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Ceinz
#1841 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 10:45:57 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.
“small step for man”
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1842 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 2:18:02 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
Is national credit rating being downgraded the in-thing now? Everybody seems to be getting it.

Hungary - http://www.finfacts.com/...s/article_1023566.shtml

Egypt - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15871107

Portugal - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15873435

The above 3 are now 'junk'

Belgium was cut by one notch from AA+ to AA - http://www.marketwatch.c...redit-rating-2011-11-25

Who's next?

One AAA rated nation in euroland. The other is US. But how do you bite the hand that feeds you? Thus the term ponzinomics...

Thought only the US enjoys this now!
@SufficientlyP
hisah
#1843 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 4:09:27 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And the bankruptcies keep coming. Now AMR (American Airlines parent) goes belly up... http://www.bloomberg.com...ks-with-pilots-end.html

Meanwhile the Iranian protesters have overrun the british embassy in Tehran after UK declared sanctions on Iran... Boiler room it gets...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/new...rld-middle-east-15936213
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1844 Posted : Tuesday, November 29, 2011 4:11:13 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@philanga - many countries still hold the AAA rating in this day and age of debt madness!?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1845 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2011 4:42:21 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Fed bank plus other 5 major central banks lower USD swap rate in a coordinated exercise to start from Dec 5. And the markets all rally at this 'exciting' news! Madness galore. The CBs are hereby admitting the system is under dire stress!

http://www.bloomberg.com...te-on-dollar-swaps.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
youcan'tstopusnow
#1846 Posted : Wednesday, November 30, 2011 8:52:19 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Kenya ranked top in world's fraud incidences!!! Like we needed any more bad rep...

http://www.businessdaily...2/-/9k1xyw/-/index.html
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
hisah
#1847 Posted : Thursday, December 01, 2011 10:14:58 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1848 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 9:08:59 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@cde - http://www.newzimbabwe.c...rds%20yuan/business.aspx
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#1849 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 1:03:51 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...


Nice trades, thought you'd already given thanks to the year, or the pips are too good to let pass.Liar
“small step for man”
hisah
#1850 Posted : Friday, December 02, 2011 1:58:04 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
hisah wrote:

@ceinz - I'm wondering who'll break the ECB just like Soros almost broke the BoE during the ERM crisis. But based on the scenario, I expect a major last ditch QE attempt in Q1 2012 by Fed, BoE and ECB. If it does happen, I'll buy gold/silver in bucketloads. I wonder how NSE will react to such an event. Since it's oversold, it could rally sharply in the short term e.g. 3 months esp bank stocks. But with the current cbk liquidity squeeze, it's hard to see the 6 - 12 months outlook.


Lets see how this play out. I'm, however, doubtful on the Fed lending a hand, also notice Germany's hand pulling strings in ECB. Regardless of the situation risk aversion will be the norm in Q1, 2012. Dollar, yen and gold longs will be good bets.

Fed's action yesterday is a veiled QE for underwater banks. Buying gold/silver as stated...


Nice trades, thought you'd already given thanks to the year, or the pips are too good to let pass.Liar

Not spot trades, more physical bullion.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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