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Is Centum exiting Carbacid?
J.J
#21 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 10:51:34 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/17/2009
Posts: 16
the deal wrote:
But Carbacid went all the way to 320 in 2009 when they were admitted back to bourse...how come they didn't sell then? Also read somewhere they paid 150 Ksh a share...i think they're just trying to shore up this years earnings.


They paid shs 350 million for the shares which are worth more than shs 980 million now and have collected more than shs 40 million in dividends pretty good for a 2-3 years investment2009-present. however I hope they are the ones buying someone else stake coz they should have a clear understanding of where the co2 market is headed due to they large stake in coca cola business.
small leaks do sink great ships...
J.J
#22 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 11:01:37 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 10/17/2009
Posts: 16
@ erifloss
there is no difference between centum, transcentury,helios, solos fund etc they all do the same thing. provide capital, bring influence (lot of it) make money and leave-- mostly thru ipos
small leaks do sink great ships...
guru267
#23 Posted : Monday, April 25, 2011 11:06:56 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Horton wrote:

@Guru....u still a fan of JUB?? they made money solely coz of "investment income" which isnt their core business....its a part of any insurance business but by no means a measure of their CORE BUSINESS.... whaddaya think??

@horton did you see the growth in their insurance "core" business... They smashed the industry average..
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Iborian
#24 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 11:36:27 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
msimon made an observation that Jubilee did poorly on their insurance business. He cited the claims paid out figure which was higher than the net premiums. Could the wise guru give us figures as he did rather than generalizing as you have done above?

guru267 wrote:
Horton wrote:

@Guru....u still a fan of JUB?? they made money solely coz of "investment income" which isnt their core business....its a part of any insurance business but by no means a measure of their CORE BUSINESS.... whaddaya think??

@horton did you see the growth in their insurance "core" business... They smashed the industry average..

Muthawamunene
#25 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 12:35:34 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
So today, T.c meet for the annual AGM. Main agenda is to finalize requirments for listing. The company report looks a bit shakey though. i will post a complete work-down at the end of the day.
mwanahisa
#26 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 12:54:22 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@MwM, are you by any chance attending the TCL AGM? If so kindly let us in on what went down. My own view is that this is another company whose listing is going to bomb, unless it is propped up.

I do not expect guys to be taken in as they were during E.A. Cables stratospheric rise, and its even more dramatic plunge. I must admit I made one hell of a kill there, but that was then.

Muthawamunene wrote:
So today, T.c meet for the annual AGM. Main agenda is to finalize requirments for listing. The company report looks a bit shakey though. i will post a complete work-down at the end of the day.

drake
#27 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 1:39:14 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/8/2009
Posts: 170
Horton wrote:
The other bubu they luckily pulled out virtually unscathed was RVR but here luck purely worked in there favour


Can I quote you on this in ~ 5 years?
Iborian
#28 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 6:02:39 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
@g267...So what was the industry average? Some facts if you may, please.

guru267 wrote:
Horton wrote:

@Guru....u still a fan of JUB?? they made money solely coz of "investment income" which isnt their core business....its a part of any insurance business but by no means a measure of their CORE BUSINESS.... whaddaya think??

@horton did you see the growth in their insurance "core" business... They smashed the industry average..

guru267
#29 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 6:47:54 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Iborian wrote:
@g267...So what was the industry average? Some facts if you may, please.

guru267 wrote:
Horton wrote:

@Guru....u still a fan of JUB?? they made money solely coz of "investment income" which isnt their core business....its a part of any insurance business but by no means a measure of their CORE BUSINESS.... whaddaya think??

@horton did you see the growth in their insurance "core" business... They smashed the industry average..


smile got a million bucks for that info??? I dont give handouts...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Iborian
#30 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 6:50:17 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
Guru, Why just not come clean?
guru267
#31 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:09:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Iborian wrote:
@g267...So what was the industry average? Some facts if you may, please.

guru267 wrote:
Horton wrote:

@Guru....u still a fan of JUB?? they made money solely coz of "investment income" which isnt their core business....its a part of any insurance business but by no means a measure of their CORE BUSINESS.... whaddaya think??

@horton did you see the growth in their insurance "core" business... They smashed the industry average..



@iborian let me show you the difference in jubilee and other insurance companies..

Jubilee holdings owns jubilee insurance and many other subsidiaries... unlike the others who soley rely on insurance and the stock market jubilee has earnings from sources like the bujagali 250 MW power dam in which they own 10% and gets switched on may 2011...

The last time I checked I was a shareholder of jubilee holdings limited and not jubilee insurance company..
So I wont compare my results to pan africa, or cfc or cic..

I would prefer to relate jubilee's results with centum or berkshire hathaway...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Iborian
#32 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:14:15 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
Nicely put Guru, but that is a copout. You stated that Jubilee smashed the industry average in its core business. You had no facts to prove it. So now you go off on another road. I have got to give it to you.
Iborian
#33 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:20:02 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
And let me correct you. Jubilee has no earnings from Bujagali. That will only come later.
Yes they have other associate companies. The sausage makers comes to mind. BTW, Jubilee is a fine company but you are not addressing the questions.

guru267 wrote:
jubilee has earnings from sources like the bujagali 250 MW power dam in which they own 10% and gets switched on may 2011...

