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Foreign Investors Trooping Back to the NSE
ecstacy
#1 Posted : Tuesday, August 04, 2009 5:11:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
In the reverse of the panic sell-ff that hit Africa's stock markets last year,this year Africa has attracted almost $1 Billion of net fund inflows. 'If the current trends hold,the $1 Billion mark should be crossed this week' Cameron Brandt,Washington-based EP-FR's global markets analyst said. The flows are further evidence of the return among some global investors of an appetite for the higher risks and higher yields of developing markets like the NSE after after a flight to safety in cash and govt debt towards the end 0f 2008.

African countries are expected to post some of the strongest growth in the world this year e.g. our neighbour Uganda is expected to grow at more than 6%.

Foreign investors accounted for 50.4% of the Nairobi Stock Exchanges total turnover in the first half of this year even as the global financial crisis ravaged world economies. This is strengthening over time as the worst of the downturn or recession is behind us.

As the NSE market environment experiences tougher regulation I think it is time any local investor who was thinking of investing or divesting in equities takes a good look at the incoming half-year results and makes decisive picks/sells ahead of anticipated recovery in select sectors of the Kenyan economy to be in an advantageous position going forward following improved and ever increasing foreign net inflows.

My 2 Cents.

What are you investing in this mid-year?
Viny
#2 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2009 8:55:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/28/2008
Posts: 11
Well definately its a good sign & we need foreign investors to boost the nse index but one thing is that the FII will only pour in thier money on bright stocks which are going at nse this days at a discount valuation,In the last six months they have been buying & the trend will continue too .

Instead of selling now the better part starts now to hold ur investment to see some nice capital gains in a year or two .

Thanx for the insight


Vinny
VituVingiSana
#3 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2009 8:58:00 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,103
Location: Nairobi
Welcome but peanuts... Kenya's energy sector could use up all of the $1bn in 5 years... If you add the other countries' energy needs... what do you have?

Greedy when others are fearful,Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase WB
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
ecstacy
#4 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2009 3:50:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
cause and effect. millions of dollars chasing select counters is quite significant...I'd look at the possible effect it has on the share price of a select counter I have chosen to invest in...
solloh
#5 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2009 5:12:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/21/2007
Posts: 20
My take is that most probably 70% of that money is going into the JSE in SA and around 25% into Nigeria,Morocco and Egypt.
If foreigners were significant in the nse,we would be doing turnovers of 2 billion shillings a day . Market activity has all but collapsed and thats because local fund managers are in bonds. Dont read too much into the 50% foreign participation.

money by the day
itz
#6 Posted : Wednesday, August 05, 2009 6:36:00 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 3/20/2009
Posts: 348
i agree with you solloh.most of that money doesnt come to kenya.it goes mostly to south africa.we have a turnover of between 1M-4M dollars daily on average.some days the zimbabwe stock exchange has a higher turnover.the goverment needs to do more to restore investor confidence.alot of retail investors were lost after the bungled ipo of safaricom.
ecstacy
#7 Posted : Thursday, August 06, 2009 7:27:00 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
As we theorise,look at the rise if the SCOM share from the March '09 lows and you'll realise the significance.
novestor
#8 Posted : Thursday, August 06, 2009 7:43:00 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 9/4/2008
Posts: 48
One thing often overlooked is that the Global Financial Crisis (GFC),was just that. The rally in the NSE from 2003 to 2007 was driven by foreign investors,pure and simple. When they withdrew in six months,the NSE fell to almost a third its capitalization.

The bottom of the housing crisis that triggered this GFC has officially been declared. So what next...the foreigners will invest where investments were working,for the same reason they ventured into these markets...like NSE

But most significantly....who makes the most money out of the best investment opportunities...the poor man or the rich....

Learn something new everyday
Learn Something New Every Day!
ecstacy
#9 Posted : Thursday, August 06, 2009 5:39:00 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
For the general African picture with mention to the NSE,you can read the Reuters article here: http://af.reuters.com/ar...p;virtualBrandChannel=0
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