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Realities of Forex Investment
rcarter
#1161 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 4:04:19 AM
Rank: Hello

Joined: 8/3/2011
Posts: 4
It was my philosophy professor who really got me into fore trading. He gave me some tips on how to know when to go in and when to save myself. I don't what your experiences are but patience sure played a vital role in this type of game. I tried to study the trend. Stretching as much as two years only to finally conclude that it is impossible to beat the game through records as you would never know when it will rise up or sink down. You just have to trust your instincts, actually.
hisah
#1162 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 6:12:26 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And behold, CME aka knight is shining armor comes to rescue SNB by slaying the CHF dragon round 2... What a circus show... Mum (SNB) can I get some more popcorn... Hollywood is indeed boring smile

http://www.cmegroup.com/...g/files/Chadv11-270.pdf
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
mnandii
#1163 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 7:04:14 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
TOKYO (Dow Jones)--The Bank of Japan said Wednesday it is supplying Y1.40 trillion against pooled collateral at its headquarters, starting Aug 5 and ending Aug 25.

Tokyo Bureau, Dow Jones Newswires; 813-6269-2770

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 03, 2011 00:00 ET (04:00 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2011 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
fxtech
#1164 Posted : Wednesday, August 03, 2011 8:47:32 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
considering GOING LONG on AUDUSD
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
Ceinz
#1165 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 4:32:29 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Forex: Yen surges on confirmed BoJ intervention.

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Japanese Yen has gone wild in the past minuted of trading, rising at light speed from 77.10 to just find resistance at 78.00. At present, the pair is correcting, reaching 77.70 only to rebound higher towards the high end of its recent swing high. With no apparent reason (Update: Noda confirms Japan intervened), the Yen's sudden depreciation suggests the BoJ may be finally taking action instead of just watching. Update: USD/JPY continues to rise, now at resistance 78.40.
“small step for man”
Ceinz
#1166 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 6:02:46 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
Long USD/JPY @ 78.46, Sl now adjusted to 78.50(Trade: risk free). TP open.
“small step for man”
mnandii
#1167 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 6:40:30 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 10/11/2006
Posts: 2,304
* 04 Aug 11: 03:23 GMT (SGA) - FX NOW! NZD/USD, AUD/USD FLOWS - English: High NZD hard for exporters, no big RBNZ changes

Kiwi under pressure, as Greenback generally higher after BoJ intervention (still intervening) in USD/JPY and SNB measures to curb CHF rise. BoJ buying absorbing strong offers at 79.00. Not surprised to hear talks of commercial sales in AUD from RBA and possible RBNZ in NZD? NZ Finmin Bill English says significant changes in monetary policy are neither needed nor planned now, even though NZD is hurting exporters. Earlier, NZ Q2 employment growth flat, and unemployment rate for Q2 6.5%. On FX, comments from NZ English - seems to suggest - as done by SNB and possibly BoJ - more easing/ instead of tightening - to curb the strong Kiwi? NZD/USD dipping lower to 2-week lows 0.8526, eye break of 0.8500 - eye big 0.8000.WL

* 04 Aug 11: 02:57 GMT (SGA) - FX NOW! EUR/CHF, USD/CHF FLOWS - Japan + Switzerland working together to ease + intervene?

Good to watch for any SNB FX action today - interesting "coordination" with BoJ/MoF? SNB eased policy yesterday, and then BoJ/MoF intervention today, before easing policy later. Then SNB will come in the FX market to intervene to send a message that both Japan and Switzerland are working together to prevent their currencies to rising to record highs on safe haven, global risk aversion? So both Switzerland and Japan are sending a message that they are working together as both currencies bear the "brunt" (some will say gains) of the global risk aversion. USD/JPY at 78.88-90 - talks BoJ in machine at 78.50 now. EUR/CHF at 1.1089-90, off yest 1.1149 highs, but talks of covert SNB intervention - on way up from all time lows 1.0795. USD/CHF at 0.7755-58, off



SOURCE: OANDA.COM NEWS
Conventional thinkers waste time building shelters when they are unnecessary and then have no shelters when they need them the most. Socionomists do the opposite.
hisah
#1168 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 8:07:55 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Yesterday CME hiked margin rates for EURCHF futures contracts. Later the SNB lowers their fund rate to almost 0% & supply swissies in the market to kill off the CHF rhino charge. Indeed it is a 'free' market this one...

BoJ finally decides to launch the yen short bazooka. Game on...

Conclusions - Very desperate times call for very desperate measures aka untested/unconventional methods. Very desperate central planners across the global. Prof. Ndungu I hope u taking notes to see how to kill off KES shortsellers and burn off their fx accounts to a margin call to remind them who's the boss...

I'm avoiding both yen & swissie trades for a while until the emotions cool off. Due to the one-sided yen & swissie trades, shorts are bound to get squeezed going forward even without intervention.

NZDUSD below 0.8600, weekly short setup lining up.
AUDUSD - this one is an outright short.

If any of these 2 rally on NFP news tomorrow, I'll be looking for weekly shorts.

Gold is overdone, but likely to test $1700 before it gets clobbered back to $1600 - $1580 level.

Anyone shorting Italian banks, it's been 5 weeks of handsome profits. Coming up next Spanish banks...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
Ceinz
#1169 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 9:43:15 AM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
hisah wrote:


I'm avoiding both yen & swissie trades for a while until the emotions cool off. Due to the one-sided yen & swissie trades, shorts are bound to get squeezed going forward even without intervention.

NZDUSD below 0.8600, weekly short setup lining up.
AUDUSD - this one is an outright short.

If any of these 2 rally on NFP news tomorrow, I'll be looking for weekly shorts.

Gold is overdone, but likely to test $1700 before it gets clobbered back to $1600 - $1580 level.

Anyone shorting Italian banks, it's been 5 weeks of handsome profits. Coming up next Spanish banks...


My yen trade doing good, I see it headed to 82.0 levels before any meaningful correction.

Im also bearish on AUD/USD when they maintained their rates on tuesday, I knew that was it, I expect it test previous support level at 1.0500 before a correction up. Fxtech take note.

NZD falling along with the JPY.

Hisah how do you short 'Italian banks' im curious.
“small step for man”
fxtech
#1170 Posted : Thursday, August 04, 2011 10:32:28 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 5/31/2010
Posts: 325
Location: NAIROBI
The Dow made a false break of 11,777 support and hammered in a pin bar today at this level, is there a bounce on the cards into Friday? Time will tell, but it’s one to watch though with 11,777 support holding
Discipline & sticking to your strategy even when you loosing defines great traders.
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