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mlennyma
#141 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 9:26:07 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,183
Location: nairobi
Yesterdays observation
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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seketes
#142 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 9:30:17 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/17/2010
Posts: 35
Location: nairobi
am offering 1700 shares @60 who wants to accept this
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the deal
#143 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 9:32:44 AM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
seketes wrote:
am offering 1700 shares @60 who wants to accept this

Hehehe no fundamentals to justify that price...@proverb know the fundamentals trade the technicals.
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Mali
#144 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 10:13:57 AM
Rank: Member


Joined: 7/3/2008
Posts: 238
@47 I will be one happy hunter!
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jkmaich
#145 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 10:17:55 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 4/5/2011
Posts: 14
i hope the ka rally reaches 45 i will be gone for good does not matter if it will go to 100 getting my money back is all i want Pray Pray Pray Pray Pray
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seketes
#146 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 10:32:01 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 9/17/2010
Posts: 35
Location: nairobi
i will trade it @60 before end month qoute me
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fresher2010
#147 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 10:38:11 AM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 10/26/2010
Posts: 34
Location: Nairobi
jkmaich wrote:
i hope the ka rally reaches 45 i will be gone for good does not matter if it will go to 100 getting my money back is all i want Pray Pray Pray Pray Pray

I totally Feel you, i wanted to dive in some more when it was @ 32, but i shall be comfortable with 42...clearly KQ is not for the faint at heart! that was one hell of a roller-coaster ride!
Jamaa wa mjengo
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QW25071985
#148 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 10:52:56 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
Kq just decided to order 7 more planes from boeing. Hence the rally.google to get the details
But with the current bear market this rally is goin nowhere.
And please try to contain ur emotions fellow kq stock holders. Lol.
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Cde Monomotapa
#149 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 11:08:05 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
When did it get to 38? Hahaha. Mjienjoy. I see Qw has since droppd his bear politics...
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youcan'tstopusnow
#150 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 11:11:56 AM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
QW25071985 wrote:
Kq just decided to order 7 more planes from boeing. Hence the rally.google to get the details

Manze QW uko nyuma kama magoti ya kukuLaughing out loudly This is old news. Jana ulikuwa wapismile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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mwanahisa
#151 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 1:21:24 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
I think that the fuel hedges are a more relevant and immediate piece of information rather than the Dreamliners. I am still awaiting some kind soul to avail the research report from Sterling.

mwanahisa wrote:
Does anyone have the actual research report issued by Sterling. If so kindly post in some file sharing site. As many of you know, I have a significant (to me) amount held in KQ and it happens to be the one stock on which I am underwater.

the deal wrote:
@Hisah very true but KQ hedges are at US$90 per Barrel

Here is an abstract from my blog post

Good news for KQ shareholders at least one of the pieces in the puzzle is out of the way. With them hedging at US$ 90/barrel that was a good move and it gives little hope that the end year financial statements might be better but note that the Cash Flow Hedges were -1.286B Ksh during the first half of the financial year when oil was trading below $90/barrel . The other pieces of the puzzle remain

1. We need more information on the capital raising exercise
2. More convicing passenger numbers

I expect the share price to remain depressed as the investors try to factor in the two issues



Entire article here feel free to comment http://contrarianinvesti...at-us90-per-barrel.html





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ProverB
#152 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 1:30:34 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
..and as those scared of missing out rush in.. wise to consider..

http://www.wazua.co.ke/f...sts&t=6456&p=80
hisah wrote:
http://www.liveoilprices.co.uk/oil/oil_prices/04/2011/brent-oil-trading-at-121-irans-president-forecasts-150-soon.html

On Friday 15th going by the volatile trend of oil prices, ERC will most likely increase pump prices by 7 - 9% as per the international price volatility. So I expect to see the prices below.

Low estimate...
Super - 102.5 + 7% = 109.60
Diesel - 94.5 + 7% = 101.10

High estimate...
Super - 102.5 + 9% = 111.70
Diesel - 94.5 + 9% = 103.00

I'm not going to bother with jet fuel and kerosene since the same estimates are applicable...

KQ fuel costs will eat into profitability... The share price will remain depressed...
Industrials will continue experiencing high power costs. This is not helped by the fact that Aggreko has another two month contract extension - http://www.foxbusiness.c...tract-months-newspaper/

And finally, the CPI or inflation index will spike to the double digits.

Unless the smart guys can come up with a way to overhaul the oil dependency curse immediately, I don't see how oil won't break beyond $150, MENA crisis or not...
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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mwanahisa
#153 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 1:46:47 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
@ProverB, that's precisely the reason why I am reckoning that the KQ's fuel hedges will determine its short term outlook. If indeed KQ has hedged 50% of their requirements at $90, that can only be positive for now. I would however want some MORE CREDIBLE confirmation of this(other than BD)before I make too much of it.

Profit takers will certainly bring back today's initial rally back to earth, but it appears that a price floor was established at the Kshs 32 level. With the recent positive stories on the counter, I expect it to settle at a higher level of say 34-35.

This price level is likely to spike up shortly before results are released in late May/ early June in the runup to results. I of course assume that the current mood (non-bearish/non bullish) continues.
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ProverB
#154 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 2:00:02 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/12/2010
Posts: 1,199
Location: Eastlander
mwanahisa wrote:
This price level is likely to spike up shortly before results are released in late May/ early June in the runup to results. I of course assume that the current mood (non-bearish/non bullish) continues.

Agreed. Results usually week one of june.
..Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works, and glorify your Father which is in heaven...Matt5:16
- 1769 Oxford King James Bible 'Authorized Version
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Govmusili
#155 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 2:21:47 PM
Rank: New-farer


Joined: 1/13/2010
Posts: 85
Location: Nairobi
jkmaich wrote:
i hope the ka rally reaches 45 i will be gone for good does not matter if it will go to 100 getting my money back is all i want Pray Pray Pray Pray Pray


lol a very hopefull investa, endelea kukaza tu.
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mwanahisa
#156 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 5:04:21 PM
Rank: Elder


Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
Note to self. Increase my shareholding (*2) here during the next bear phase, should the counter fall back to the 32 - 33 level. Offload shortly before results announcement or with next level of excitement.
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Muthawamunene
#157 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:50:40 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
When did it get to 38? Hahaha. Mjienjoy. I see Qw has since droppd his bear politics...


Tulikua tumekaza belts for long mjamaa. But am neither sad or happy with the upturn. But up or down would provide equal opportunity so I remain indifferent.
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Cde Monomotapa
#158 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 6:55:10 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@MwM..I see U man. Sikujua KQ iko na ma-fwans hivi..
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Muthawamunene
#159 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 8:55:48 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 1/3/2011
Posts: 264
Location: Nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@MwM..I see U man. Sikujua KQ iko na ma-fwans hivi..

Truth be told, kq is like a shiny red new sports car, cool and great when you get it, then you realise its not so practical, so you just lock it up in the garage since you cant get rid of it without shooting urself in the foot why you got it in the first place. But one bright sunday, you take it out, and brag the hell outta it, if you find an unlucky admirer, dump it on them fast or else its back to the garage.
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QW25071985
#160 Posted : Friday, April 15, 2011 9:34:13 PM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 3/25/2011
Posts: 946
and our beloeved KQ ambassador @ VVS has been very quite on KQ of late.....pia yeye inaonekana anungua pia ...hehe.
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