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Realities of Forex Investment
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hisah
#1221 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2011 12:10:15 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
For those interested with carry trade, you can use this simple calculator to see the best interest paying crosses when shorting or buying. At the moment carry trade is tricky with all the volatility since trades tend to be stopped out the same day or 3 days at most. Once Mr. Market decides if we are rallying or selling off for months, then carry trades can be initiated with ease.

http://www.forexpros.com.../carry-trade-calculator

Also another useful tool called heatmap...

http://www.forexpros.com/forex-tools/heatmap
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Wednesday, August 17, 2011 12:11 PM | Reason: Not specified
hisah
#1222 Posted : Wednesday, August 17, 2011 4:01:00 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Buy the rumour, sell the news... The swissie news - http://www.bloomberg.com...-of-bank-liquidity.html

Time for swissie bulls to have another run-in with the SNB... The streetfight continues... Pray Whistle
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1223 Posted : Thursday, August 18, 2011 8:07:02 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
Return to my interest view...

EURCAD - Almost back to 1.43
USDSGD - Testing 1.19s

Waiting for USDZAR to come back to 6.7 - 6.8

AUDCAD - Forming H&S on longterm charts. A test & failure of 1.03 will confirm. If triggered, will fall hard. I'm still an aussie bear & RBA dovish speech last week supports it.

On the next CHF charge look at AUDCHF, should fall faster than GBPCHF?!

EURUSD - The ugly sisters pair is back above 1.44s smile No comment smile

Gold looks like it wants to retest last weeks high @ $1815. May break above, but very toppish. No need to chase trades. Back under $1700 is better for a run above $2000.

In the meantime look at the narrowing USDJPY bollinger bands. A breakout is coming soon.



2 days later, gold has retested and posted a new high $1827. I still see this as a very toppish sign and those buying at this levels are taking major risks - short term.

US 10yr note will soon go sub 2%. A kaboom moment soon...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Thursday, August 18, 2011 8:16 PM | Reason: Not specified
hisah
#1224 Posted : Friday, August 19, 2011 7:32:22 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
US 10yr note yield finally falls sub 2% - new lows...

Gold continues with highs in asia testing $1845 i.e. $155 away from $2000.

SNB dipped into US Fed bank FX swaps of $200M yesterday. Dexia bank (Belgium) took out $500M of last resort borrowing. The liquidity ground is shaky and wild moves in equities & fx will be experienced soon when swaps turn into the billions.

A number of global brokerage firms & lame stream media are talking of US sliding back into recession & taking the rest of the globe with it. As if we got out of recession as some officials claimed back in Nov 2009 with words like v-shaped recovery etc. Bure kabisa.

Stagflation is what we'll get for extending & pretending the ponzinomics.

http://www.dailyfx.com/f...ry_yield_record_low.html
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1225 Posted : Friday, August 19, 2011 6:08:11 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
USDJPY tests below 76 down to 75.95 and bounces back. Floodgates coming soon...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Dmitry
#1226 Posted : Saturday, August 20, 2011 6:11:20 PM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 8/12/2010
Posts: 51
Location: Nairobi
Hi there. I have been on a demo account for some time and am indifferent on whether am ready or not. i started with some little info...went live n got BURNTsmile so i went back, read a lot, studied n stared at charts, tried different strategies n now i have one that works most of the time. for example, i had 9/10 success rate last week..an many other times. But my question is, how do you know when you are ready or do i just trust my guts?..also i know emotions are very different when one goes live. i would not want to take high risk positions..is 25X very risky? coz am thinking 10X min and 25X max (leverage).
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Mainat
#1227 Posted : Saturday, August 20, 2011 6:54:35 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
Banks showing the usual signs of liquidity stress. West has copied Japanese methods instead of having a proper de-leveraging session, they'll wake up with Japanese type of slumber...
Sehemu ndio nyumba
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Ceinz
#1228 Posted : Sunday, August 21, 2011 12:14:55 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
NFA Slaps a $2 Million Fine on FXCM

http://www.babypips.com/blogs/e...on-usd-fine-on-fxcm.html
“small step for man”
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  | | Edit by user: Sunday, August 21, 2011 12:15 PM | Reason: Not specified
QW25071985
#1229 Posted : Sunday, August 21, 2011 2:07:16 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
Ceinz wrote:
NFA Slaps a $2 Million Fine on FXCM

http://www.babypips.com/blogs/e...on-usd-fine-on-fxcm.html


finally.
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hisah
#1230 Posted : Sunday, August 21, 2011 3:57:04 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
QW25071985 wrote:
Ceinz wrote:
NFA Slaps a $2 Million Fine on FXCM

http://www.babypips.com/blogs/e...on-usd-fine-on-fxcm.html


finally.

This is just a slap on the wrist for FXCM. Their US outfit was just a mess with slippages that if you were a frequent trade. On MT the slippages were worse! Somehow this got fixed when I moved my account to the UK branch. Btw this slippage practice (esp during volatility periods) is also evident on other brokers' platforms and I wonder why only FXCM is charged.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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