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How to tell NSE has bottomed out
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Sober
#261 Posted : Wednesday, August 10, 2011 7:40:09 PM
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Joined: 11/27/2007
Posts: 3,604
As the index tumbles i keep looking at the 12 months of rugged terraine that we are having ahead and i keep asking myself, how low it gonna sink.
African parents don't know how to say sorry.. the closest you will get to a sorry is a 'have you eaten'
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the deal
#262 Posted : Wednesday, August 10, 2011 8:32:55 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I think we might see a short lived rally....before we cut through the 3500 mark...watch the 3500 mark anything below that we are done..it will be a free fall to 3000 and below...
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QW25071985
#263 Posted : Wednesday, August 10, 2011 8:39:37 PM
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Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
The technicals for nse are toooo overstreched.and we know what happens when we overstrech a e.g rubber band. It snaps back with force. The rally if it'll happen will be worth buying. Lets wait and see.
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Hunderwear
#264 Posted : Wednesday, August 10, 2011 9:46:02 PM
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Joined: 4/14/2011
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the deal wrote:
I think we might see a short lived rally....before we cut through the 3500 mark...watch the 3500 mark anything below that we are done..it will be a free fall to 3000 and below...

If my memory serves me right there was a song about breaking 3600 mark....now it's 3500 before the free fal
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hisah
#265 Posted : Thursday, August 11, 2011 7:26:16 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hunderwear wrote:
the deal wrote:
I think we might see a short lived rally....before we cut through the 3500 mark...watch the 3500 mark anything below that we are done..it will be a free fall to 3000 and below...

If my memory serves me right there was a song about breaking 3600 mark....now it's 3500 before the free fal

Think of it this way, 3600 was the spillway and 3500 is the floodgate...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#266 Posted : Thursday, August 11, 2011 8:12:12 PM
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That 3500 level better hold the selling pressure...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Muthawamunene
#267 Posted : Thursday, August 11, 2011 11:11:00 PM
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Joined: 1/3/2011
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Location: Nairobi
i hate to be so blunt, but hell!! All the signs point north as i said in another post.
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QW25071985
#268 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 7:34:11 AM
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We know the n.s.e gets its life back from september when the foreigners come back from their summer vacation . It shld be interesting to see how the market behaves.
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hisah
#269 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 7:36:45 AM
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Muthawamunene wrote:
i hate to be so blunt, but hell!! All the signs point north as i said in another post.

There is nothing wrong with being blunt with your opinion.

NSE will definitely bounce from the overstretched selling. However, keep in mind that this is now a bear market.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#270 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 5:33:38 PM
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3500 still holds, but at a cliff hanging point...

Meanwhile Olympia is morphing into a paka...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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Mainat
#271 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 5:51:37 PM
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Joined: 11/21/2006
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3000 is key surrender point. I'd say between September and October 2011 AD based on Kenya specific events, but also Euro-zone tale
Sehemu ndio nyumba
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QW25071985
#272 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 5:53:16 PM
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@vvs is going to kill himself when he looks at olympia again. Hahaha.
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Cde Monomotapa
#273 Posted : Friday, August 12, 2011 8:16:07 PM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
QW25071985 wrote:
We know the n.s.e gets its life back from september when the foreigners come back from their summer vacation . It shld be interesting to see how the market behaves.

Ukoloni mambo leo. Nkt! This why I don't trust those boys in Upperhill with my money.
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erifloss
#274 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 1:34:52 PM
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Joined: 6/21/2010
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Location: Nairobi
Shida bado kwisha. I think if we control inflation then the rest of the chips will fall in place. This will also assist in increasing disposable income & spur local investors in the NSE, it will also curb an unga revolution that might probably occur & crush NSE badly.
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
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QW25071985
#275 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 2:43:43 PM
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Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
We just need rain for inflation to die down.lol

The following stocks have bottomed.

1. Equity at 20.00
2. Kplc at 18.00
3.co-op at 14.00
4.access kenya at sub 6.00

i am really hard pressed to find a reason why we might see another sell-off. If you have one please share it with us.
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hisah
#276 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 2:54:14 PM
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Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
QW25071985 wrote:
We just need rain for inflation to die down.lol

The following stocks have bottomed.

1. Equity at 20.00
2. Kplc at 18.00
3.co-op at 14.00
4.access kenya at sub 6.00

i am really hard pressed to find a reason why we might see another sell-off. If you have one please share it with us.

Do you think the panic in the west has ended or is just the beginning?

If the above are just trades for speculation, good luck. If for accumulation, bad idea for lower prices are coming! That US downgrade is a tailspinner & the global short selling ban spree tells the tape direction. Dont fight Mr Market.

Panic central doesn't follow logic.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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the deal
#277 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 4:04:34 PM
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Joined: 9/25/2009
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Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
Well managed economies like Namibia...inflation diped to 4.8% from 5.4% in July...now wait for the drop at the pump.
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mlennyma
#278 Posted : Sunday, August 14, 2011 7:31:33 PM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
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Location: nairobi
Namimbia uses artificially induced rain technology.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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hisah
#279 Posted : Monday, August 15, 2011 3:42:38 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
mlennyma wrote:
Namimbia uses artificially induced rain technology.

The ching too have been trying to do the same this year due to severe drought.

http://www.weathermodification.com/

http://www.weathermodification.com/projects.php
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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QW25071985
#280 Posted : Monday, August 15, 2011 8:00:52 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
hisah wrote:
QW25071985 wrote:
We just need rain for inflation to die down.lol

The following stocks have bottomed.

1. Equity at 20.00
2. Kplc at 18.00
3.co-op at 14.00
4.access kenya at sub 6.00

i am really hard pressed to find a reason why we might see another sell-off. If you have one please share it with us.

Do you think the panic in the west has ended or is just the beginning?

If the above are just trades for speculation, good luck. If for accumulation, bad idea for lower prices are coming! That US downgrade is a tailspinner & the global short selling ban spree tells the tape direction. Dont fight Mr Market.

Panic central doesn't follow logic.


oh bytheway let me add that the stocks that i have mentioned that have bottomd out are actually siting on their support.which adds more wait to the fact that they have bottomed.
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