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the kes hits 83-are cbk concerned about inflation?
kizee1
#1 Posted : Wednesday, March 02, 2011 6:59:04 PM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
so today the kes traded at 83.10/20, the mof(ps kinyua) said they will not intervene...now this is rather worrying given that
1.crude is at that +100 usd/bbl price
2.the country is facing drought and might need to import food
3. the micro/sme sector will hurt from a weak exchange rate
4. the country will soon turn to fuel generators

...al this makes me wonder whether we shall hit the much touted 6pct growth level...pros and cons exist one could say..whats ur take good folks? is any wazuan hurting/gaining from such a weak exchange rate?
Cde Monomotapa
#2 Posted : Wednesday, March 02, 2011 8:00:49 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
I'm a beneficiary of a weak shilling. What will mitigate this inflation will be good rains in the upcoming rainy season. There is little we can do about USD strength on the global market or geo politics affecting oil unless CBK starts dumping its USD reserves on the open mkt or GoK reduces taxes on fuel respectively-scenarios that are impossible in the short term IMHO.
Cde Monomotapa
#3 Posted : Wednesday, March 02, 2011 8:53:18 PM
Rank: Chief

Joined: 1/13/2011
Posts: 5,964
I have always been of the opinion that a successful Kenyan BPO sub-sector would be the silver bullet in stabilising/strengthning of our Kes with potential forex inflows larger than coffee,tea & tourism combined but all of a sudden the hype around it disappeard!! Plus when we get the BPO sector right we'd ride the global recovery and grow earnings YoY for the next 20yrs or so!! The pple responsible ought to read this...
mlennyma
#4 Posted : Wednesday, March 02, 2011 9:50:43 PM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 7/21/2010
Posts: 6,194
Location: nairobi
So,is this a boom for kq?
"Don't let the fear of losing be greater than the excitement of winning."
erifloss
#5 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 8:04:24 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 6/21/2010
Posts: 514
Location: Nairobi
Beneficiaries=exporters. Hope being an agric driven economy the cash will be enough to go around.
'They say money cannot buy me happiness but when i compare when i had none and now, i'm happier' Kevin O'leary
RVP
#6 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 8:14:06 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/3/2010
Posts: 69
Agreed. Good news for exporters. I can confirm :)
kizee1
#7 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 9:42:06 AM
Rank: Member

Joined: 9/29/2010
Posts: 679
Location: nairobi
exporters DO NOT benefit from an overly weak ccy, please note that kenya is a net importer so unless u generate ur own energy and ride a bike as well as transport ur produce by bike...ur no better off than the rest of us...meanwhile mwananchi wa kawaida ataumia
Elder
#8 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 9:48:45 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/7/2010
Posts: 2,148
Location: elderville
RVP wrote:
Agreed. Good news for exporters. I can confirm :)


Wish it could hit 90, even 100.
He who can express in words the ardour of his love, has but little love to express. - Petrach, Son. (That men by various ways arrive at the same end. - Montaigne, The Essays of.)
RVP
#9 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 10:30:02 AM
Rank: New-farer

Joined: 5/3/2010
Posts: 69
Cant speak for everyone. I guess on AVERAGE it does not. The nature of the business probably matters. I would say it favors service exporters more than it does tangible product exporters.

kizee1 wrote:
exporters DO NOT benefit from an overly weak ccy, please note that kenya is a net importer so unless u generate ur own energy and ride a bike as well as transport ur produce by bike...ur no better off than the rest of us...meanwhile mwananchi wa kawaida ataumia

Sufficiently Philanga....thropic
#10 Posted : Thursday, March 03, 2011 10:50:33 AM
Rank: Elder

Joined: 9/23/2010
Posts: 2,225
Location: Sundowner,Amboseli
Time to demand payment in USD from your clients/debtors/employers!
@SufficientlyP
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