mwanahisa wrote:@PKoli, you appear to be the most knowledgeable/active Wazuan regarding matters CIC. Could you kindly post for us the salient figures/ratios for CIC? This will enable us make an objective valuation of CIC versus the listed insurance companies.
I have in mind the NAV; EPS; Div Yield; growth rates in Net Premium income, Investment Income (if possible give a breakdown between realised gains and those attributed to gains in fair value on financial assets through P&L) and the overall growth in profitability. Kindly use the number of shares issued (post the rights issue assuming all those who asked for extra shares are alloted). This will provide a good view of the effect of the anticipated dilution.
Thanks is advance.
PKoli wrote:I think for along time CIC was used to dealing with Saccos. It was a lot easier to communicate with few sacco officials; they now have to revamp their Corporate Communications department to deal with us, ordinary shareholders.
@Mwanahisa
Here are some basic numbers, I could not excatly answer your queries since CIC have been having different issued shares from 2007.
2007 2008 2009 2010
Total shares (M) 19.44 20.689 21.399 30.571
Earnings per share 6.40 8.50 11.03 15.91
Dividend per share 1.4 1.4 1.60 3.14
Book value per share 29.43 36.62 46.27 85.35
Return on Assets 5.10 5.81 6.76 7.41
Return on Equity 21.75 23.23 23.84 18.65
Market price/share 12.50 28.00 35.00 65.00
Price/Book Value 0.42 0.76 0.76 0.76
P/E 1.95 3.29 3.17 4.08
Comparative analysis
CFC Insurance Holdings P/BV (the lowest in the insurance industry) of 1.68X, the share price should be at KES 104.00 if it were listed today.
CFC Insurance holdings has a low P/BV because of its low ROE (2010: 5.26).
The P/BVs for Jubilee and Pan Afric Insurance Holdings should give guidance with Jubilee having an ROE of 35.97% in 2010 while Pan Africa 32.16%. Jubilee is trading at 2X BV while Pan Africa is trading at 2.45X book value.
CIC Insurance had ROE of 18.65% implying its value is in between Jubilee/Pan Afric and CFC Insurance and therefore a book value of between 1.95C and 2.05X is appropriate meaning valuation could be between KES 126.00 and 133.00.
I think the price should be much higher given the recent Coop Bank interest in CIC and the growth prospect of the Cooperative movement in the country.
I am sorry the figures from word are distorted.