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Yen
otienosmall
#1 Posted : Saturday, March 19, 2011 10:19:21 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 10/8/2010
Posts: 281
Normally for an economy like ours, crisis results to a severe downward rally on the country’s currency. On the contrary the yen has seen unprecedented gain in strength against major currencies particularly after the recent Japan twin disaster. On Thursday it had a record strength at 76.25 to the dollar, eclipsing the previous peak of 79.75 hit in the aftermath of the Kobe earthquake. Against Kenya shilling, strength shot from ksh 90 range before the disaster to over ksh 100 per 100 yen one week after the disaster. The strengthening of the Japanese Yen has since called for concerted effort by The G7 group to curb the runaway yen. I don’t fully understand the dynamics leading to a strong yen when the country is in a crisis. Can somebody please educate this novice? d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!
story teller
#2 Posted : Saturday, March 19, 2011 8:35:28 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/25/2010
Posts: 415
otienosmall wrote:
Normally for an economy like ours, crisis results to a severe downward rally on the country’s currency. On the contrary the yen has seen unprecedented gain in strength against major currencies particularly after the recent Japan twin disaster. On Thursday it had a record strength at 76.25 to the dollar, eclipsing the previous peak of 79.75 hit in the aftermath of the Kobe earthquake. Against Kenya shilling, strength shot from ksh 90 range before the disaster to over ksh 100 per 100 yen one week after the disaster. The strengthening of the Japanese Yen has since called for concerted effort by The G7 group to curb the runaway yen. I don’t fully understand the dynamics leading to a strong yen when the country is in a crisis. Can somebody please educate this novice? d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh! d'oh!


@otieonosmall, here is my take on this.

The trajedy in Japan has created a severe global crisis. Example, previously Toyota produced 40 000 new cars a day, Honda and Nissan ,20 000 cars each per day. Most of the factories have been shut down since the earthquake/tsunami. Since the crisis which has been compounded by the crippling of Japan's Nuclear plants (energy),most suppliers for manufacturing companies have been offline. Energy is the engine which oils the economy. Without energy, the economy grounds to a halt. Japan is the world's largest supplier of micro chips which are used in most electronic goods including computers.

This is severely affecting global supply.With limited supply and great demand at least in the short term, prices will inch upwards. I think this is one of the reasons the yen is on an upward trajectory.
It's not hard to make decisions when you know what your values are.
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