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Investors Lounge
hisah
#921 Posted : Friday, June 17, 2011 7:18:52 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hmmm... Quite interesting when you search for the Allied Irish bank default on google. Zero results from the lame stream media site, but a lot from conspiracy sites... Someone trying to discredit the truth...
A nationalized bank in default?! No wonder Greece CDS levels warrant a Guiness book of records entry...
Next Irish & Portuguese CDS levels to follow...

Google search magic, shame on you Sad

Thanks to RSS feeds that save urls. BBC forgot to expire their link.

Oops - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-13752758
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#922 Posted : Sunday, June 19, 2011 12:21:21 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The 'interesting' US bond story. Bill Gross will make loads of cash if his bet is fulfilled...

http://in.reuters.com/ar...f-idINL3E7FO00K20110424 - Japanese pension fund to exit japanese gubberment bonds. Dont forget Tepco's bond share with a default/bailout soon.

http://news.xinhuanet.co...11-04/23/c_13842843.htm - China US bonds reduction

http://online.wsj.com/ar...l#articleTabs%3Darticle - Russia jumping out of US bonds to Canada & Australia bonds...


http://news.xinhuanet.co...11-06/18/c_13936329.htm - Watching this Sinobo group saga and the coming real estate fallout at the Ching land... http://news.xinhuanet.co...11-06/19/c_13937617.htm
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#923 Posted : Sunday, June 19, 2011 1:14:22 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Hmmm... Are the americans finally waking up. Ron Paul has long been dismissed, but this poll is a significant political signal... Fed banks and other banksters wont like this since Ron has been a constant thorn in their fraudelent ponzinomics...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/..._nm/us_usa_campaign_poll
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#924 Posted : Monday, June 20, 2011 8:39:59 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
My fascination with the Ching land story continues. The SHIBOR (shanghai interbank rate) has doubled in a week! Next will be the EURIBOR and the LIBOR. Stay tuned.

The image is not nice to see, so I'll post it as a link...

http://www.zerohedge.com...i/1%20Week%20Shibor.jpg


Update --> Credit cards... Caution...?
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#925 Posted : Tuesday, June 21, 2011 8:02:29 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
https://twitter.com/#!/zerohedge/status/83135189332656128

Hmmm... Even Zerohedge is now onto the KES... Global spotlight...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
karanjakinuthia
#926 Posted : Wednesday, June 22, 2011 7:59:48 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
Do you think the Euro will survive the Debt Crisis in Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy?

http://poll.fm/f/1vyr2

youcan'tstopusnow
#927 Posted : Wednesday, June 22, 2011 8:24:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
karanjakinuthia, welcome back
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
erifloss
#928 Posted : Wednesday, June 22, 2011 8:25:25 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
karanjakinuthia wrote:
Do you think the Euro will survive the Debt Crisis in Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy?

http://poll.fm/f/1vyr2


I do think that the Euro will survive as this is the first crisis for this 11 yr old currency coz any strong currency apart from the yuan has gone through a crisis of sorts. Though i also think that Greece will default as the Euro zone is just postponing a problem coz the 12 billion euros is basically for repaying loans & is not in any way going to be injected in the Greece economy directly. What will happen on the next repayment? Will they still go for more austerity measures & sell most of their national institutions & reduce further peoples pay from the current reduction of 20%? At least 2 countries are about to go broke & it might be just a matter of when.
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
hisah
#929 Posted : Wednesday, June 22, 2011 4:45:03 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
@KK - Are you aware Kitco was raided on June 8th by the Cando authorities and this is was not on any of the lame stream media outlets?! This is very serious for those traders that rely on the paper trades without physical delivery...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TonfrYh8KM
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#930 Posted : Thursday, June 23, 2011 5:09:33 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Still on the Ching land SHIBOR spike. Today PBoC cancels omo due to liquidity freeze...

http://www.zerohedge.com.../1%20Week%20Shibor_0.jpg
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#931 Posted : Thursday, June 23, 2011 3:04:51 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
The euro almost outdoing the dollar as gold tramples both and other fiat currencies...

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#932 Posted : Thursday, June 23, 2011 4:19:16 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Meanwhile SHIBOR still continues to tear the ceiling, almost about to breach the Oct 2007 high of 10% when the global markets topped and crashed in 2008... This 10% roof will definitely be surpassed in a few days time... I wonder what magic the Ching masters will pull out of the rabbit hat...

http://www.zerohedge.com...1%20Week%20Shibor_1.jpg

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#933 Posted : Thursday, June 23, 2011 6:48:02 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
And as usual Nigel Farage talks in his best way...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YTBbcaNLccM
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
jmbada
#934 Posted : Thursday, June 23, 2011 11:46:07 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/1/2011
Posts: 396
What is this...the "Vulture Zone?" It should be obvious to any regular market watcher that China has been in bubble territory for a while and that the US cannot print their way out of a recession. However, the 100Million Shilling question is when will the true reversal in equities occur? The Fed can maintain a version of QE2 for another 2yrs at the minimum & the debt ceiling is going to be raised hence there will always be pressure on asset rich investors to seek at least some yield, wherever it can be found. Germany/France/Italy will ultimately have to bail out the Greeks, Portuguese and Irish (remember Aesop's fable on the Ant and the Grasshopper?). Oh, and China will NEVER allow a true market meltdown...not when their aiming to become a world reserve currency and have at least a $2Trillion Chequebook in foreign assets!


