invest0r wrote:
@guru267, the agreeable documents we should use, in this case, are the audited financial reports that we all have. They are also available in NSE and Jubilee websites
In your closing remarks, pls present the following:
1. Your accounting calculations showing underwriting performance of Jubilee. (like i did in the concluding remarks - post 117)
2. A comparative analysis of the underwriting performance in insurance industry.
Always thankful
@investor I do my research independently and come up with my own results which I share with wazuans and provide the source of my information... Thats as much as I can do because you can access the same information and deduce your own results..
One of the reasons I believe jub inflated claims was the fact that the notes show that there was no increase in any of fire, medical, life or motor claims in 2010 above 30% over 2009 except for ONE benefit paid to pension fund of 1.9billion as compared to 818million in 2009.. An increase of 158%... That is a striking abnormality and a likely measure to cater for the abnormal growth in fair value gains and revaluations...
This is an exerpt from the annual report..
Pension benefit obligation: to paid in contributions to a seperate trustee administered fund and are charged to the income statement in th year which they relate but the group has no further obligation once contribution is made...
In 2010 jub made abnormal profits and so decided to hike their pension contributions to ensure profit stability and also cushion the company against paying these contributions in recession years..
My expectations in 2011.
1. Fair value gains and revaluations will decline
2. Underwriting profits will rise
3. Investment income will shoot through the roof..
4. EPS should be at least 40bob
5. I expect 75th year celebrations to be marked with a very special dividend and bonus issue to shareholders..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16