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Investors Lounge
jonna
#2661 Posted : Thursday, August 09, 2012 11:19:04 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
karanjakinuthia wrote:
Mother Nature has a weird sense of humour. She seems to favour the adage "when it rains, it pours". During the 1930s, the United States was faced with both a sovereign debt crisis that emanated from Europe and the Dust Bowl (see John Steinbeck's novel, "The Grapes of Wrath") that devastated agriculture from 1934. According to Herbert Hoover's Memoirs, the European Sovereign Debt Crisis extinguished the green shoots of recovery that had began to sprout in April of 1931 after the stock market crash of 1929.

Interestingly, capital fleeing the 1931 Sovereign Debt Crisis found cover in common stocks and commodities. Chicago Wheat staged a recovery from the Monday, 18 July 1932 low of US $0.445 per bushel to the high on Friday, 1 January 1937 of US $1.352. Seeing that the United States is facing the same headwinds from a European Sovereign Debt Crisis and a drought not witnessed in 100 plus years, it is safe to assume that capital flight will seek safe harbour in common stocks and commodities. The Chicago Wheat low price of US $5.6525 per bushel on 1 July 2012 is cyclically significant. We could see the price test US $17.1734 per bushel by 2015 or 2020.

"WASHINGTON - U.S. scientists say July was the hottest month ever recorded in the Lower 48 states, breaking a record set during the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. They say climate change is a factor.

And even less a surprise: The U.S. this year keeps setting records for weather extremes, based on the precise calculations that include drought, heavy rainfall, unusual temperatures, and storms.

The average temperature last month was 77.6 degrees (25 Celsius). That breaks the old record from July 1936 by 0.2 degree, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Records go back to 1895..."

Read more: http://www.montrealgazet...tory.html#ixzz2329doxbs


Man, you've got a weird sense of humor.
Energy.
youcan'tstopusnow
#2662 Posted : Thursday, August 09, 2012 1:25:55 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Seems it's all doom and gloom in Europe today:

France to fall back into
recession says central
bank
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19177381

The Bank of England has
cut its growth forecast to
close to zero from about
0.8% predicted in May, as
the double-dip recession
intensifies.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19174649

Some members of the
eurozone may have to
leave the bloc as the debt crisis continues, according to one of the architects of the euro.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19183700
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#2663 Posted : Thursday, August 09, 2012 1:27:28 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
hisah wrote:
In sports if someone was to run 100m sprint in 4 seconds, doping checks would kick in instantly. A ben johnson vs carl lewis situation. But in the global equities olympics, the doping unit is gagged Sad

SadSadSad
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
jonna
#2664 Posted : Friday, August 10, 2012 9:02:16 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
hisah
#2665 Posted : Friday, August 10, 2012 7:08:31 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
FAO Food commodity price index - Cereal rallying above 2011 highs...


FAO Food price index


17% rise in cereal prices drives 6% FFPI rise - http://www.ingredientsne...ices-drives-6-ffpi-rise

Quote:
The FAO Food Price Index (FFPI) averaged 213 points in July 2012, as much as 12 points (6%) up from June, but still well below the peak of 238 points reached in February 2011. The July surge of the Index followed three months of decline.

The sharp rebound was mostly driven by a jump in grain and sugar prices, and more modest increases in oils/fats. International prices of meat and dairy products were little changed.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2666 Posted : Sunday, August 12, 2012 8:52:03 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
AfDB plans $22 billion Pan African infrastrusture bond.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke...4/-/nisp2wz/-/index.html

Way to go AfDB rather than investing in euroland's negative yield bonds.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2667 Posted : Sunday, August 12, 2012 9:22:01 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Kengen & KPLC - getting interesting as well as Umeme in UG.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke...84/-/eri8mp/-/index.html

www.umeme.co.ug/index.php?page=MTUw
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#2668 Posted : Sunday, August 12, 2012 12:14:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
AfDB plans $22 billion Pan African infrastrusture bond.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke...4/-/nisp2wz/-/index.html

Way to go AfDB rather than investing in euroland's negative yield bonds.

