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Estimated 71 Billion Barrels...
shocks
#461 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 9:03:04 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/15/2009
Posts: 362
hisah wrote:
shocks wrote:
Seems this week we will see some major news out of the mbawa drilling. The million dollar question is ÏS IT GOOD OR BAD NEWS?"

http//www.theeastafrican.co.ke/news/Possible+oil+find+at+Mbawa+well/-/2558/1500268/-/6ox7rw/-/index.html

http//www.upstreamonline.com/live/article1264728.ece

Crossing my fingers. But why is it only Pan-continental that has suspended share trade, why not tullow or apache?

Drool Pray

Share suspension is bullish.


Cheers everyone, my finger crossing worked! finally a gas elephant in our backyard. compare the net pay with the proven reserves of mozambique, we have 52m, they have 55m and the drilling has not yet reached the planned depth-:)
bartum
#462 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 9:31:19 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 8/11/2010
Posts: 1,011
Location: nairobi
10 Sep 2012
Mbawa-1 Drilling Update
Tullow Oil plc (Tullow) announces that the Mbawa-1
exploration well in the L8 licence area, offshore Kenya, has
encountered gas in the shallowest objective.
The Mbawa-1 exploration well has been drilled to a depth
of 2,553 metres and has encountered approximately 52
metres of net gas pay in porous Cretaceous sandstones.
The well will now be drilled to a total depth of 3,275
metres targeting further exploration objectives.
Apache (50%) is Operator of the offshore Block L8 Licence
along with partners Origin Energy (20%), Pancontinental
(15%) and Tullow (15%).
Commenting today, Angus McCoss, Exploration Director,
said:
"A gas discovery on prognosis in the shallowest objective
at Mbawa-1 is an encouraging start to our East African
Transform Margin exploration campaign. This is the first
hydrocarbon discovery offshore Kenya. The on-going
drilling remains on course to test for any deeper oil
potential within this gas prone region”.
Download
Press release
(PDF 4.65 MB)
Related content
Kenya information
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youcan'tstopusnow
#463 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 9:48:03 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Or I should have said ''All Eyes On EAC'', with integration in mind. Rope in Ethiopia, SS as well. In future DRC...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Robinhood
#464 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 9:58:29 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 12/11/2008
Posts: 2,306
Interesting analysis here
Great men are not always wise, neither do the aged understand judgement...
hisah
#465 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 3:00:56 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Robinhood wrote:
Interesting analysis here

Quote:
First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated
We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps.
Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In


It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.

Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...

Happy hunting smile

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#466 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 6:33:20 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Robinhood wrote:
Interesting analysis here

Quote:
First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated
We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps.
Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In


It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.

Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...

Happy hunting smile




SS is already on...they were invited to the crisis meeting on DRC in Kampala. As for Ethiopia, it all depends with the leadership. Somalia- AOI struck water...and alot of it, however, there is a possibility of oil near Mandera. This is Ea's moment
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
ngapat
#467 Posted : Monday, September 10, 2012 8:13:02 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 12/11/2006
Posts: 930
murchr wrote:
hisah wrote:
Robinhood wrote:
Interesting analysis here

Quote:
First of Many – Kenya Re-Rated
We now assume that 25 trillion cubic feet of gas will ultimately be discovered across PCL’s 4 permits offshore Kenya (L6, L8, L10A, L10B). Our estimated chance of success has increased from an average of <10% to ~40% (50% for L8 – 30% for L6, L10A, L10B). Using these estimates results in a risked valuation for the Kenyan acreage of 73.5cps, with upside potential of 275cps.
Remember Cove? Time for Smart Money to Move In


It is interconnected. One needs to play it as EA and not a specific country in order to get better investment returns.

Soon SS will come on line, then Ethiopia then finally Somaliland...

Happy hunting smile




SS is already on...they were invited to the crisis meeting on DRC in Kampala. As for Ethiopia, it all depends with the leadership. Somalia- AOI struck water...and alot of it, however, there is a possibility of oil near Mandera. This is Ea's moment

water is life, oil is money. Life, or the money
“Invest in yourself. Your career is the engine of your wealth.”
mkonomtupu
#468 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 4:06:39 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
The money and economic pieces start to shape up....

The discovery along Africa's east coast of the world's biggest gas finds in a decade threatens to undo investment plans on the other side of the Indian Ocean.
Royal Dutch Shell, BG Group of the UK and France's Total may scale back projects to build liquefied natural gas export plants in Australia and switch to Tanzania and Mozambique, where the new prospects lie and will cost about half as much, according to Jefferies International.
“East Africa has got potential to be a bigger LNG supplier than for example Australia or Qatar on a much lower cost base,” said Barry Rushworth, the CEO at Australia's Pancontinental Oil & Gas NL, which is drilling now a well off Kenya. “People are just not actually realizing how much potential East Africa has yet.”



Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/bu...25428.html#ixzz26ALk6YyF
murchr
#469 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:17:42 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Gas not commercially viable Sad
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
mlennyma
#470 Posted : Tuesday, September 11, 2012 10:48:23 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
Says kiraitu but gas and oil are brothers will soon get the other brother.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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