it's unfortunate what has transpired to the AF 447..there is a lot of speculation as to what happened to the aircraft but a series of unfortunate events led to all this.
First and foremost yesterday was the beginning of the Hurricane season in the region...we have what we call the ITCZ ( Inter Tropical Convergence Zone) and the winds are pushing from the South..and this creates very strong winds,rain and lightening...ofcourse aircrafts are made to withstand lightening bolts event upto 300,000 amps and since the main fuselage is actually made of aluminium.
The pilots are actually able to navigate round this pockets of thunderstorm areas and since most of them fly at a very high altitude making it easier to avoid most of this thunderous areas...
This seems it was very unlikely/unfortunate scenario where lightening struck the aircraft either in the nose..(this has a radar that detects weather upto 100miles ahead) the vertical stabilizer,or even the horizantal...one..there could be a myriad of factors..only time will tell.
it's very likely we may never know what happened as the reason for the palne 'dissapearing' is coz the black boz is not emiting any signal as it is supposed to and most likely it's at the bottom of the ocean. As we call it in Aviaiton 'weather' is a catastrophic element in flying.
@obi
Njunge is right about the satellites..since Columbia and 9/11..all MFO'S are tracked and monitored by various satellites round the world...including that balloon safari trip in the mara.
Heart is what separates the good from the great - Micheal Jordan.
The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence; it is to act with yesterday's logic.