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kenyainvestor
#1151 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 2:30:57 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/12/2011
Posts: 194
Will the English Premier League kick off as scheduled if the riots spread across the country? People have already paid their (expensive) DSTV subscriptionsSad
LATEST BLOG POST: NSE BANKING SECTOR REPORT - THE TOP 5
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hisah
#1152 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 6:40:40 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@Kenyainvestor - maybe u should ask dstv for a refund. After the London protests back in May due to austerity measures this thing is threatening to tip! Remember in April a lot of discontent was also thrown at the royal wedding... I'm seeing a Tunisia in Europe.

In Asia, HSI is down more than 6% now below 20000 handle (@young hope you got out or playing very defensive - short selling). Kospi outgunning all, down 7% plus!? Definitely Europe will open with sellside pressure.

Eh, NSE will definitely close below 3600 today as spooked foreigners exit. Those still stuck in, hold on tight i.e. those speculators with huge holdings. Trying to sell with anaemic demand will hurt or worse trap you even further down. All my fast trades now cancelled until things cool down...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, August 09, 2011 6:46 AM | Reason: Not specified
karanjakinuthia
#1153 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:21:07 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
karanjakinuthia wrote:
The United States: Timing the Path to Unrest


Dear Friends,

Let us begin with cycle analysis by Martin Armstrong. The 224 Year Cycle of Political Change in the United States peaked in 1637 with the revolution in England to end torture from the infamous Star Chamber. Adding 224 to 1637 brings us to 1861, the upheaval of the American Civil War.

The Cycle points to 2013 (1861+112+31.4+8.6) as beginning of political unrest in the United States feeding off the 8.6 year political down-cycle in Iran/Persia and Europe. Tremors are already being felt.


The fate of Britain is closely tied with Europe, austerity, growing public sector layoffs and the resultant civil unrest for a duration of 8.6 years from 2009 to 2018.
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hisah
#1154 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:49:42 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And China's CPI prints 6.5%...Still rallying since Jan 2011. PBoC will have to tighten aggressively. Chinese Real Estate & stocks will feel the heat for a while...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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kenyainvestor
#1155 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 11:52:56 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 7/12/2011
Posts: 194
Fresh lows for the Kenya Shilling

94.798/= to the dollar
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karanjakinuthia
#1156 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 1:08:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
karanjakinuthia wrote:
Of interest, today's (June 30th) British public sector strike is 85 years (8.6*10) after the 1926 strikes:

"In Britain, strikes still plagued the nation. Coal miners, who throughout history seem to have struck every time they have had a chance, went on another rampage. Many in the U.S. were looking for coal exports to pick up sharply as they had in previous years, exporting nearly four million tons of coal to Britain. But this time the Brits really got out of hand. The strikers tried to effect a naval blockade. The Royal Navy was called out with trained guns ready and ordered to blow the strikers out of the water if they did not give up the effort." Greatest Bull Market in History by Martin Armstrong, pg. 119


In addition, they are taking place 17.2 days (8.6*2) after 2011.45 (June 13/14th 2011) on the Economic Confidence Model.

Coincidence?



The fate of Britain is closely tied with Europe, austerity, growing public sector layoffs and the resultant civil unrest for a duration of 8.6 years from 2009 to 2018.
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hisah
#1157 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 5:02:31 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Quite an interesting timeline comparison gone full circle...

July 2008 - http://news.aspects.cc/e...ock-market-loss-in-june

Aug 2011 - http://www.msnbc.msn.com...ped-value-world-stocks/

Soon to come - http://www.mybudget360.c...al-markets-of-the-world/
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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hisah
#1158 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 6:43:23 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
US Municipal bond debt bomb... Waiting for FOMC announcement in 150mins time...

http://www.bloomberg.com...ngrades-u-s-credit.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/73692402/
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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  | | Edit by user: Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:11 PM | Reason: Not specified
cnn
#1159 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:04:23 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 6/17/2009
Posts: 1,627
[quote=hisah]US Municipal bond debt bomb... Waiting for FOMC announcement in 150mins time...

http://www.bloomberg.com...ngrades-u-s-credit.html[/quote]
You expect anything constructive from them?.They will only spook the markets more just like Obama did yesterday and erase the gains in the US markets today.I see Europe has broken the downward trend.
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guru267
#1160 Posted : Tuesday, August 09, 2011 7:18:50 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
US Municipal bond debt bomb... Waiting for FOMC announcement in 150mins time...

http://www.bloomberg.com...ngrades-u-s-credit.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/73692402/


If they do this meeting right though they have few options then the current sell off will end immediately..

But if they get this wrong... Eg (announcing QE3) then we will know what it means to bleed...

I'm anxiously waiting.. Sad
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
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