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SLEEK OIL MOVEMENT
slykat
#1 Posted : Sunday, April 08, 2012 2:10:12 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
SLEEK OIL MOVEMENT

Happy Easter Wazuans!

If commercial oil quantities are found and the oil can flow in 5 years;

What stock(s) - other than banks - stand to gain the most from it and why?

Which other biz is a wave surfer?
mkeiyd
#2 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 10:53:43 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 1,182
I think local OMC will benefit more than "banks", reason being, crude oil won't be sold/traded by all and sundry,to have the proceeds flowing to the banks. Most of the money that will get to the banks will have passed thru' other sectors of the economy. The local OMCs and construction/infrastructure shall benefit more and before the banks. Opening up of Turkana will need serious infrastructure and a bit of buildings.
youcan'tstopusnow
#3 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 11:44:02 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
I think it's hard to pinpoint a particular sector that will benefit more than the others. In fact, I will go as far as stating that the jar is big enough for everyone to dip their hands in. Yaani, if the economy picks up, kila mtu atakula.

GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mkeiyd
#4 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 11:57:06 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 1,182
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
I think it's hard to pinpoint a particular sector that will benefit more than the others. In fact, I will go as far as stating that the jar is big enough for everyone to dip their hands in. Yaani, if the economy picks up, kila mtu atakula.



Don't you think a sector like agriculture will have limited benefit and much later than other sectors?
Murenju
#5 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 1:03:32 PM
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Joined: 7/13/2006
Posts: 94
Location: Nairobi
Construction and allied companies (cement, metal, paint etc.) stand to gain immediately on infrastructure development.
Knock hard and it will be opened. Ask and you will be answered. Seek and you shall find.
youcan'tstopusnow
#6 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 1:53:47 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Murenju wrote:
Construction and allied companies (cement, metal, paint etc.) stand to gain immediately on infrastructure development.

Murenju I just hope we do not have similar outcries in future:

“The Chinese firms are importing all the materials they need, even those that they can source from the local market, denying linkage to the local economy hence loss of revenue to the government,” said Mr Rakesh Rao, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Crown Berger, the leading local paint manufacturer.

Mr Rao’s contention is that the Chinese firms are importing road-marking paints and his company- quoted at the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) —is able to supply the same.

“The government should have ensured such materials are obtained from local industry, boosting our revenue and subsequently the national revenue,” said Mr Rao.


AFRO-CHINA LABOUR TIES TURN ICY
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#7 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 2:02:20 PM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mkeiyd wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
I think it's hard to pinpoint a particular sector that will benefit more than the others. In fact, I will go as far as stating that the jar is big enough for everyone to dip their hands in. Yaani, if the economy picks up, kila mtu atakula.



Don't you think a sector like agriculture will have limited benefit and much later than other sectors?

By the way, just asking, is there an analysis done on Tea and Coffee consumption in the country? What is the major factor affecting their local consumption? Is it cost/attitudes etc. Will an exponential rise in incomes lead to a lift in local consumption?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
slykat
#8 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 2:25:14 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
mkeiyd wrote:
I think local OMC will benefit more than "banks", reason being, crude oil won't be sold/traded by all and sundry,to have the proceeds flowing to the banks. Most of the money that will get to the banks will have passed thru' other sectors of the economy. The local OMCs and construction/infrastructure shall benefit more and before the banks. Opening up of Turkana will need serious infrastructure and a bit of buildings.


@Mkeiyd

Wouldn't the needed infrastracture/housing require financing by local banks even before the pipeline opens?
Gordon Gekko
#9 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 3:51:51 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
@youcan'tstopusnow, interesting question about tea. I love tea, and surprisingly the best kenyan tea is imported kenyan tea - very ironic, you can't get good quality kenya tea locally, hence good tea is very expensive after doing the Iriaini-UK-JKIA-Nakumatt trip.
murchr
#10 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 6:50:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2012
Posts: 15,980
I dont think there are plans to kill the other industries. The oil was discovered in an arid area, no activity was taking place there so it should be an addition to the economy. I stumbled upon a report by forbes and the most sort after commodity in the world in 2011 was not oil but cotton...and live cattle was among them guess what, somalia was the highest exporter of live cattle...these are industries that the ministries of Agri and Livestock have neglected...if they can focus then our $$ earnings should not be a problem
"There are only two emotions in the market, hope & fear. The problem is you hope when you should fear & fear when you should hope: - Jesse Livermore
.
a4architect.com
#11 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 6:55:26 PM
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Joined: 1/4/2010
Posts: 1,668
Location: nairobi
@ murchr..ture..in somali there is a very lucrative trade in exporting live cattle to the arab world. These proceeds eventually find themsleves in Nairobi i the property sector.
As Iron Sharpens Iron, So one Man Sharpens Another.
youcan'tstopusnow
#12 Posted : Monday, April 09, 2012 8:08:25 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
a4architect.com wrote:
@ murchr..ture..in somali there is a very lucrative trade in exporting live cattle to the arab world. These proceeds eventually find themsleves in Nairobi i the property sector.

And we all thought it was piracy money;-)
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
mkeiyd
#13 Posted : Tuesday, April 10, 2012 9:06:28 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/26/2012
Posts: 1,182
@slykat, I think most of the infrastructure will be build using "outside" funds, or gov't. Construction won't be as huge since i don't expect a new city to come up in Turkana just coz of oil. Isiolo city is not coz of the oil,so any funding towards construction there,was to happen with or without the oil.
Cde Monomotapa
#14 Posted : Tuesday, April 10, 2012 10:21:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
I think it's hard to pinpoint a particular sector that will benefit more than the others. In fact, I will go as far as stating that the jar is big enough for everyone to dip their hands in. Yaani, if the economy picks up, kila mtu atakula.


Mscheew! Elitist thinking... Laughing out loudly Laughing out loudly #JusKidding
slykat
#15 Posted : Tuesday, April 10, 2012 12:12:07 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 2/20/2007
Posts: 359
http://www.the-star.co.k...crossroads-to-greatness

Aly-Khan is very (too) bullish in 2012 already!

Myself, am thinking KQ in particular, would be the biggest beneficiary (Forex stability, cheaper fuel, increased traffic etc). I may be wrong.
Rahatupu
#16 Posted : Tuesday, April 10, 2012 1:33:51 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 12/4/2009
Posts: 1,982
Location: matano manne
slykat wrote:
http://www.the-star.co.ke/business/aly-khan/70529-kenya-at-the-crossroads-to-greatness

Aly-Khan is very (too) bullish in 2012 already!

Myself, am thinking KQ in particular, would be the biggest beneficiary (Forex stability, cheaper fuel, increased traffic etc). I may be wrong.


My crystal ball tells me we are at a crossroads all the infrastructure developments will get a major boost, power bills will come down, fuel prices will tumble, interest rates chini..... property prices will fall oh food prices (now with the rains every where).... the list is endless. Everyone will be a winner.
jonna
#17 Posted : Tuesday, April 10, 2012 2:03:44 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/16/2011
Posts: 196
Location: united states of africa
Hmmmmmm!!!!!!
The projections have already been set out by the "colonizers" of Kenya as to what the outcome will be. (Mine the oil for five years, cause chaos after that)
The question is will Kenyans be able to think beyond their tribal noses for the benefit of all?

Energy.
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