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INFLATION: The biggest risk in the next few months in Kenya
Cde Monomotapa
#31 Posted : Monday, April 18, 2011 6:04:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
hisah wrote:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD3gXqIoFuk - With KPLC adjusting the fuel cost upwards, I don't see how double digit inflation rates will not be a reality for a few months...

Mosdef.
hisah
#32 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2011 11:59:34 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
This
http://www.theeastafrica.../-/6oajyvz/-/index.html

and this

http://www.nation.co.ke/...0/-/oy04gb/-/index.html

and the rush for IPOs and senseless splits and secondary offers tells me it's time for pump and dump. There will be time to pick cheaper bargains than the current prices in coming months... Stay tuned.


Back in April 2011. At times reading old posts even shocks the writer...
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
hisah
#33 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2011 12:01:45 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
hisah wrote:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD3gXqIoFuk - With KPLC adjusting the fuel cost upwards, I don't see how double digit inflation rates will not be a reality for a few months...

Mosdef.


Just had a look at the Sept 2011 KNBS bulletin and with inflation posting 17%+ those gok T-Bills won't be able to suppress an interest run to and past 20%... Sigh for the economy...

Month Overall rate of Inflation
Sep-2010 3.21
Oct-2010 3.18
Nov-2010 3.84
Dec-2010 4.51
Jan-2011 5.42
Feb-2011 6.54
Mar-2011 9.19
Apr-2011 12.05
May-2011 12.95
Jun-2011 14.49
Jul-2011 15.53
Aug-2011 16.67
Sep-2011 17.32

$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
TPK
#34 Posted : Friday, September 30, 2011 12:13:47 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/17/2011
Posts: 129
Location: Nairobi
hisah wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
hisah wrote:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD3gXqIoFuk - With KPLC adjusting the fuel cost upwards, I don't see how double digit inflation rates will not be a reality for a few months...

Mosdef.


Just had a look at the Sept 2011 KNBS bulletin and with inflation posting 17%+ those gok T-Bills won't be able to suppress an interest run to and past 20%... Sigh for the economy...

Month Overall CPI Overall rate of Inflation
Sep-2010 3.21
Oct-2010 3.18
Nov-2010 3.84
Dec-2010 4.51
Jan-2011 5.42
Feb-2011 6.54
Mar-2011 9.19
Apr-2011 12.05
May-2011 12.95
Jun-2011 14.49
Jul-2011 15.53
Aug-2011 16.67
Sep-2011 17.32



We are heading to the 20s, so the worst is yet to come. Borrowers have started defaulting and clients are not paying. Its now about survival....
As long as you're going to be thinking anyway, think big
hisah
#35 Posted : Tuesday, October 04, 2011 8:06:22 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 8/4/2010
Posts: 8,977
hisah wrote:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD3gXqIoFuk - With KPLC adjusting the fuel cost upwards, I don't see how double digit inflation rates will not be a reality for a few months...

Back in April 2011.
$15/barrel oil... The commodities lehman moment arrives as well as Sovereign debt volcano!
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