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Kenya power
Aguytrying
#31 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 6:29:11 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
In truth when a share is beaten down there are no takers, no talking about it. But when a stock jumps 10% like 3 different threads occur, it human nature anyway.

KPLC has gone back to the 15.00 level, clearly the 2nd last support with 14.00 being the last support.

The financial year ended on june 30th, but we'll have to wait till oct/sept for results. I hope they maintain their 10-15%(maintainable) growth trajectory.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
mwekez@ji
#32 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 6:47:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
@Aguytrying et al, what do you see as the corporate action come year end. Last year they stunned by giving a miniature final dividend of KES 0.10 and controversial 1:8 bonus
Aguytrying
#33 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 8:03:28 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
mwekez@ji wrote:
@Aguytrying et al, what do you see as the corporate action come year end. Last year they stunned by giving a miniature final dividend of KES 0.10 and controversial 1:8 bonus


I've thought about that, actually smile thanks for asking. My estimate is 1:10 to 1:8 for the next 2 years. There was Around 600,000 shares un-issued left after 2011 bonus issue. They gave around 300,000 shares last time with the 1:8.
So I am estimating 300,000 shares bonus issue per year for two years that this year 2012, and next year 2013. which gives 1:8 to 1:10
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Aguytrying
#34 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 8:08:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Oh and a paltry dividend of course. but they may up it from 0.10 of last year to reduce the shame. ha ha. Maybe its why they reduced the interim to 0.20(from 0.35)
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
PKoli
#35 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 9:19:59 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
KP should be trading in the 20s. Sooner or later, the stock will start rising even without foreign investors supporting the stock. Remember, there was a time few foreigners were participating in ARM.
PKoli
#36 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 9:22:12 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
KP should be trading in the 20s. Sooner or later, the stock will start rising even without foreign investors supporting the stock. Remember, there was a time few foreigners were participating in ARM.
youcan'tstopusnow
#37 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 9:48:44 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Kenya Power monopoly at risk? New distributors could be given licences.

Source: KTN Business
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
PKoli
#38 Posted : Thursday, July 05, 2012 10:06:16 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/10/2007
Posts: 1,587
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Kenya Power monopoly at risk? New distributors could be given licences.

Source: KTN Business


This will take a bit of time. Unbundling started with generation and up to now we have very few players.
mwekez@ji
#39 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 9:02:37 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 5/31/2011
Posts: 5,121
Aguytrying wrote:
mwekez@ji wrote:
@Aguytrying et al, what do you see as the corporate action come year end. Last year they stunned by giving a miniature final dividend of KES 0.10 and controversial 1:8 bonus


I've thought about that, actually smile thanks for asking. My estimate is 1:10 to 1:8 for the next 2 years. There was Around 600,000 shares un-issued left after 2011 bonus issue. They gave around 300,000 shares last time with the 1:8.
So I am estimating 300,000 shares bonus issue per year for two years that this year 2012, and next year 2013. which gives 1:8 to 1:10


I honestly dont think that is a corporate action to look forward to. The bonus will hurt share price. Look at what @young is saying about such action in stanbic uganda.

If they raise the paltry final dividend by 100%, one gets KES 0.20 per share which is a mere 1.3% yield at the current price of KES 15.15. I see most wazuans led by @stocksmaster are targeting 10% yield

We, or rather I, can there conclude that on matter relating to corporate action, KP scores poorly.

What then makes KP 'a buy'? Genghis Capital has rated this company a buy with a target price of KES 22
Aguytrying
#40 Posted : Friday, July 06, 2012 11:27:42 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
@mwekezaji. Kp is not a buy because of dividend. Its because it is grossly undervalued. P/e below 6. Ur right about the bonus issue weighing down on the stock price esp because the bonus yield is almost equal to annual profit growth. A cancelling effect in the end. But share still undervalued and with dilution of eps comes more shares. So a less marked rise in pe in future still gives adequate returns.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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