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KenolKobil first HY 2011 pretax profit up 86%
Bettertry
#141 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 11:47:38 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/19/2010
Posts: 237
Location: Republic of Graham & Doddsville
FUNKY wrote:
I doubt there will be a split but the talk about the bonus has been going on for the past 3 years. Let's see if they will declare the bonus this year.

The bonus issue was addressed by JIS during the H1 2011 presentation at the Investor Briefing. Here JIS was categorically clear that a bonus issuance would only arise in the event of a MAJOR financial arrangement for the purposes of a MAJOR acquistion...

Meanwhile u can go to their site & catch up on what went down during the IB.
We Will Either Find a Way or Create One - HANNIBAL
kenyainvestor
#142 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 1:55:56 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/12/2011
Posts: 194
Bettertry wrote:
FUNKY wrote:
I doubt there will be a split but the talk about the bonus has been going on for the past 3 years. Let's see if they will declare the bonus this year.

The bonus issue was addressed by JIS during the H1 2011 presentation at the Investor Briefing. Here JIS was categorically clear that a bonus issuance would only arise in the event of a MAJOR financial arrangement for the purposes of a MAJOR acquistion...

Meanwhile u can go to their site & catch up on what went down during the IB.


kenyainvestor wrote:
Segman:

"Dividend policy sufficient and fair way of giving returns to investors"

"Bonus will be considered at a a later stage IF they go for major financing arrangement for a major acquisition within Africa"


But then, even if he were to give a bonus, I doubt he would categorically say it outright

Though we do know hat they have plans in Lubumbashi, Malawi, Namibia and Botswana...
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VituVingiSana
#143 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 7:00:54 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,224
Location: Nairobi
Aguytrying wrote:
@vvs. You are the guy who saw it from the start. Where do you see kk after dividend excitement dies down, after book closure.

1) I buy long-term so short term variations do not bother me. If KK was 'delisted' I would remain a shareholder coz IMHO it will be making an EPS of 3/- in FY 2013.

2) Will it drop after it is ex-div (Yes, by 50 cents) but I cannot predict short-term movements.

3) It is election time so prices may/will weaken as we get into 2012.

Bottomline: 12/- is cheap. 6x PER. P/B is almost 1:1 (include various properties not revalued). If you buy a great farm cheap today, do you worry about the daily 'price' or the profits it will generate?
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#144 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 7:04:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VVS, Lai indicated that they will not be revaluing the properties. Do they ever plan on revaluing in the near future?
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#145 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 7:04:44 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,224
Location: Nairobi
The only reason for a bonus is in lieu of a dividend [so the cash can be used to expand/acquire other businesses] & not for the sake of a bonus!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#146 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 7:07:52 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:
The only reason for a bonus is in lieu of a dividend [so the cash can be used to expand/acquire other businesses] & not for the sake of a bonus!


Yeah, it would seem odd to be dishing out FAT dividends then going for a bonus.
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
stocksmaster
#147 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 11:17:28 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/26/2006
Posts: 440
Location: CENTRAL PROVINCE
@ Young will like this: Kenolkobil Board has adopted a dividend policy of 40-45% dividend payment of Net Profits.

Happy hunting.
VituVingiSana
#148 Posted : Saturday, July 30, 2011 11:32:04 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,224
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
VVS, Lai indicated that they will not be revaluing the properties. Do they ever plan on revaluing in the near future?
I doubt unless it is done for a sale. Of course, a redevelopment might require a revaluation but IFRS requires the lower of historic cost or current 'value'.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
Aguytrying
#149 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 7:58:47 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/11/2010
Posts: 5,040
VituVingiSana wrote:
[quote=Aguytrying]@vvs. You are the guy who saw it from the start. Where do you see kk after dividend excitement dies down, after book closure.

1) I buy long-term so short term variations do not bother me. If KK was 'delisted' I would remain a shareholder coz IMHO it will be making an EPS of 3/- in FY 2013.

2) Will it drop after it is ex-div (Yes, by 50 cents) but I cannot predict short-term movements.

3) It is election time so prices may/will weaken as we get into 2012.


YOU are a true value investor, like warren buffet, and for that i salute you. Thanks for the wisdom.
The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself
Gordon Gekko
#150 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 10:54:38 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
I dumped everything this week to avoid the 5% withholding tax. I will buy back ex div. I've parked the cash in CFC money market at 6.2%
young
#151 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 11:35:08 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,048
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Gordon Gekko wrote:
I dumped everything this week to avoid the 5% withholding tax. I will buy back ex div. I've parked the cash in CFC money market at 6.2%




I hope you know when you dumped KK you paid 2.1% "tax" ,when you subcribed to CFC money market, you paid some "tax" and when you will buy back KK in future date you will still pay 2.1 % "tax" .
Invarariably the tax you are avoiding you are still paying them.

