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KCB @ 90 bob by end year!?!
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Genghis Khan
#41 Posted : Tuesday, March 29, 2011 3:44:13 PM
Rank: Member


Joined: 8/5/2010
Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Genghis Khan wrote:
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
1B To 10,000 who mostly don't knw what they r doing is riskier than 1B to one who knows what s/he is doing. My 2 cents as well...


One who can borrow 1B and knows what s/he is doing might do YOU...d'oh!

Just buy into the bank already. Unlike the 10K guys, most of the 1B businesses & or people have reputations to keep.


I am buying KCBsmile

I have updated post #39 for your further benefit, education & enjoymentsmile
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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Cde Monomotapa
#42 Posted : Tuesday, March 29, 2011 8:04:35 PM
Rank: Chief


Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
@GK I'll take a guess u r relying on mis-fortunes out of Triton...well, that is a case that went wrong but those r such big ticket deals KCB deals with every other day most of which go well so they go un-reported in the media thus, risk is relative i.e on a %age of net business(loan book) just go through annual reports and u will find that KCB is probably among the principal banks. I bet u ur favorite stock banks with KCB - So...do u expect ur favorite stock to have a reputation of a good or bad credit rating?
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Gadaffi
#43 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 8:12:35 AM
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Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
hehehehe and the share cant get passed 23 bob.

i cant agree more, this share will not go past 25 bob on its best day in the foreseeable future. 90 bob is jus a dream from a dissolutioned analyst/investor due to the bear mkt
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Kirika
#44 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 8:48:10 AM
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Joined: 1/26/2011
Posts: 211
Location: Nairobi
I frankly dont know where pple get the basis for valuing KCB at Ksh 90 !

The best bet is the share nosing towards Ksh 25 or 28 max ! Otherwise its yet another counter im hoping to see it get mauled later on in the year.
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Genghis Khan
#45 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 8:49:14 AM
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Posts: 335
Location: Nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
@GK I'll take a guess u r relying on mis-fortunes out of Triton...NO well, that is a case that went wrong but those r such big ticket deals KCB deals with every other day most of which go well TRUE so they go un-reported in the media TRUE thus, risk is relative i.e on a %age of net business(loan book) just go through annual reports and u will find that KCB is probably among the principal banks. I bet u ur favorite stock banks with KCB TRUE - So...do u expect ur favorite stock to have a reputation of a good or bad credit rating? GOODsmile


My one and only argument is that diversification works well to deal with credit risk.

For portfolios of say 100b, if you have portfolio A with average 1b per loan, portfolio B with 100m per loan, C with 10m and D with 1m...

A is riskiest & D is least risky. That's a mathematical fact that has been proved in practice.

Other considerations such as administrative costs, which are highest for D & lowest for A need to be considered.

Also, portfolio D is likely to have the highest average lending rates. Portfolio A, with large corporates & high net worth individuals will be given the opportuinity to negotiate for lower rates.

Generally D is best for any bank... we just need to be careful not to go too low. If the bank proocesses loans of say 10k avg. admin costs will eat away any gains of diversification.
"I'd rather be lucky than clever... every time!" - ME
"The problem is not what we don't know... it's what we know for sure that just ain't!" - MARK TWAIN
"Space we can recover... time never!" - NAPOLEON BONAPARTE
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youcan'tstopusnow
#46 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 10:56:12 AM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
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the deal wrote:
hehehehe and the share cant get passed 23 bob.

You got your wish yesterdaysmile
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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mkonomtupu
#47 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 11:14:51 AM
Rank: Veteran


Joined: 2/10/2010
Posts: 1,001
Location: River Road
Gadaffi wrote:
the deal wrote:
hehehehe and the share cant get passed 23 bob.

i cant agree more, this share will not go past 25 bob on its best day in the foreseeable future. 90 bob is jus a dream from a dissolutioned analyst/investor due to the bear mkt


When i first bought this share at around 40/= in 2004 they talk was it will never go beyond 50 well it went all the way to 280 considering the 10:1 share split in 2006

in 2010 at rights issue the dilution talk was all about the price settling at 13/= but the lion is still going strong.

when you see a lion rained on don't assume it's a cat
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lovely2010
#48 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 11:41:12 AM
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Joined: 10/25/2010
Posts: 519
Location: nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
Hey Wawazua!!

