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and the inflation rate for june is....
tonicasert
#11 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2011 2:32:15 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 3/10/2008
Posts: 301
Location: Abu Dhabi
The window at a punitive rate is the way to go, sadly its coming after CBK has been used left right n centre for arbitrage profit (FX & MM).

Inflation costs are cost driven and may be temporary. The govt should just act to check on the food shortage, and maintain low taxes on oil till prices ease off. US is determined to see oil trading around the $80/bbl level, and another 10% or so may be in the offing from the current prices.

My 2cts
Mainat
#12 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2011 2:47:34 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 11/21/2006
Posts: 1,590
The closing of the overnight window is a reaction to the fx issues of recent days. I think CBK has reaction is ott and this will actually lead to more banks trying their had at speculation. While tis good to get more Kenyan banks involved in providing fx, the reason the 4 banks were invited in the 1st place is because they are also leaders in the market reflecting the fact that clientele require fx. With all due respect to Equity, this is not an area it has comparative advantage in. The 2nd reason i think its an overreaction is that, speculation is not the only cause of the current Ksh weakness. Oil prices have been high, we’ve been importing maize. More broadly, we have a structural issue because we now importing even more than before i.e. BoP problem.
Inflation is rising because of a lack of economic policy co-ordination. Thanks Uhuru
Sehemu ndio nyumba
hisah
#13 Posted : Wednesday, June 29, 2011 6:58:09 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
http://www.reuters.com/a...s-idUSLDE75S0QW20110629

And I hope CBK keeps up with the surprises to remind everyone who the boss is... @Kizee1 - this is what I wanted. Unconventional methods that squeezes out the short sellers. The element of surprise smile

@Mainat - It is a reaction, but at the moment this is the best choice. The only thing now is how to maintain the Ksh from sliding in a disorderly fashion with Treasury sleeping on their job...

And this inflation bull has to be de-horned... At 20% even the gubberment won't be able to sleep... Food riots cannot be tear-gassed...?!
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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