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Investors Lounge
karanjakinuthia
#2321 Posted : Wednesday, April 25, 2012 10:06:23 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
With the decline of Western civilisation due to debt, capital is fleeing to South America, Asia and Africa.

I'm bullish on Africa, are you?

"Africa is the next big thing, just ask Bob Geldof and other private equity bankers.

The Irish rocker made headlines in February when he announced the launch of his $200-million 8 Mile fund, a sign the Live Aid organiser had turned from promoting debt forgiveness to private enterprise.

Like the former Boomtown Rats frontman, more private equity investors are flocking to the continent, drawn by the prospect of outsize returns...."

Read more:

http://mg.co.za/article/...booming-private-equity/
hisah
#2322 Posted : Wednesday, April 25, 2012 4:53:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Headlines out of euroland today read like a funeral

Britain in Recession Again (aka double dip recession - last time was in 1970s) - http://www.foxbusiness.c...ain-in-recession-again/

Greek Economy Contracting at Rapid Rate - http://www.voanews.com/e...g-Faster-148688745.html

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2323 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 11:01:23 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Yet again another gubberment shutdown looms... Merry go rounds of the west west world since 2008 GFC... When the pretext show ends I wonder...

http://politico.com/news...tml#.T5ho5G4jxto.twitter
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2324 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 11:06:22 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
IBEX - This alejandro matador is finished.

update - image added.

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#2325 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 11:10:44 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
A must read.

"The winner of France's first election round, Francois Hollande is out saying that austerity is the reason so many voters turned to nationalist candidate Marine Le Pen in the election.

This might sound controversial, but it has a historical precedent to the rise of Europe's most infamous nationalist: Hitler.

Remember this chart from Dylan Grice?..."

Read more: http://www.businessinsid...012-04-25#ixzz1t8Eqp6Id
hisah
#2326 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 2:27:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Eurozone just about to double dip...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2327 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 2:48:26 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Interesting about these KE murals depicting the MPigs 'usefulness'... No posters has been replaced by no vultures. Brilliant this graffiti.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/17548225

Related - http://af.reuters.com/ar...RSS&feedName=topNews
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2328 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 3:53:43 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Greek elections will be on May 6 2012. On May 6 2010 the global markets experienced something that was named - flash crash...

A lot of things are coalescing quietly and the liquidity tank has been on a ticker since Dec 7 2011...

http://gainspainscapital.com/?p=1693

https://hat4uk.wordpress...n-may-6th-elections-63/

Quote:
“For the first time in 40 years, people are not voting left versus right but pro-bailout versus anti-bailout,” ALCO pollster Costas Panagopoulos said three days ago, “We cannot exclude any scenario.” The figures support Panagopoulus, although this is rarely appreciated in the MSM.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2329 Posted : Thursday, April 26, 2012 6:09:45 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
This chart especially the weekly is an interesting red flag... Storms ahead...

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?chart=IYF
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#2330 Posted : Saturday, April 28, 2012 11:40:42 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Please see the article below which is of utmost importance for gold. Just a background on the issue, the U.S. has locked Iran out of the SWIFT money transfer system effectively disarming the latter's international banking capacity. China, not wanting to draw the wrath of the States has worked out a mechanism of using gold as a payment method for Iranian oil. It is akin to the U.S. reverting to gold to pay for Saudi Arabian oil.

Gold effectively re-emerges as an international payment mechanism as it was pre-1971.

"As countries around the world and the banks that operate within them attempt to avoid American financial sanctions against Iran – which blocks access to doing business in the United States for any entity that buys Iranian oil- Forbes reports that China will look to buy the Iranian product using gold to circumvent Washington’s policy.

China is Iran’s largest trading partner and buys more petroleum from Iran than any other country. Already, China and India are bartering with Iran, using consumer goods, and in the case of India, the rupee, to pay for Iranian oil imports...."

Read more:

http://www.tehrantimes.c...-us-financial-sanctions
youcan'tstopusnow
#2331 Posted : Tuesday, May 01, 2012 11:42:20 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
"We're going to put mines on our borders and we're going to have electric fences."
The effect of the economic crisis on right wing extremism
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-17898561
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
a4architect.com
#2332 Posted : Tuesday, May 01, 2012 12:38:26 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 1/4/2010
Posts: 1,668
Location: nairobi
karanjakinuthia wrote:
Please see the article below which is of utmost importance for gold. Just a background on the issue, the U.S. has locked Iran out of the SWIFT money transfer system effectively disarming the latter's international banking capacity. China, not wanting to draw the wrath of the States has worked out a mechanism of using gold as a payment method for Iranian oil. It is akin to the U.S. reverting to gold to pay for Saudi Arabian oil.

