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Investors Lounge
Ceinz
#1841 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 10:45:57 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.
“small step for man”
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1842 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 2:18:02 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Is national credit rating being downgraded the in-thing now? Everybody seems to be getting it.

Hungary - http://www.finfacts.com/...s/article_1023566.shtml

Egypt - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15871107

Portugal - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15873435

The above 3 are now 'junk'

Belgium was cut by one notch from AA+ to AA - http://www.marketwatch.c...redit-rating-2011-11-25

Who's next?

One AAA rated nation in euroland. The other is US. But how do you bite the hand that feeds you? Thus the term ponzinomics...

Thought only the US enjoys this now!
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#1843 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 4:09:27 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And the bankruptcies keep coming. Now AMR (American Airlines parent) goes belly up... http://www.bloomberg.com...ks-with-pilots-end.html

Meanwhile the Iranian protesters have overrun the british embassy in Tehran after UK declared sanctions on Iran... Boiler room it gets...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/new...rld-middle-east-15936213
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1844 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 4:11:13 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@philanga - many countries still hold the AAA rating in this day and age of debt madness!?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1845 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2011 4:42:21 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Fed bank plus other 5 major central banks lower USD swap rate in a coordinated exercise to start from Dec 5. And the markets all rally at this 'exciting' news! Madness galore. The CBs are hereby admitting the system is under dire stress!

http://www.bloomberg.com...te-on-dollar-swaps.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#1846 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2011 8:52:19 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Kenya ranked top in world's fraud incidences!!! Like we needed any more bad rep...

http://www.businessdaily...2/-/9k1xyw/-/index.html
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#1847 Posted : Thursday, December 01, 2011 10:14:58 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1848 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 9:08:59 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@cde - http://www.newzimbabwe.c...rds%20yuan/business.aspx
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#1849 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 1:03:51 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...


Nice trades, thought you'd already given thanks to the year, or the pips are too good to let pass.Liar
“small step for man”
hisah
#1850 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 1:58:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...


Nice trades, thought you'd already given thanks to the year, or the pips are too good to let pass.Liar

Not spot trades, more physical bullion.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
kenyainvestor
#1851 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 2:01:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/12/2011
Posts: 194
Forget China, invest in Africa says Russia's Renaissance


Investors should forget China and park their money in sub-Saharan Africa if they wish to benefit from the growth in emerging markets, the chief investment officer at Russia's Renaissance Asset Managers said on Friday.

"Africa reminds me of China back in 1999. If you missed China then, don't do that now," Plamen Monovski told Reuters in an interview. "It's the last place in the world that is due for that rapid change and advancement."

http://af.reuters.com/ar...E7B104420111202?sp=true
LATEST BLOG POST: NSE BANKING SECTOR REPORT - THE TOP 5
FACEBOOK: Kenya Investing
TWITTER HANDLE: @kenyainvestor
hisah
#1852 Posted : Sunday, December 04, 2011 6:52:40 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
This Iran thing is getting uncomfy... I'm not liking the way things are unfolding.

http://uk.reuters.com/ar...ne-idUKTRE7B30DQ20111204
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#1853 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 7:45:59 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa
#1854 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 7:47:44 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
[quote=hisah]This Iran thing is getting uncomfy... I'm not liking the way things are unfolding.

http://uk.reuters.com/ar...e-idUKTRE7B30DQ20111204[/quote]
Interesting at how they are fanning their own recession Laughing out loudly
youcan'tstopusnow
#1855 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 8:04:34 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
hisah wrote:
This Iran thing is getting uncomfy... I'm not liking the way things are unfolding.

http://uk.reuters.com/ar...e-idUKTRE7B30DQ20111204


Interesting at how they are fanning their own recession Laughing out loudly

Mchimba kisima...
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
Cde Monomotapa
#1856 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 8:12:07 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
hisah wrote:
This Iran thing is getting uncomfy... I'm not liking the way things are unfolding.

http://uk.reuters.com/ar...e-idUKTRE7B30DQ20111204


Interesting at how they are fanning their own recession Laughing out loudly

Mchimba kisima...

Sad
FUNKY
#1857 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 12:21:08 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 4/30/2010
Posts: 1,635
Thiong'o
#1858 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 1:26:22 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/14/2011
Posts: 661
What really went wrong in Greece?

International media focus on how the Greek government and people spend their money. But an equally important problem is the inability of the Greek state to collect revenues.

http://globalpublicsquar...g-in-greece/?hpt=ibu_r1

hisah
#1859 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 1:32:07 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Brent oil now trading above $110 and giving bulls a signal to push for $120 handle. This Iran tensions, arghhh.... Happening at the wrong time. Did some experts or politicians say KE inflation is headed down? Yet again wanjikus will be shocked as CBK goes bananas trying to stem the energy bill from messing trade deficits further.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#1860 Posted : Monday, December 05, 2011 7:44:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
And the foreigners keep trooping in

SA bank seeks to tap regional deals from Nairobi office

http://www.businessdaily...0/-/33bcvf/-/index.html

**************************************************************

Kenya a mining hub? Things just keep getting interesting.

Investors make a beeline for coast region’s minerals

http://www.businessdaily.../-/umt5soz/-/index.html

GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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