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Dollar at 86bob!
Sober
#1 Posted : Friday, May 13, 2011 9:52:46 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
The kenya shilling is weakening every day. what is happening?
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
youcan'tstopusnow
#2 Posted : Friday, May 13, 2011 10:10:10 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Sober, ati the dollar is getting stronger each day due to Osama's death. They got him!Laughing out loudly
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Sober
#3 Posted : Saturday, May 14, 2011 12:08:57 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Sober, ati the dollar is getting stronger each day due to Osama's death. They got him!Laughing out loudly


it is not the dollar the pound is trading at 140 and the euro at 122. something is seriously wrong here and we better address it early.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
jerry
#4 Posted : Saturday, May 14, 2011 3:26:35 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Sober, ati the dollar is getting stronger each day due to Osama's death. They got him!Laughing out loudly

=>It's the KES getting weaker and it's good for exports esp tea and flowers.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
youcan'tstopusnow
#5 Posted : Saturday, May 14, 2011 4:19:50 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
jerry wrote:

=>It's the KES getting weaker and it's good for exports esp tea and flowers.

I bet these tea and flower companies use heavy machinery which require fuel. With the Kenya shilling weakening, they will have to pay more.
Electricity costs will also rise as more is generated through diesel
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
jerry
#6 Posted : Saturday, May 14, 2011 4:42:03 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/29/2006
Posts: 2,570
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
jerry wrote:

=>It's the KES getting weaker and it's good for exports esp tea and flowers.

I bet these tea and flower companies use heavy machinery which require fuel. With the Kenya shilling weakening, they will have to pay more.
Electricity costs will also rise as more is generated through diesel

@ycsun, true though the net effect is likely to be positive for this sector. Remember that some factories generate their own electricity and use firewood for boiler fuel as opposed to furnace oil. Again VAT is refundable. P.S. TeaAuction is carried out in dollars which are converted into more KES in case of a weaker KES.
The opposite of courage is not cowardice, it's conformity.
stocksmaster
#7 Posted : Wednesday, May 30, 2012 10:23:20 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 463
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
jerry wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
jerry wrote:

=>It's the KES getting weaker and it's good for exports esp tea and flowers.

I bet these tea and flower companies use heavy machinery which require fuel. With the Kenya shilling weakening, they will have to pay more.
Electricity costs will also rise as more is generated through diesel

@ycsun, true though the net effect is likely to be positive for this sector. Remember that some factories generate their own electricity and use firewood for boiler fuel as opposed to furnace oil. Again VAT is refundable. P.S. TeaAuction is carried out in dollars which are converted into more KES in case of a weaker KES.


One year later, the Ksh is back to the Ksh 86 versus the dollar. Will its depreciation be as dramatic as last year especially with elections looming? Time will tell.

Happy Hunting.
x handle: @stocksmaster79
Ash Ock
#8 Posted : Wednesday, May 30, 2012 10:58:01 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 8/27/2010
Posts: 495
Location: Nairobi
Is this movement being caused by the weakening of the KES or by the strengthening of the USD?
Sent from my Black Nokia 3310
hisah
#9 Posted : Wednesday, May 30, 2012 11:55:20 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
KES has been a weakling since last year. Were it not for CBK's intervention it would be trading far worse. A snapshot of KE's econ fundies today vs last year shows the situation is worsening. This is why the GDP estimates for 2012 have been cut.

USDKES @86 in 2011 vs 86 in 2012 is such a con job. This thing will be pushed by the market back to 100.

Euros will make money vs KES this year!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
ChessMaster
#10 Posted : Wednesday, May 30, 2012 12:10:49 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/23/2009
Posts: 1,626
euro security is compromised by possible multiple government debt defaults making the dollar the preferable currency to use for trade. Thus the dollar appreciates in value. Though the dollar is also volatile due to its trade deficit and the outcome of the talks with Iran. The key pieces to watch out for are the politics of ecb and the state's of the major governments in europe.

Plus china applying to be part of the SDR currencies with its recent application to the IMF might signify a move to fill the gap between the dollar and the euro as the preferred currency of trade. But as of now i expect profits to be made between the fluctuations of the dollar and the euro as the situation sorts itself out.
Uncertainty is certain.Let go
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