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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
Rank: Chief Joined: 1/13/2011 Posts: 5,964
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Nabwire wrote:I cant see the future thats why I dont call bottoms, na pia sijui kusoma hizo charts zenu, mara C wave mara parabolic wave...LOL  hebu waambie ;-)
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Todays volumes reminds me of the bulls early this year...we are oversold...we should bounce in the next 5 sessions...are u buying? lets go 
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Rank: Elder Joined: 6/2/2008 Posts: 1,438
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the deal wrote:Todays volumes reminds me of the bulls early this year...we are oversold...we should bounce in the next 5 sessions...are u buying? lets go I have been busy on the buy side since Monday this week. I have scooped up KCB, KPLC, MSC Kenol, HF and Centum. My funds will be exhausted in the next couple of days, so the market had better move up as I need to lighten up in order to build back my warchest once again. The prices have been pretty sweet for a buyer this past week.
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 7/25/2010 Posts: 42 Location: Kenya
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Simplified wrote:Charts,analysis,fundamentals,gut feelings..at the end of the day the nse has a mind of its own.I will keep on buying my target counters KK,KCB in intervals as they go down.It will be a crime to miss some opportunities. you still have cash?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 7/11/2010 Posts: 5,040
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Leave the n.s.e alone! KK at 9.25!!!!!! see you on the other side. The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
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Rank: Member Joined: 1/3/2011 Posts: 264 Location: Nairobi
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beyold, Muthawamunene returns. I see nothing has chaged around here. Which means my decision to divorce the nse wasnt that bad. 3155 points as of yesterday...... kweli, wen its time to get out.... GET THE F*#K OUT AS QUICK AS POSSIBLE.
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Rank: Member Joined: 10/25/2010 Posts: 519 Location: nairobi
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Naona muelekeo wa sukari si mbaya...mimi naisubiria na shilingi mbili...!!!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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the deal wrote:Todays volumes reminds me of the bulls early this year...we are oversold...we should bounce in the next 5 sessions...are u buying? lets go Yep, a bounce is coming, but not convinced with cbk's mindset to reenter the market. I also saw the volume on mpesa & equity yesterday. Could it be window dressing since it was Nov 30th - an end month date... Will see what CBK says today to also confirm this volume spike. $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/23/2010 Posts: 2,221 Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
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Haiya, Dec Karibu! Hope the MPC starts as off well! These bears have ruled for long!!!??!! @SufficientlyP
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Rank: Member Joined: 11/26/2009 Posts: 67 Location: Pare pare
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WakaWaka wrote:Simplified wrote:Charts,analysis,fundamentals,gut feelings..at the end of the day the nse has a mind of its own.I will keep on buying my target counters KK,KCB in intervals as they go down.It will be a crime to miss some opportunities. you still have cash? Still do.Got Kcb @ 15 & KK @ 9.30, waiting for more erosion,my que would be KK at sub 9 and Kcb at 14.50.Only time will tell.  Hug the bear....ride the bull.....di$mount!!!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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New Blog post: Cash is not the Position to be in! "Its a normal cycle bulls always give way for bears, bears will later give way for bulls, the same way applies to the economy in general, economic booms/excessive credit expansion is always followed by a downturn/credit crunch" Read more on this link
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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@the deal, don't you think buyers (who have cash!!!) are calling the shots... )) What did the NSE index close at?
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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ecstacy wrote:@the deal, don't you think buyers (who have cash!!!) are calling the shots... )) What did the NSE index close at? for how long? Thats the question.
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Rank: Veteran Joined: 7/22/2011 Posts: 1,325
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Cde Monomotapa wrote:Nabwire wrote:I cant see the future thats why I dont call bottoms, na pia sijui kusoma hizo charts zenu, mara C wave mara parabolic wave...LOL hebu waambie ;-) Lets not make QW ajinyonge na BigG when the market keeps going lower despite all the charts and fib levels....LOL tic toc tic toc stay hungry stay foolish 
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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the deal wrote:ecstacy wrote:@the deal, don't you think buyers (who have cash!!!) are calling the shots... )) What did the NSE index close at? for how long? Thats the question. For morning starters - http://www.centralbank.g...t%20December%202011.pdf
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Rank: Elder Joined: 9/25/2009 Posts: 4,534 Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
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Why send me a link to something I told u it was coming 7 month ago, i'm buying keep your cash under the mattress!
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Rank: Elder Joined: 2/26/2008 Posts: 4,449
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the deal wrote:Why send me a link to something I told u it was coming 7 month ago, i'm buying keep your cash under the mattress! Yes, for me recently converted dollars do make for a good start, your low has never come!!! LMAO
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 10/6/2011 Posts: 84
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Rank: New-farer Joined: 10/6/2011 Posts: 84
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Nabwire wrote:Cde Monomotapa wrote:Nabwire wrote:I cant see the future thats why I dont call bottoms, na pia sijui kusoma hizo charts zenu, mara C wave mara parabolic wave...LOL hebu waambie ;-) Lets not make QW ajinyonge na BigG when the market keeps going lower despite all the charts and fib levels....LOLtic toc tic toc stay hungry stay foolish you know i hate nonsense ....if you can chart or do better analysis whynont post them here and show me or us why we are wrong ...mdomo mingi peleka kwa bibi !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Rank: Chief Joined: 8/4/2010 Posts: 8,977
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hisah wrote:Hmmm... I've just noticed that the index broke down 3270-77 level, but most of the bank stocks have not yet retraced their hopium gains... Not pretty this. For 140 - 170/- the cluster reads ARM, bamburi, EABL, jubilee, NMG and soon stanchart... Interesting price clustering... Coop will test 10 to settle down. If one bought in 2008 IPO that will be a round trip. Will NBK be able to defend 20? If broken 15 should provide adequate support. NIC had better defend 25. Mumias may revisit sub 5 on the way to 3.60. KPLC yet again supply test of 17/- coming - 3rd attempt. KCB not looking good for this simba. 13/- is possible. DTK @90 needs to hold or 80 will be tested. CFC sub 40 will get me interested. @deal see u there... Wow centum sub 14. I thought sub 16 was bad enough?! Uchumi - this one trapped me for a looong time & I sold without a huff @14.20 after suspension. Sub 7 I'll get interest again. Britank is a sub 5 candidate. @guru had stated by Dec it will be in the 4s levels. I still see scope of it testing sub 4s... At these levels it gets interesting with such overselling... So let's see if NSE will closes above 3000 in Dec. Below that will lead to overselling bout in Q1 2012  Update... KQ 25/- is resistance for the bounce. Next down trip aims 17. Mpesa - having let go 2.90, 2009 low @2.55 is now possible. If broken, the few remaining wanjikus will be thrown under the bus. It would be sad to see sub 2s here like that paka!? Stated last Sunday. Things are moving fast! $15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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