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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#1881 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 8:13:55 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
fxtech wrote:
hisah wrote:
USD is still flashing that it wants to mount another rally like back in May 2011... In Jan 2012 the brent and crude charts looked similar to this - we know how high the prices rallied.

USD strength signals a risk off spell. Global equity selling bout is on the cards.





Quit in agreement, Keeping close tabs with USD

Selling (shorting) the USD is dangerous biz as per this chart.
I am waiting to see how CBK will maintain USDKES under 90 going forward. The upcoming budget will be crucial in confirming if the 90 ceiling will be broken. Stay tuned...

Medium term resistance broken. Hold on tight. One expensive USD coming up.

And this is Japan's OMG moment. Too ugly to embed the image. And this is back in 2010?! Look at the debt vs revenues ratio. Then try and add 2011 quake damage & the unravelling euroland debt bomb. Just like the euro, the yen will have its day under the bridge and very soon...


http://www.zerohedge.com...bt%20to%20Revenue_1.jpg

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1882 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 6:05:20 PM
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This is what I'm seeing on the medium term USDSGD and USDZAR charts and why I fancy long trades on these 2 pairs.



$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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kyt
#1883 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 9:26:15 PM
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the 83 level is being broken haki cbk will be in deep shit, 25% cbr is likely
LOVE WHAT YOU DO, DO WHAT YOU LOVE.
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QW25091985
#1884 Posted : Wednesday, May 16, 2012 9:29:15 PM
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Joined: 1/24/2012
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Location: In Da Hood
Just some encouragement . who remembers the ironfx competition that was held sometime back ?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75hsF7lpqaI
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hisah
#1885 Posted : Thursday, May 17, 2012 7:21:15 AM
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kyt wrote:
the 83 level is being broken haki cbk will be in deep shit, 25% cbr is likely

It's futile to try and control what you don't own.

CBR at 25% as you suggest would send the KE econ into a tailspin as liquidity is squeezed to droplets. There's so much CBK can do to save the KES. The eurozone debt drama is going to make the USD strong as investors selloff the euro. Not that the US econ fundies are better either, but due to the USD 'safe haven' reserve status.

I'm concerned that come june, KE will announce a bloated budget and CBR will have to be reduced to permit more liquidity. The USD will still be on strength momentum and that will send USDKES up. I dont think this CBK can prevent a break of 90. IMF equally said 95 is better! Goodluck.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1886 Posted : Thursday, May 17, 2012 3:41:35 PM
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Awaiting moodys downgrade ratings on several espana banks... Oh dear euro...

http://bit.ly/L9RS5e
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1887 Posted : Thursday, May 17, 2012 4:52:06 PM
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Another view of the USD index. Beyond 82 and the steriods will be on.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1888 Posted : Thursday, May 17, 2012 5:12:47 PM
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hisah wrote:
QW25091985 wrote:
QW25091985 wrote:
QW25091985 wrote:
am so bullish eur$ it hurts ...lol
i see a very bullish week ahead for risky assets and bearish for usd ...nfp or no nfp i think we will rally hard this week !


still bullish on the ugly currency ( eur) but today seems to be a slow day


what the heck is goin on ..lol..eur$ has topped ?

March 9th... eurobonds, bonds, bonds...

T+14 days to go...

From March 20th 2012 things got interesting in euroland...

T+14 meant March 6th + 14 days = March 20 2012. Since then the euro market has been chaotic. You can only hold out Mr Market for a while then he comes back at your manipulation with vigour...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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QW25091985
#1889 Posted : Thursday, May 17, 2012 6:27:54 PM
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i like the current euro$ resilience . there's only one way and thats up for the time being
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hisah
#1890 Posted : Monday, May 21, 2012 3:36:53 PM
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Indian Rupee (INR) - USD going vertical and trouncing it. Reminds me of what EA and Turkey currencies experienced last year... Seems like this year BRICs will face the music for trying to form a rival world bank.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1891 Posted : Wednesday, May 23, 2012 10:14:24 AM
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The indian rupee continues setting all time lows vs USD.

http://in.reuters.com/ar...a-idINDEE84M01U20120523

I await to see if CBK has large steel balls to slash the CBR...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1892 Posted : Wednesday, May 23, 2012 11:08:38 PM
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hisah wrote:
Another view of the USD index. Beyond 82 and the steriods will be on.


81.78 50% 2yr retracement breached! The USD index has now broken above 82 psychology level to test 82.36. USD is finishing May with a huge rally. June should see continuation towards 85.
This should see a very weak euro and a bloody expensive dollar & bleeding stocks & commodos.

How CBK will keep USDKES in the bunker is anyone's guess. But definitely 82-83 levels are now history.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1893 Posted : Thursday, May 24, 2012 6:40:43 AM
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USD index discussed - http://community.nasdaq....wing.aspx?storyid=143548
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1894 Posted : Friday, May 25, 2012 10:12:00 AM
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Swissie about to flip on the long side.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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QW25091985
#1895 Posted : Friday, May 25, 2012 10:17:46 AM
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wow yesterdays eur/chf move was crazzy ! if only i had that long at 3.00 pm lol
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mnandii
#1896 Posted : Sunday, May 27, 2012 10:59:59 AM
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There Is Still One Very Big Player Who Is Not Yet Short The Euro

Read more: http://www.businessinsid...sterstock#ixzz1w3SzxZUZ

http://www.businessinsid...tm_campaign=clusterstock
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
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QW25091985
#1897 Posted : Sunday, May 27, 2012 11:13:09 AM
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[quote=mnandii]There Is Still One Very Big Player Who Is Not Yet Short The Euro

Read more: http://www.businessinsid...sterstock#ixzz1w3SzxZUZ

http://www.businessinsid...m_campaign=clusterstock[/quote]


that big player must have been a newbie trader because he has missed out on a +700 pip selloff. And with the euro/dollar targeting 1.23xx lows somebody better wake him up !
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hisah
#1898 Posted : Monday, May 28, 2012 8:37:34 PM
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That euro big player is going to get his chips when the short squeeze comes. And it is coming soon. The record high euro shorts are not a good sign. One-sided trades always have major squeezes as the trend suddenly reverses. The COTS report shows a massive crowd on the euro short side. Caution...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1899 Posted : Tuesday, May 29, 2012 3:28:09 PM
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Euro headlines...
- EU Breakdown: Swiss prepare plans in case of euro’s demise - http://stratrisks.com/geostrat/6234
- Banks ready for break-up of eurozone - http://www.belfasttelegr...-eurozone-16164542.html
- Euro on brink of collapse: IMF - http://www.newkerala.com...lus/worldnews-7660.html


After seeing the COTs report on massive record high euro shorts and the above headlines about the euro, my contrarian instincts are pushing me to consider buying the euro crosses. However, with the Hellenic election due on June 17th, I'll keep my hands folded for now. But a euro short squeeze is very much on the cards...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1900 Posted : Tuesday, May 29, 2012 4:28:20 PM
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1yr Gold chart in euros... Breakout potential likely.


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