Regards
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
young
#152 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 11:50:27 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,048
Location: Lagos, Nigeria

In addition it is cheaper to pay tax on interest (dividends) than on the capital.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
VituVingiSana
#153 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 11:56:52 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,224
Location: Nairobi
young wrote:
Gordon Gekko wrote:
I dumped everything this week to avoid the 5% withholding tax. I will buy back ex div. I've parked the cash in CFC money market at 6.2%


I hope you know when you dumped KK you paid 2.1% "tax" ,when you subcribed to CFC money market, you paid some "tax" and when you will buy back KK in future date you will still pay 2.1 % "tax" .
Invarariably the tax you are avoiding you are still paying them.

Regards
Well said. As Warren Buffett said... Most of USA's dividends are eaten up by financial services!

Basically, @young is right. All this 'trading' makes brokers, CMA fat cats, banks rich. He likes dividends. At the end it is ALL about the dividends. No company can grow forever. Look at Microsoft.

Warren Buffett does not pay dividends as long as he can grow the firm's profits (ROE) higher than average. He has said when he can't grow it, he will pay it out as dividends.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#154 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 12:00:53 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
This will be the fastest dividend i have ever collected. XD August and by September i'm paid in full!!


Yep. HFCK is making people wait till 30th November!
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
youcan'tstopusnow
#155 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 12:06:29 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
If GG feels the stock price will fall significantly more than the 5% yield, he is entitled to sell. He might make his broker rich, but will make himself richer (if indeed his move does pan out) by getting more shares than he initially had. Fair enough
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
VituVingiSana
#156 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 12:18:54 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,224
Location: Nairobi
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
If GG feels the stock price will fall significantly more than the 5% yield, he is entitled to sell. He might make his broker rich, but will make himself richer (if indeed his move does pan out) by getting more shares than he initially had. Fair enough
Oh, yes... It is his decision. Good luck to him. My point is that I am not a trader coz I do not think I can make more money than my broker when I 'trade'.

For an excellent look at trading see @stocksmaster who has sorta morphed from 'trading' to 'buy & hold' in 2011.

P.S. @SM is a long-term sort of chap but had a great year trading in 2010. The experiment worked for 1 year. Now it seems he is 'holding' but I may be mistaken.
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
youcan'tstopusnow
#157 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 12:31:29 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
VituVingiSana wrote:
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
If GG feels the stock price will fall significantly more than the 5% yield, he is entitled to sell. He might make his broker rich, but will make himself richer (if indeed his move does pan out) by getting more shares than he initially had. Fair enough
Oh, yes... It is his decision. Good luck to him. My point is that I am not a trader coz I do not think I can make more money than my broker when I 'trade'.

For an excellent look at trading see @stocksmaster who has sorta morphed from 'trading' to 'buy & hold' in 2011.

P.S. @SM is a long-term sort of chap but had a great year trading in 2010. The experiment worked for 1 year. Now it seems he is 'holding' but I may be mistaken.


Yeah. His move to wait for the DTB dividends was surprising. Probably holding KK as there are NO better opportunities to buy if he sells.
STILL BEATING THE MARKET THOUGHDancing
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
young
#158 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 12:55:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,048
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
stocksmaster wrote:
@ Young will like this: Kenolkobil Board has adopted a dividend policy of 40-45% dividend payment of Net Profits.

Happy hunting.



SM,

Thanks for sharing this info.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
Gordon Gekko
#159 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 1:19:57 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 5/27/2008
Posts: 3,760
youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
If GG feels the stock price will fall significantly more than the 5% yield, he is entitled to sell. He might make his broker rich, but will make himself richer (if indeed his move does pan out) by getting more shares than he initially had. Fair enough


I'm banking on a greater than 5% fall on account of ex div and the election uncertainty.

@young, there is no entry or exit fee for CFC MM, its all factored in the net 6.2% interest, which is variable and indications are that it is rising.

BTW, I also offloaded my KCB, I'm looking for a sub 22 rentry, which I suspect should be in two or three months. This was more of an emotional decision (bad) as I was quite disappointed by the H1 numbers.
young
#160 Posted : Sunday, July 31, 2011 1:41:26 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/20/2007
Posts: 2,048
Location: Lagos, Nigeria
Dear @GG our inputs are mere suggestions which may not be of much use to you but to others since you have already taken a decision

I also believe the net 6.2% is per annum, that translates to 0.52% increase in your capital per month. In essence you can only realise the 6.2% increase in a years time, but if you exit before then to re-position in NSE ...........

I believe in a years time KK will yield not less than 10% horizontal growth in the form of interest (dividend) and not less than 5% vertical growth in form of capital appreciation for those that bought it sub 11 bob.

Combining the two growths, one should make at least 15% capital growth.

This is irrespective of market ups and downs that is expected during this period in question.
The wazua spirit as members is to educate and inform and learn from others within the limit of what we know in any chosen area irrespective of our differences in tribes, nationalities, etc. .
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