The last time I checked I was a shareholder of jubilee holdings limited and not jubilee insurance company..
So I wont compare my results to pan africa, or cfc or cic..

I would prefer to relate jubilee's results with centum or berkshire hathaway...

guru267
#34 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:24:23 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Iborian wrote:
Nicely put Guru, but that is a copout. You stated that Jubilee smashed the industry average in its core business. You had no facts to prove it. So now you go off on another road. I have got to give it to you.

I read the last annual report and their performance was stated by the ceo especially in their medical... I dont have the facts and figures so Forgive me for taking his word for it...
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Muthawamunene
#35 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:28:05 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
mwanahisa wrote:
@MwM, are you by any chance attending the TCL AGM? If so kindly let us in on what went down. My own view is that this is another company whose listing is going to bomb, unless it is propped up.

I do not expect guys to be taken in as they were during E.A. Cables stratospheric rise, and its even more dramatic plunge. I must admit I made one hell of a kill there, but that was then.

Muthawamunene wrote:
So today, T.c meet for the annual AGM. Main agenda is to finalize requirments for listing. The company report looks a bit shakey though. i will post a complete work-down at the end of the day.


I dnt attend, but i have a 'friend' who did. Unlike centum who are mostly in the commercial sector (i consider coca cola commercial), TCL are hard core industrialists, even the board is a bunch of engineers, and i personaly being a telcom n electronic engineer, i have a sweet spot for this one. hope they list soon. I calculated the NAV to be 19.92 bob, with further share dillution, by listing day i should have saved up some cash.
guru267
#36 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:29:03 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Iborian wrote:
And let me correct you. Jubilee has no earnings from Bujagali. That will only come later.
Yes they have other associate companies. The sausage makers comes to mind. BTW, Jubilee is a fine company but you are not addressing the questions.

guru267 wrote:
jubilee has earnings from sources like the bujagali 250 MW power dam in which they own 10% and gets switched on may 2011...

The last time I checked I was a shareholder of jubilee holdings limited and not jubilee insurance company..
So I wont compare my results to pan africa, or cfc or cic..

I would prefer to relate jubilee's results with centum or berkshire hathaway...


@iborian I did not say it is already earning from bujagali because I clearly said the dam is not even open...

I was merely stating they have low reliance on their insurance businezz
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Iborian
#37 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:29:20 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
You are forgiven. The last annual report which is on their website is the one for 2009. When the 2010 one is given out, the mystery will be solved. Can we hope?

guru267 wrote:
Iborian wrote:
Nicely put Guru, but that is a copout. You stated that Jubilee smashed the industry average in its core business. You had no facts to prove it. So now you go off on another road. I have got to give it to you.

I read the last annual report and their performance was stated by the ceo especially in their medical... I dont have the facts and figures so Forgive me for taking his word for it...

guru267
#38 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:47:44 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 1/21/2010
Posts: 6,675
Location: Nairobi
Iborian wrote:
You are forgiven. The last annual report which is on their website is the one for 2009. When the 2010 one is given out, the mystery will be solved. Can we hope?

guru267 wrote:
Iborian wrote:
Nicely put Guru, but that is a copout. You stated that Jubilee smashed the industry average in its core business. You had no facts to prove it. So now you go off on another road. I have got to give it to you.

I read the last annual report and their performance was stated by the ceo especially in their medical... I dont have the facts and figures so Forgive me for taking his word for it...


@iborian are you aware that there is a practice insurance companies like jubilee carry out in order to avoid super normal earnings..

In years when investment income is super high they inflate the claims to depress the earnings and also cushion themselves against bad years...
Perfectly legal...

I wonder if this is what they did because jubilee has always superb underwriting profits.. And no reazon why 2010 shouldve been any different...

This might be the secret to 11 years of profit growth
Mark 12:29
Deuteronomy 4:16
Iborian
#39 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 7:56:59 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 4/17/2009
Posts: 194
G. You have got a point there. Does this mean, dem auditors and KRA wanalalia maskio kwa kazi? I would of thought they can catch this. It is hard to argue with 11 years of continous add ons to the profit. But when was the last time they almost doubled profits kama 2010?
erifloss
#40 Posted : Tuesday, April 26, 2011 9:14:58 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
@Iborian, actually its completely legal if you do it smartly. Actually most tax authorities accept tax avoidance but not evasion.
Taking an example of Jubilee having branches all over they might use:
1. Expense acceleration tactics.
2. Expense delaying tactics.
3. Transfer pricing.
4. Thin capitalization.
5. Transfer of expenses using the matching principle.
6. Presentation currency as opposed to functional currencies (read exchange differences).
7. Determining whether a branch or subsidiary is in an inflationary or a hyperinflationary economy (read exchange difference)
And now that they are in Mauritius you have to keenly scrutinize their financials coz first i guess they registered as a GBL 1 company. This gives them the leeway not to fully disclose whatever operations they have and this will fully fall on the NSE on disclosure to the public. Makes it easy to transfer expenses, income, liabilities for tax purposes. In Mauritius they ask for a very simple statement of affairs(Balance sheet) & Income statement (both of which are not detailed).
That's why you'll realise most companies go for Subsidiaries rather than Branches when foraying to other markets.
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
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