Methinks you're all calling the onset of Financial Armageddon too soon.

To quote one of our erstwhile Kenyan musicians"Slowww down, Teacher. You have come too fast!"
karanjakinuthia
#935 Posted : Saturday, June 25, 2011 10:36:43 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
The Central Bank of Kenya has finally caved in to political pressure by towing the line of government agencies who do not understand market dynamics by blaming speculators.

This comes in the wake of the Open Market operations to turn the tide on the sliding Kenyan shilling. Unfortunately, an Open Mouth operation has temporary success. No single entity is able to reverse a secular bull or bear market.

Once the line in the sand of 82 KES/USD was crossed, the next designation was 98 KES/USD.

Please see below:

http://www.facebook.com/....44489575924&type=1

karanjakinuthia
#936 Posted : Saturday, June 25, 2011 10:52:28 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@youcan'tstopnow: I never left you. I write less because I watch and listen more.

@erifloss: The medicine for Greece is bitter. Default or civil unrest. Austerity and bailouts ad infinitum will only exacerbate the problem. The Euro will crack because it lacks a mechanism for individual state default/devaluation whilst debt is national.

A common bloc currency should also have common debt. Individual state debt should thus have individual currencies tethered to a unified bloc currency.

@hisah: I'm not aware.



Scubidu
#937 Posted : Saturday, June 25, 2011 11:00:12 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 9/4/2009
Posts: 700
Location: Nairobi
@kk. Seems and sounds too fatalistic. If there was more severe tightening, you believe this would have happened anyway? I had a debate on whether this was simply a correction on the previous KES mispricing, but these price controls in the money mart have created the problem. CBK is complicit as evident by the use of the window; they just thought the market was rational.
“We are the middle children of history man, no purpose or place. We have no great war, no great depression. Our great war is a spiritual war, our great depression is our lives!" – Tyler Durden
drake
#938 Posted : Saturday, June 25, 2011 1:47:18 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/8/2009
Posts: 170

@kk rising wedge = a tad bearish...

@Scubidu, welcome back...
karanjakinuthia
#939 Posted : Sunday, June 26, 2011 9:51:57 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 11/13/2006
Posts: 551
Location: Nairobi
@Scubidu: The questions we should all be asking ourselves is:

1. What is the international perception of a currency?

2. Is the currency movement a structural shift or speculation?

For the first answer, the Australian and Canadian Dollars, Swiss Franc are presently considered as safe haven, therefore an increase in interest rates attracts capital. The opposite applies to the Euro whereby an increase in interest rates is bearish for it adds on to interest payments.

The second answer builds on the first, a structural shift is taking place with the rise of Asia, the fall of Western civilization due to debt and taxes, and concentration of capital in commodities. The Aussie ticks all three boxes, the Cando two boxes and the Swissie one box. Money supply will rise in all three nations as capital flows in, higher interest rates to dampen demand will have the opposite effect of drawing even more capital.


@Drake: This is an ascending triangle whereby there's an attempt to breach a resistance level multiple times. There's a swift break-out, fall back and run away:

http://stockcharts.com/s...ns:ascending_triangle_c

Ceinz
#940 Posted : Monday, June 27, 2011 5:42:59 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 5/7/2009
Posts: 1,032
Location: Sea of Transquility
karanjakinuthia wrote:
@Scubidu: the Australian and Canadian Dollars, Swiss Franc are presently considered as safe haven, therefore an increase in interest rates attracts capital. The opposite applies to the Euro whereby an increase in interest rates is bearish for it adds on to interest payments.


No. Apana. Safe havens, are actually the opposite of high yielding currencies. They are those favoured by investors during times of crisis, either because of the country’s stability or the ability to easily liquidate out of positions. Typically, the countries with the lowest rates are considered safe havens. These economies will generally have a secure government and a long track record of stability, but they are not necessarily the best performers or the healthiest economies. As the global economy seemed to be crumbling down and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis encouraged people to bail out of all things Europe, investors felt they needed to put their money somewhere safe. They found refuge in the US dollar, Japanese yen and Swiss franc.

In times of crises currencies with high interest rates (high yielding) like the AUD, CAD n.k. are dropped in favour of the safe havens (flight to safety).

“small step for man”
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