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Mainat
#1321 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 8:46:16 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Needless 2 say. Shorted
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#1322 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 9:10:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Mainat wrote:
Needless 2 say. Shorted

good smile
the deal
#1323 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 10:27:20 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
@cde thinking is always out of tune...atleast he stopped thinking KCB everyday...
Cde Monomotapa
#1324 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 10:40:29 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
the deal wrote:
@cde thinking is always out of tune...atleast he stopped thinking KCB everyday...

:-P
Mainat
#1325 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 10:42:07 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Banks must be in a tight squeeze. Can't sell t-bills which they converted into htm stock; can't access interbank due to the steep price. And the lender of last resort is playing hardball.
Hope we are not heading to some liquidity crunch...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#1326 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 11:17:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
There is a solution offered to the banks in that circular I posted if it is read and understood. Looking forward to todays interbank to see its effectivness.
Cde Monomotapa
#1327 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 11:48:58 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Ok...let me break it down 4 the mortals smile. The total banking sector deposits are KES.1T. The CRR mandates the banks to park 4.75% of 1T with the CBK at any 1 time. Now, with the latest rules the CBK has allowed the banks to drawdown at most 1.75% off the CRR as long as they close the month at the statutory 4.75%. Thus, simple computation is that 1.75% of KES 1T = 17.5B of available liquidity. Get it?
Mainat
#1328 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 12:17:12 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Unless you know how they are borrowing from interbank/CBK window per day, that there is fairly useless info. What we for certain is that banks are borrowing from those two markets despite these prices.
Plus let see where the interbank is today...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
Cde Monomotapa
#1329 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 12:25:27 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@mainat a bank drawing down its own CRR costs 0%. So I view this as a 3rd option on top of the Interbank and Discount Window. Thus, if I were a bank i'd approach it from the least cost option 1st; that should ease pressure off the interbank and discount rates somewhat. Let's see.
Cde Monomotapa
#1330 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 12:31:50 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Mainat wrote:
Unless you know how they are borrowing from interbank/CBK window per day, that there is fairly useless info. What we for certain is that banks are borrowing from those two markets despite these prices.
Plus let see where the interbank is today...


From the CBK website www.centralbank.go.ke there is a drop down list labelled "Inter-bank Money Market" and on it currently show the activity between the 15th-19th August along with values transacted and what I see is a minimum of 6.7B and a maximum of 10.7B
Cde Monomotapa
#1331 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 12:38:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Mainat wrote:
Unless you know how they are borrowing from interbank/CBK window per day, that there is fairly useless info. What we for certain is that banks are borrowing from those two markets despite these prices.
Plus let see where the interbank is today...


From the CBK website www.centralbank.go.ke there is a drop down list labelled "Inter-bank Money Market" and on it currently show the activity between the 15th-19th August along with values transacted and what I see is a minimum of 6.7B and a maximum of 10.7B


Alternatively,download the CBK weekly bulletin http://www.centralbank.g...tin/2011/Aug/260811.pdf and go to page 2 and you will find a lot more detail of interbank market activity.

Cheers.
Cde Monomotapa
#1332 Posted : Monday, August 29, 2011 6:13:23 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
!! FLAWLESS VICTORY !! COMRADE WINS...
hisah
#1333 Posted : Wednesday, August 31, 2011 6:50:39 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Dear money printer... Yours truly, ponzi addict...

http://tinyurl.com/3fqrgfd
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1334 Posted : Wednesday, August 31, 2011 7:06:57 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
!! FLAWLESS VICTORY !! COMRADE WINS...

As long as the inflation rate is a double digit & CBR is in the single digit, CBK is fighting a losing battle & the exchange rates will be volatile with or without 'speculators'. Speculators in quotes since they're imaginary i.e. those 4 banks that we wont name...

When treasury flooded the econ with stimulus in 2009/2010, there was no mechanism put up for draining it or how it will be done. @Kizee1 mentioned this last yr severally. @scubidu was equally concerned (too quiet of late, hope he didnt drown in that liquidity).

I have called this a pretext game & nothing has changed... The sideshows previews should stop, we've paid to watch the movie called hike the damn CBR...

Either the movie starts or the audience continue throwing tomatoes (USDKES, job cuts, wage cuts & inflation) on stage.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#1335 Posted : Wednesday, August 31, 2011 7:21:41 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Why is this lame stream outlet too focussed on this particular conspiracy site... 3rd time & counting. Where there is smoke...

http://t.co/u11mae6
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Cde Monomotapa
#1336 Posted : Wednesday, August 31, 2011 7:20:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
China mulls internationalising currency

THE gradual internationalisation of China's renminbi will see at least 40 percent, or about US$100 billion, of China's trade with Africa being made using the currency unit by 2015, a research study has shown.
Currency internationalisation is defined as the widespread use of a currency outside the original country.
It is determined by the demand other countries have for that currency.

http://www.herald.co.zw/...business&Itemid=133
Cde Monomotapa
#1337 Posted : Wednesday, August 31, 2011 8:39:48 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
China mulls internationalising currency

THE gradual internationalisation of China's renminbi will see at least 40 percent, or about US$100 billion, of China's trade with Africa being made using the currency unit by 2015, a research study has shown.
Currency internationalisation is defined as the widespread use of a currency outside the original country.
It is determined by the demand other countries have for that currency.

http://www.herald.co.zw/...business&Itemid=133

The unbundling of the USD embarks...
Cde Monomotapa
#1338 Posted : Thursday, September 01, 2011 10:23:40 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964

Kenya interbank lending rate plunges

NAIROBI, Sept 1 (Reuters) - Kenya's interbank lending rate
dropped sharply to 19.2515 percent from 27.7299 percent, central
bank data showed on Thursday.

http://af.reuters.com/ar...s/idAFL5E7K104V20110901

smile
Cde Monomotapa
#1339 Posted : Thursday, September 01, 2011 10:30:17 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Cde Monomotapa wrote:

Kenya interbank lending rate plunges

NAIROBI, Sept 1 (Reuters) - Kenya's interbank lending rate
dropped sharply to 19.2515 percent from 27.7299 percent, central
bank data showed on Thursday.

http://af.reuters.com/ar...s/idAFL5E7K104V20110901

smile

!! FLAWLESS VICTORY !! COMRADE WINS...
Mainat
#1340 Posted : Thursday, September 01, 2011 11:19:08 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Clearly missed the caveats.
USD on its way to Ksh95 last time I sighted it.
Sehemu ndio nyumba
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