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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
mlennyma
#1181 Posted : Wednesday, November 23, 2011 4:48:16 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Down only 12.32 pts to 3320.77
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1182 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 11:55:42 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
It's A free fall at the NSE.
You can pick for yourself Member at 18.50, Roar at 15.75 or even KK at 9.50. HF is all yours at 13.55!
And we are certainly headed for sub 3,000 Index.
What shall the MPC say on Dec 2nd when they meet again! I doubt they would increase the CBR further! What say you?
@SufficientlyP
ecstacy
#1183 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 12:08:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
[quote=ecstacy]US Super Committee fail to agree on deficit measures. It may get worse before it gets better..US GDP to shrink next year and year after due to the automatic cuts in US spending that have now taken effect...meanwhile China declared it is focused on helping itself before helping others...Global stocks plunge further...

More analysis
http://www.reuters.com/a...e-idUSTRE7AK0AF20111121[/quote]

A "disastrous" German bond sale yesterday sparked fears that Europe's debt crisis was starting to threaten even Berlin. The German debt agency could not find buyers for almost half a bond sale of 6 billion euros...on the flip side it could give Berlin cause to re-examine its refusal to embrace a broader EU solution...

Italian bond yields' have jumped to levels widely seen as unbearable in the long term, despite intervention by the European Central Bank to buy limited quantities...

A special report by Fitch Ratings suggested France had limited room left to absorb shocks to its finances, such as a new downturn in growth or support for banks, without endangering its triple-A credit status...

The very public jousting over what to do next underscores just how divided European leaders are on how to resolve the turmoil which has accelerated to engulf big countries such as Italy and Spain, and pushed out political leaders in Rome and Athens.

"We don't know where this is going," said Richard Jeffrey, Chief Investment Officer at Cazenove Capital Management in London. "Do not think the political leaders know where they are taking it."

Let it bleed!!!!
hisah
#1184 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 12:21:24 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Philanga - if cbr is jerked up, how will u play it? A hike would shock again, but if le prof is following volcker's prescription, expect it!? Must squeeze banks to remind them who's the don...

Eulorand... No comment on EFSF & the infighting. Austria & France likely to be downgraded...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1185 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 12:48:56 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Btw the number of NSE bearish threads is still a droplet! This needs to increase in order to scale up the bearish extreme levels before crashing hard on the floor to force a solid bounce. So far this is still a slow motion train wreck. Boring. Yawn...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Eric_Nyamu
#1186 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 1:56:37 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/6/2011
Posts: 84
i mean this nse isnot bottoming or what ....this is ridiculous !!!!!!
when i am thinking all the bearishness has been factored in it goes down even futhure ....
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1187 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 2:01:53 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
hisah wrote:
@Philanga - if cbr is jerked up, how will u play it? A hike would shock again, but if le prof is following volcker's prescription, expect it!? Must squeeze banks to remind them who's the don...

Eulorand... No comment on EFSF & the infighting. Austria & France likely to be downgraded...

I shudder at the thought of a further rate hike! The property market will simply tumble and drag with it the NSE!
The Germans can now start eating humble pie, they were living a lie!
@SufficientlyP
Cde Monomotapa
#1188 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 2:21:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
2,500pts.
Aguytrying
#1189 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 2:28:35 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
2,500pts.


People are really getting bearish now. slightly above 3,000 points me thinks
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Cde Monomotapa
#1190 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 2:45:32 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Aguytrying wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
2,500pts.


People are really getting bearish now. slightly above 3,000 points me thinks

I want us to shunt this market once n' for all. Tired of these bear threads.
Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#1191 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 2:58:18 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,221
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Time to sow!

PS: Those who sow in pain, shall reap with joy!
@SufficientlyP
the deal
#1192 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 3:20:25 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I see the index at 3750 by 1Q 2012
Mainat
#1193 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 3:47:31 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Delusional or disillusioned?
Sehemu ndio nyumba
the deal
#1194 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 4:01:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
The NSE like the Shilling will rise from zero to hero in a flash.
Aguytrying
#1195 Posted : Thursday, November 24, 2011 11:02:55 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
Foreigners are set to make gains if the shilling continues to strengthen. When they sell their shares, they will get more dollars than what they put in to buy the stocks. What's the next ingredient for a recovery.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
the deal
#1196 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 9:07:27 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Aguytrying wrote:
Foreigners are set to make gains if the shilling continues to strengthen. When they sell their shares, they will get more dollars than what they put in to buy the stocks. What's the next ingredient for a recovery.

I'm a foreign investor and i'm not selling the low PE's and high dividend yields are too good to ignore.
Eric_Nyamu
#1197 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 9:38:43 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/6/2011
Posts: 84
Aguytrying wrote:
Foreigners are set to make gains if the shilling continues to strengthen. When they sell their shares, they will get more dollars than what they put in to buy the stocks. What's the next ingredient for a recovery.



hehhehe. mzungu ni mjanja !

i bet now he's buying the dirty cheap stocks now that he has more money ...

na wanjiku ...??? yuko pale pale ana uza ... Laughing out loudly
Hunderwear
#1198 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 10:51:06 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/14/2011
Posts: 639
Yesterday's index numbers were 3288,are we likely to see a push below the 152week low today and what does it mean?
hisah
#1199 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 11:41:56 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hunderwear wrote:
Yesterday's index numbers were 3288,are we likely to see a push below the 52week low today and what does it mean?

Yes and it simply means we're in a bear market.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Hunderwear
#1200 Posted : Friday, November 25, 2011 11:51:26 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/14/2011
Posts: 639
hisah wrote:
Hunderwear wrote:
Yesterday's index numbers were 3288,are we likely to see a push below the 52week low today and what does it mean?

Yes and it simply means we're in a bear market.

@hisah,Good answer but a was asking about the effect of breaking the 52week low.Is A free fall in the offing?
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