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the deal
#41 Posted : Wednesday, March 09, 2011 10:36:39 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
I believe KQ will post growth even if minimal in PAT come June 2011 but i will only make a come back in 20's....minimal risk at those levels.
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VituVingiSana
#42 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 2:47:23 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
I believe KQ will post growth even if minimal in PAT come June 2011 but i will only make a come back in 20's....minimal risk at those levels.
How full/empty was your Lusaka-Nairobi flight?
[BTW, why were you flying to Windhoek via Lusaka?]
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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ecstacy
#43 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 9:54:10 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 2/26/2008
Posts: 4,449
price is getting too tempting...
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VituVingiSana
#44 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 11:54:01 AM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
BTW, KQ is offering Nairobi-Mombasa/Malindi/Kisumu flights at 7,500 [Return all-taxes inclusive]. At this rate, I do not see how the other airlines will compete!

Of course, KQ is pushing this to fill the planes. The marginal cost of an additional passenger is 1 beer + 1 sandwich + some additional weight!

BTW, I understand KQ will introduce a special 3,000/- fare one-way! Almost as cheap as going by bus!
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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the deal
#45 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:18:14 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/25/2009
Posts: 4,534
Location: Windhoek/Nairobbery
VituVingiSana wrote:
the deal wrote:
I believe KQ will post growth even if minimal in PAT come June 2011 but i will only make a come back in 20's....minimal risk at those levels.
How full/empty was your Lusaka-Nairobi flight?
[BTW, why were you flying to Windhoek via Lusaka?]

The plane was quiet full...i was coming from Vic Fall/Zimbabwe.
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VituVingiSana
#46 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:22:43 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/3/2007
Posts: 18,346
Location: Nairobi
the deal wrote:
VituVingiSana wrote:
the deal wrote:
I believe KQ will post growth even if minimal in PAT come June 2011 but i will only make a come back in 20's....minimal risk at those levels.
How full/empty was your Lusaka-Nairobi flight?
[BTW, why were you flying to Windhoek via Lusaka?]

The plane was quiet full...i was coming from Vic Fall/Zimbabwe.
Ah, yes... Lusaka flights sometimes go via Harare... They will get busy in Summer so direct Lusaka flights which saves an hour or so...
Greedy when others are fearful. Very fearful when others are greedy - to paraphrase Warren Buffett
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mozenrat
#47 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:35:06 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/18/2008
Posts: 796
VituVingiSana wrote:
BTW, KQ is offering Nairobi-Mombasa/Malindi/Kisumu flights at 7,500 [Return all-taxes inclusive]. At this rate, I do not see how the other airlines will compete!

Of course, KQ is pushing this to fill the planes. The marginal cost of an additional passenger is 1 beer + 1 sandwich + some additional weight!

BTW, I understand KQ will introduce a special 3,000/- fare one-way! Almost as cheap as going by bus!



They are competing by offering the same price.. I believe Fly540 is offering the same...
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The Merchant
#48 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:37:07 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
KQ is headed for 30. I think margin trading is quite in order now.
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mwanahisa
#49 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:46:44 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 6/2/2008
Posts: 1,438
The Merchant wrote:
KQ is headed for 30. I think margin trading is quite in order now.


I am looking forward to reentry at the high 20s - 30. Even with all my reservations on a possible rights issue, rising oil prices, fuel and currency hedges, delays in aircraft deliveries, rising staff unrest and expected wage settlements, at 30 all that will have been priced in, or not so?!!!!
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The Merchant
#50 Posted : Thursday, March 10, 2011 3:05:33 PM
Rank: Veteran

Joined: 5/24/2010
Posts: 846
Location: KENYA
mwanahisa wrote:
The Merchant wrote:
KQ is headed for 30. I think margin trading is quite in order now.


I am looking forward to reentry at the high 20s - 30. Even with all my reservations on a possible rights issue, rising oil prices, fuel and currency hedges, delays in aircraft deliveries, rising staff unrest and expected wage settlements, at 30 all that will have been priced in, or not so?!!!!


My thoughts also. I have losses elsewhere but this play may just cover them.smile
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