@Scubidu: The questions we should all be asking ourselves is:
1. What is the international perception of a currency?
2. Is the currency movement a structural shift or speculation?
For the first answer, the Australian and Canadian Dollars, Swiss Franc are presently considered as safe haven, therefore an increase in interest rates attracts capital. The opposite applies to the Euro whereby an increase in interest rates is bearish for it adds on to interest payments.
The second answer builds on the first, a structural shift is taking place with the rise of Asia, the fall of Western civilization due to debt and taxes, and concentration of capital in commodities. The Aussie ticks all three boxes, the Cando two boxes and the Swissie one box. Money supply will rise in all three nations as capital flows in, higher interest rates to dampen demand will have the opposite effect of drawing even more capital.
@Drake: This is an ascending triangle whereby there's an attempt to breach a resistance level multiple times. There's a swift break-out, fall back and run away:
http://stockcharts.com/s...ns:ascending_triangle_c