Gold effectively re-emerges as an international payment mechanism as it was pre-1971.

"As countries around the world and the banks that operate within them attempt to avoid American financial sanctions against Iran – which blocks access to doing business in the United States for any entity that buys Iranian oil- Forbes reports that China will look to buy the Iranian product using gold to circumvent Washington’s policy.

China is Iran’s largest trading partner and buys more petroleum from Iran than any other country. Already, China and India are bartering with Iran, using consumer goods, and in the case of India, the rupee, to pay for Iranian oil imports...."

Read more:

http://www.tehrantimes.c...-us-financial-sanctions


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bretton_Woods_system

Quote:
Nixon Shock
Main article: Nixon Shock

By the early 1970s, as the Vietnam War accelerated inflation, the United States as a whole began running a trade deficit. The crucial turning point was 1970, which saw U.S. gold coverage deteriorate from 55% to 22%. This, in the view of neoclassical economists, represented the point where holders of the dollar had lost faith in the ability of the U.S. to cut budget and trade deficits.

In 1971 more and more dollars were being printed in Washington, then being pumped overseas, to pay for government expenditure on the military and social programs. In the first six months of 1971, assets for $22 billion fled the U.S. In response, on August 15, 1971, Nixon unilaterally imposed 90-day wage and price controls, a 10% import surcharge, and most importantly "closed the gold window", making the dollar inconvertible to gold directly, except on the open market. Unusually, this decision was made without consulting members of the international monetary system or even his own State Department, and was soon dubbed the Nixon Shock.

The surcharge was dropped in December 1971 as part of a general revaluation of major currencies, which were henceforth allowed 2.25% devaluations from the agreed exchange rate. But even the more flexible official rates could not be defended against the speculators. By March 1976, all the major currencies were floating—in other words, exchange rates were no longer the principal method used by governments to administer monetary policy.
As Iron Sharpens Iron, So one Man Sharpens Another.
murchr
#2333 Posted : Tuesday, May 01, 2012 5:48:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
I think the BRICS will change the way business is conducted very soon. Watch very closely their proposal to have their own bank.
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
murchr
#2334 Posted : Tuesday, May 01, 2012 8:03:49 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
Bolivia nationalizes Spanish-owned power company http://vancouverdesi.com...sh-owned-power-company/
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
hisah
#2335 Posted : Tuesday, May 01, 2012 10:06:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
murchr wrote:
Bolivia nationalizes Spanish-owned power company http://vancouverdesi.com...sh-owned-power-company/

Reminds me of Bechtel corp and their notorious Bolivian water system ownership. A popular revolt in 2000 eventually led to the nationalization of the water system. As usual for a 3rd world nation to sell off national utility firms, IMF is usually lurking around.

http://democracyctr.org/...nd-oil-nationalization/


$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2336 Posted : Wednesday, May 02, 2012 12:52:21 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
European Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest in Almost 15 Years... Welcome to 3rd world status...

http://www.bloomberg.com...in-almost-15-years.html

How do developing nations expect their GDPs to rocket this year with a recessing euroland? Economists...??? And KE expects to grow 5% plus this year. d'oh!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2337 Posted : Wednesday, May 02, 2012 12:57:08 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Dow Rallies to Highest Level Since 2007 on Manufacturing - Oh boy! I could hardly wait to see such a headline... Mr Markets psychology is bizarre... Are we seeing a multi year top in the making smile

http://www.bloomberg.com...before-factory-data.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2338 Posted : Wednesday, May 02, 2012 12:59:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
As usual IMF honchos at it in Malawi. So sad this. Malawi will be forced to devalue its kwacha in order to get helped by nurse IMF... bure kabisa.

http://af.reuters.com/ar...ws/idAFJOE83T0A920120430
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#2339 Posted : Wednesday, May 02, 2012 2:56:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
When a central banker starts to preach stocks and how cheap they are, it's time to fade (run away...)

http://www.bloomberg.com...heap-likely-to-rise.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
murchr
#2340 Posted : Wednesday, May 02, 2012 6:44:40 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
hisah wrote:
European Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest in Almost 15 Years... Welcome to 3rd world status...

http://www.bloomberg.com...in-almost-15-years.html

How do developing nations expect their GDPs to rocket this year with a recessing euroland? Economists...??? And KE expects to grow 5% plus this year. d'oh!


If you havent noticed Ke policy makers stopped looking at euroland as a money bag. Watch Kibakis moves of late...the man is pushing for Africa to trade with itself. He sent Kalonzo to Nigeria and he is really pushing for collaboration with Angola...
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
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