1960 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:35:43 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/12/2006
Posts: 1,554
It appears QW wasnt alone on the other side... anyway how i wish that those prices went to levels as low as some of the guys are suggesting for me to load more
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