This could be an exciting year when such optimistic forecasts are being thrown around!!

I bumped into an analyst who was telling me that they are seeing KCB at 90 bob!!

I was like you are out your mind. Personally I think when KCB can make like 3 bob eps then we can see 60 bob in 2011/2012.

A 200% flipper from today kama Scan last year.

Mnaonaje


Asikutie tumbo joto...ungemuuliza nia yake ni nini?
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kinyanjuid
#49 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 4:34:23 PM
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Joined: 1/8/2011
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Maybe next year but certainly not this yr.
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Gadaffi
#50 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 6:22:57 PM
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Joined: 2/13/2011
Posts: 284
Location: Nairobi
mkonomtupu wrote:
Gadaffi wrote:
the deal wrote:
hehehehe and the share cant get passed 23 bob.

i cant agree more, this share will not go past 25 bob on its best day in the foreseeable future. 90 bob is jus a dream from a dissolutioned analyst/investor due to the bear mkt


When i first bought this share at around 40/= in 2004 they talk was it will never go beyond 50 well it went all the way to 280 considering the 10:1 share split in 2006

in 2010 at rights issue the dilution talk was all about the price settling at 13/= but the lion is still going strong.

when you see a lion rained on don't assume it's a cat

a quick projection will see kcb leading in terms of profitability for year 2011 followed by equity n bbk in n.o 3. however, in the foreseeable future-this year-the lion cannot manage a share price of 90 bobShame on you . there r so many factors working against that; best price will be at 25..
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obiero
#51 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 8:07:29 PM
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Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,782
Location: nairobi
Word just in from Loliondo has confirmed that by 5th May the KCB share price will be at Kes 27.50

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
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Cde Monomotapa
#52 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 10:09:35 PM
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obiero wrote:
Word just in from Loliondo has confirmed that by 5th May the KCB share price will be at Kes 27.50

Weka link! Lol!
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Cde Monomotapa
#53 Posted : Wednesday, March 30, 2011 10:11:16 PM
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kinyanjuid wrote:
Maybe next year but certainly not this yr.

Worth the wait?
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obiero
#54 Posted : Thursday, March 31, 2011 10:49:06 PM
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Joined: 6/23/2009
Posts: 13,782
Location: nairobi
Cde Monomotapa wrote:
obiero wrote:
Word just in from Loliondo has confirmed that by 5th May the KCB share price will be at Kes 27.50

Weka link! Lol!

Haha. I hope ua not mocking me. Uliza watu/admin hapa wazua. It is a fact that my predictions are better than most, including YBC's. lol

COOP 255,000 ABP 15.85; IMH 5,000 ABP 35.55; KQ 604,200 ABP 6.96; MTN 23,800 ABP 5.20
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Cde Monomotapa
#55 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 4:06:34 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
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@Obiero i'd say I was just shadow boxing ha ha. Ati when? May 5th? Let's see how it goes then bro.
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Cde Monomotapa
#56 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 4:23:20 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
Frankly ladies & gentlemen this year & beyond will belong to KCB.
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mlennyma
#57 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 8:29:14 AM
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Joined: 7/21/2010
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Location: nairobi
Any posts on this fools day cant be trusted.
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
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youcan'tstopusnow
#58 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 9:40:31 AM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
mlennyma wrote:
Any posts on this fools day cant be trusted.

Laughing out loudlyLaughing out loudlyLaughing out loudly
GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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Cde Monomotapa
#59 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 11:40:12 AM
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Joined: 1/13/2011
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youcan'tstopusnow wrote:
mlennyma wrote:
Any posts on this fools day cant be trusted.

Laughing out loudlyLaughing out loudlyLaughing out loudly

hehehe.
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youcan'tstopusnow
#60 Posted : Friday, April 01, 2011 6:59:20 PM
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Joined: 3/24/2010
Posts: 6,779
Location: Black Africa
ROAR!!!

GOD BLESS YOUR LIFE
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