Also, Standard Bank SA, on behalf of China, recently offered FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER eastern & western African Central Banks Yuan/RMB bond to diversify currency reserves - Google it.
hisah
#2669 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2012 4:07:47 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Swiss banks sweating ...

http://in.mobile.reuters...E87B04H20120812?irpc=932
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#2670 Posted : Monday, August 13, 2012 10:13:33 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
The numbers to watch on the U.S. debt clock are $17.2 trillion and US $21.5 trillion.

hisah
#2671 Posted : Tuesday, August 14, 2012 7:10:06 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
hisah wrote:
AfDB plans $22 billion Pan African infrastrusture bond.

www.theeastafrican.co.ke...4/-/nisp2wz/-/index.html

Way to go AfDB rather than investing in euroland's negative yield bonds.

Also, Standard Bank SA, on behalf of China, recently offered FOR THE FIRST TIME EVER eastern & western African Central Banks Yuan/RMB bond to diversify currency reserves - Google it.

I was not aware of this yuan bonds for Africa CBs. Didn't expect Tz CB to be a top dim sum bond buyer alongside Nigeria (expected due to their public declaration on foreign reserves diversification).

I hope CBK got some piece of action. But IMF pouring funds of late in KE, I highly doubt Ndungu got to buy this dim sum bond offer...


www.china.org.cn/busines.../31/content_26072549.htm

www.wantchinatimes.com/n...20810000061&cid=1102


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2672 Posted : Tuesday, August 14, 2012 7:15:25 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
karanjakinuthia wrote:
The numbers to watch on the U.S. debt clock are $17.2 trillion and US $21.5 trillion.


'Financial cliff' as they're calling it when those tax breaks come to screeching halt by year end...

Financial cliff = debt ceiling burst + tax breaks expiration

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2673 Posted : Tuesday, August 14, 2012 7:17:20 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
[quote=hisah]Swiss banks sweating ...

http://in.mobile.reuters...87B04H20120812?irpc=932[/quote]

Tax havens undersiege and swiss banks privacy is taking a big stick...

http://www.taxjustice.ne...t_content.php?idcat=103



$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#2674 Posted : Wednesday, August 15, 2012 12:13:35 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Carl Icahn Hands Son Brett $3 Billion To Prove His Mettle
http://www.bloomberg.com...o-prove-his-mettle.html
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#2675 Posted : Wednesday, August 15, 2012 7:06:08 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Market fear gauge at 5yr low 'an optical illusion'

That was CNN Money headline back on March 15 2012

http://money.cnn.com/201...ear-index-vix/index.htm

The CBOE VIX index is at it again, at 5yr lows, actually lower than in March. US markets have in the process recovered from the April-July selling bout and trying to test the 2012 highs. Another selling bout period is coming...

Just like back in March, the trade protection to take is BGZ longs. With vapour volume pushing the market up from July lows, the bulls will not stand a chance when the correction ensues.

www.zerohedge.com/news/v...x-plunges-five-year-lows
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2676 Posted : Wednesday, August 15, 2012 7:17:49 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Chinese firms pull out of US Stock Markets

http://finance.yahoo.com...us-stock-095649722.html

Seems like the ching firms have realized listing their firms in US stock marts is not heaven after all...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#2677 Posted : Wednesday, August 15, 2012 8:13:54 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
Chinese firms pull out of US Stock Markets

http://finance.yahoo.com...us-stock-095649722.html

Seems like the ching firms have realized listing their firms in US stock marts is not heaven after all...


The Chinese are brilliant...sell high, buy back low. Wao capitalism at its best!!
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
karanjakinuthia
#2678 Posted : Wednesday, August 15, 2012 9:28:18 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@ Hisah, a financial cliff the year 2013 will be. That should add to the witches brew of rising unemployment, drought, rising food prices and general feeling of discontent with the wealthy and ruling class in the United States.

karanjakinuthia wrote:
The United States: Timing the Path to Unrest


Dear Friends,

Let us begin with cycle analysis by Martin Armstrong. The 224 Year Cycle of Political Change in the United States peaked in 1637 with the revolution in England to end torture from the infamous Star Chamber. Adding 224 to 1637 brings us to 1861, the upheaval of the American Civil War.

The Cycle points to 2013 (1861+112+31.4+8.6) as beginning of political unrest in the United States feeding off the 8.6 year political down-cycle in Iran/Persia and Europe. Tremors are already being felt. Protests have begun in cash strapped Wisconsin, spreading to Ohio over budget cuts that will affect public workers.

hisah
#2679 Posted : Thursday, August 16, 2012 7:33:47 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
MF Global trustee to join existing suits against Executives... Getting interesting now.

http://online.wsj.com/ar...4577591560148987228.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2680 Posted : Thursday, August 16, 2012 11:48:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Libor scandal continues to unfold...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19276506
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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