karanjakinuthia wrote:@Scubidu: The questions we should all be asking ourselves is:
1. What is the international perception of a currency?
2. Is the currency movement a structural shift or speculation?
@Hisah. Let us try and answer the first question with a quote from Martin Armstrong:
"
The Seven Year Drought CycleThe agriculturals are all poised to generally double in price during this cycle. They will put tremendous pressure on Africa and the Middle East by famine and this will fuel further political unrest. So new highs are on the horizon for wheat, corn, oats, and soybean complex just to mention a few." Borrowing from the Rich to Keep Socialism Going pg 8
The Seven Year Drought Cycle he's referring to began in 2007 and will end in 2014. The latter date is important for it lines up with the 25.049 Cycle of War and Political Change:
1913: Advent of WWI
1938: Advent of WWII
1964: Advent of the Vietnam War
1989: Tiananmen Square, Fall of Berlin Wall
2014: ???
Markets, being collective and dynamic entities, are never wrong. The forex markets are possibly factoring in growing political unrest in East Africa due to rising food prices and famine.