That is to say, how to know that the bear is about to go into hibernation after having its fill.

1. When all the media both print and TV don't bother reporting anything on the business news.

2. When media & wanjiku concentrate on the bearish bluechips especially KQ, Safcom, Equity and EABL.

3. When politics hits fever pitch.

Then and only then, start getting in slowly... And watch the volume spikes start to build up as the smart money buys the fear and blood on the streets...

However, if we get another GFC and the whole world feels like it is ending, wait for the Fed banks signal to re-inflate aka print the dollars like a wild hog. This should work out like March 2009...

@Hisah, maybe a could add some............
4) When the market is forced to open late or
close early because of a "technical error in
the ATS"
- This happened in Jan 2009!
5) When brokers take it upon themselves to call
their clients/emailing them buy proposals of
some specific stocks and urging them to take
the plunge citing IT'S TIME TO BUY!
6) When a day passes and not a single thread or
post has been made here in Wazua!
7) When u visit the brokers office and you are
the only client.
- I saw this in Oct 2008 and Mar 2009 when the
index sank to 3,300 and 2,300 respectively!

@hisah. So true. When the media reports things like, 'stocks as no longer good investment' 'n.s.e no longer profitable'